Region = VA    WesCent          
   Nickname = A Patriots             Coach  =   Greg Crow             

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   98.7993240    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 315 A Douglas Freeman        VA    Colonl  ( 7-10, 86.7)    10- 8   
 318 A Salem                  VA    West    (13- 3, 98.2)    10-13   
 322 N CM Wright              MD 32 North   ( 8- 7, 83.7)    11-10  o
 327 H Patrick Henry Roanoke  VA    West    (11- 7, 92.4)    11- 4   
 329 H E.C. Glass             VA    West    (14- 6, 96.4)     9- 6   
 411 H Western Albemarle      VA    WesCent ( 7-11, 89.3)     8- 7   
 416 A Monticello             VA    WesCent ( 9- 8, 90.3)     9- 8   
 418 H Charlottesville        VA    WesCent ( 7- 7, 89.5)    11- 7   
 423 A Fluvanna County        VA    WesCent ( 3- 9, 74.4)    20- 0   
 426 H St Christopher's       VA 1  VIP     (12- 6, 95.1)     3-11   
 430 A Western Albemarle      VA    WesCent ( 7-11, 89.3)    10- 8   
 502 H Monticello             VA    WesCent ( 9- 8, 90.3)    11- 5   
 507 A Charlottesville        VA    WesCent ( 7- 7, 89.5)    15- 9   
 510 H Fluvanna County        VA    WesCent ( 3- 9, 74.4)    17- 1   
 513 H Western Albemarle      VA    WesCent ( 7-11, 89.3)     4- 5   
 521 H Salem                  VA    West    (13- 3, 98.2)    15-14   
 524 H Patrick Henry Roanoke  VA    West    (11- 7, 92.4)    14- 5   
 527 A E.C. Glass             VA    West    (14- 6, 96.4)    11- 7   
 531 H Chantilly              VA    Concord (21- 2, 99.9)     5- 8   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   315 A Douglas Freeman        10- 8       2     8    ---   -6.68
   318 A Salem                  10-13      -3    -2          -0.19
   322 N CM Wright              11-10  o    1    12          n/a  
   327 H Patrick Henry Roanoke  11- 4       7     4    +      2.15
   329 H E.C. Glass              9- 6       3     0    +      2.11
   411 H Western Albemarle       8- 7       1     8    ---   -7.00
   416 A Monticello              9- 8       1     5    --    -4.11
   418 H Charlottesville        11- 7       4     7    -     -3.73
   423 A Fluvanna County        20- 0      20    21           0.00
   426 H St Christopher's        3-11      -8     2          n/a  
   430 A Western Albemarle      10- 8       2     6    --    -4.12
   502 H Monticello             11- 5       6     6          -0.99
   507 A Charlottesville        15- 9       6     5           0.14
   510 H Fluvanna County        17- 1      16    22           0.00
   513 H Western Albemarle       4- 5      -1     8    ---   -9.00
   521 H Salem                  15-14       1     0           1.93
   524 H Patrick Henry Roanoke  14- 5       9     4    ++     4.15
   527 A E.C. Glass             11- 7       4     0    ++     4.99
   531 H Chantilly               5- 8      -3    -2          n/a  

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   315 A Douglas Freeman        10- 8       2     8    ---   -6.68
   322 N CM Wright              11-10  o    1    12    ---        
   411 H Western Albemarle       8- 7       1     8    ---   -7.00
   426 H St Christopher's        3-11      -8     2    ---        
   513 H Western Albemarle       4- 5      -1     8    ---   -9.00
   416 A Monticello              9- 8       1     5    --    -4.11
   430 A Western Albemarle      10- 8       2     6    --    -4.12
   418 H Charlottesville        11- 7       4     7    -     -3.73

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   524 H Patrick Henry Roanoke  14- 5       9     4    ++     4.15
   527 A E.C. Glass             11- 7       4     0    ++     4.99
   327 H Patrick Henry Roanoke  11- 4       7     4    +      2.15
   329 H E.C. Glass              9- 6       3     0    +      2.11
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 96.32 Local Power Rank...........     7
 Local SOS Rating......... 78.27 Local SOS Rank.............     4
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.66 Local RPI Rank.............     3
 Championship Probability .    9.0 Championship Rank .......     5
 Local Quality Win Rating.205.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     1
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   10.7 Ave Defensive Goals ......    7.2
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 15- 4 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    3.6
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  1- 1 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -1.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  3- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....    1.2
 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 11- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    3.1
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    3.3
/