Conf =  Monroe-3                  Region = NY A  Sec 5            
   Nickname = Y Lightning            Coach  =   Adam Geier            

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   84.8136978    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 402 A Webster Schroeder      NY A  Sec 5   ( 7-10, 85.6)     2- 9   
 404 A Webster Thomas         NY A  Sec 5   (16- 3, 97.6)     5-15   
 409 H Gates-Chili            NY A  Sec 5   ( 4-12, 77.8)     8- 5   
 416 H Brockport Central      NY B  Sec 5   ( 3-13, 68.9)    12- 5   
 420 A Churchville-Chili      NY B  Sec 5   (10- 8, 86.6)     3-10   
 423 A Hilton                 NY A  Sec 5   (11- 6, 89.4)     7-10   
 425 H Greece Odyssey/Athena  NY A  Sec 5   ( 8- 8, 81.2)     6- 7   
 427 H Batavia                NY C  Sec 5   ( 1-15, 58.0)    21- 1   
 430 H Hilton                 NY A  Sec 5   (11- 6, 89.4)     6- 8   
 502 A Honeoye Falls-Lima     NY C  Sec 5   (10- 8, 84.4)     9- 6   
 504 A Victor                 NY B  Sec 5   (10- 9, 88.7)     3-12   
 506 A Greece Odyssey/Athena  NY A  Sec 5   ( 8- 8, 81.2)    10- 9   
 509 A Spencerport            NY B  Sec 5   ( 7-10, 79.9)    14-10   
 511 H Brighton               NY B  Sec 5   ( 6-11, 81.6)     5- 9   
 514 A Gates-Chili            NY A  Sec 5   ( 4-12, 77.8)     8- 6   
 516 H Eastridge              NY B  Sec 5   ( 3-14, 68.9)    13- 3   
 522 A Fairport               NY A  Sec 5   (15- 3, 99.9)     2-15   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   402 A Webster Schroeder       2- 9      -7    -4    -     -2.93
   404 A Webster Thomas          5-15     -10   -16           0.00
   409 H Gates-Chili             8- 5       3     4          -1.87
   416 H Brockport Central      12- 5       7    13    -     -3.00
   420 A Churchville-Chili       3-10      -7    -5          -1.97
   423 A Hilton                  7-10      -3    -7    ++     4.93
   425 H Greece Odyssey/Athena   6- 7      -1     1    -     -2.47
   427 H Batavia                21- 1      20    24           0.00
   430 H Hilton                  6- 8      -2    -6    ++     4.74
   502 A Honeoye Falls-Lima      9- 6       3    -2    ++     5.90
   504 A Victor                  3-12      -9    -7          -1.85
   506 A Greece Odyssey/Athena  10- 9       1     0           0.72
   509 A Spencerport            14-10       4     1    +      2.38
   511 H Brighton                5- 9      -4     1    --    -5.14
   514 A Gates-Chili             8- 6       2     3          -1.68
   516 H Eastridge              13- 3      10    13           0.00
   522 A Fairport                2-15     -13   -18           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   511 H Brighton                5- 9      -4     1    --    -5.14
   402 A Webster Schroeder       2- 9      -7    -4    -     -2.93
   416 H Brockport Central      12- 5       7    13    -     -3.00
   425 H Greece Odyssey/Athena   6- 7      -1     1    -     -2.47

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   423 A Hilton                  7-10      -3    -7    ++     4.93
   430 H Hilton                  6- 8      -2    -6    ++     4.74
   502 A Honeoye Falls-Lima      9- 6       3    -2    ++     5.90
   509 A Spencerport            14-10       4     1    +      2.38
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 82.12 Local Power Rank...........    21
 Local SOS Rating......... 62.92 Local SOS Rank.............    18
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.46 Local RPI Rank.............    24
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    20
 Local Quality Win Rating.-80.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    22
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    7.9 Ave Defensive Goals ......    8.2
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  8- 9 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -0.4
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -11.5
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -7.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  1- 7 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -6.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -0.3
/