Conf =  Sec3                      Region = MN 1  SoSub            
   Nickname = N Lightning            Coach  =   Tim Roche             

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   96.6278763    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 426 H Bloom Jefferson        MN 1  SoSub   (11- 5, 88.5)     8- 7 2o
 430 A Bloom Kennedy          MN 1  SoSub   ( 2-12, 70.8)    16- 4   
 502 A Burnsville             MN 1  SoSub   ( 6- 8, 79.8)    13- 4   
 504 A Minnetonka             MN 1  Lake    ( 6- 8, 82.5)    13- 6   
 507 H Lakeville South        MN 1  SoSub   ( 6- 9, 78.6)    20- 3   
 509 A Eagan                  MN 1  SoSub   (13- 3, 93.3)    12- 9   
 511 A Mahtomedi              MN 1  Classic ( 7- 6, 86.4)    11- 5   
 514 H Lakeville North        MN 1  SoSub   ( 6- 8, 83.4)    12- 5   
 516 H Prior Lake             MN 1  SoSub   ( 9- 6, 87.5)     5- 6   
 518 H Blake                  MN 1  Indep   (10- 7, 86.3)    11-13   
 520 A Rosemount              MN 1  SoSub   (10- 4, 90.0)    11- 8   
 521 H Apple Valley           MN 1  SoSub   ( 7- 7, 83.5)    13- 6   
 523 H Eden Prairie           MN 1  Lake    (18- 0, 99.9)     6- 8   
 531 H Prior Lake             MN 1  SoSub   ( 9- 6, 87.5)    15- 7   
 604 N Eagan                  MN 1  SoSub   (13- 3, 93.3)    19-18   
 611 N Orono                  MN 1  Indep   (14- 4, 89.0)    10- 5   
 613 N Champlin Park          MN 1  NoWest  (15- 3, 92.1)    10- 6   
 615 N Eden Prairie           MN 1  Lake    (18- 0, 99.9)     8- 9   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   426 H Bloom Jefferson         8- 7 2o    1     6    --    -5.11
   430 A Bloom Kennedy          16- 4      12    21           0.00
   502 A Burnsville             13- 4       9    12          -1.00
   504 A Minnetonka             13- 6       7     9    -     -2.61
   507 H Lakeville South        20- 3      17    16           0.00
   509 A Eagan                  12- 9       3    -1    ++     4.17
   511 A Mahtomedi              11- 5       6     5           0.33
   514 H Lakeville North        12- 5       7    11    -     -3.00
   516 H Prior Lake              5- 6      -1     7    ---   -8.05
   518 H Blake                  11-13      -2     8    ---  -10.28
   520 A Rosemount              11- 8       3     2           0.88
   521 H Apple Valley           13- 6       7    11    -     -3.00
   523 H Eden Prairie            6- 8      -2    -5    +      3.30
   531 H Prior Lake             15- 7       8     7           0.95
   604 N Eagan                  19-18       1     0           0.93
   611 N Orono                  10- 5       5     4           0.60
   613 N Champlin Park          10- 6       4     1    +      2.70
   615 N Eden Prairie            8- 9      -1    -6    ++     5.54

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   516 H Prior Lake              5- 6      -1     7    ---   -8.05
   518 H Blake                  11-13      -2     8    ---  -10.28
   426 H Bloom Jefferson         8- 7 2o    1     6    --    -5.11
   504 A Minnetonka             13- 6       7     9    -     -2.61
   514 H Lakeville North        12- 5       7    11    -     -3.00
   521 H Apple Valley           13- 6       7    11    -     -3.00

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   509 A Eagan                  12- 9       3    -1    ++     4.17
   615 N Eden Prairie            8- 9      -1    -6    ++     5.54
   523 H Eden Prairie            6- 8      -2    -5    +      3.30
   613 N Champlin Park          10- 6       4     1    +      2.70
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 93.36 Local Power Rank...........     3
 Local SOS Rating......... 72.17 Local SOS Rank.............     2
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.67 Local RPI Rank.............     2
 Championship Probability .   16.0 Championship Rank .......     2
 Local Quality Win Rating.170.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     2
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   11.8 Ave Defensive Goals ......    7.2
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 14- 4 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    4.7
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  3- 2 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....    1.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  6- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....    1.8
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  8- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    2.1
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    2.7
/