2012 boys North Carolina NCHSAA
CHAMPIONSHIP PROBABILITIES
PR = Power Ratings RPI = Ratings Percentage Index SOS = Strength of Schedule QWF = Quality Wins Factor SOS & QWF SOS & QWFbased on PR based on RPI Probabilities (%) Rnk Team Name Conference W L PR SOS QWF RPI SOS QWF Tot Champ %
1 Cardinal Gibbons 20 1 2 5 2 1 6 2 9 21.00 2 Myers Park 18 4 3 2 3 3 3 3 9 7.00 3 Athens Drive 14 4 9 6 4 6 1 5 12 0.10 4 Lake Norman 23 0 1 13 1 2 13 1 16 53.00 5 NorthWest Guilfo 12 5 10 19 14 4 17 6 27 1.00 6 Providence HS 11 4 7 14 7 11 4 12 27 2.00 7 Greensboro Grims 12 5 14 20 16 8 22 8 38 0.10 8 Northern Guilfor 14 2 20 68 13 13 15 13 41 0.10 9 Chapel Hill 15 4 12 31 15 9 18 15 42 0.10 10 Apex 14 5 4 8 6 10 27 9 46 7.00 11 Holly Springs 11 8 16 11 23 19 2 25 46 1.00 12 Western Guilford 14 3 5 28 5 5 41 4 50 3.00 13 R.J. Reynolds 13 3 8 29 17 7 39 7 53 0.10 14 Western Alamance 12 5 29 61 26 22 8 23 53 0.10 15 Reagan 10 4 24 38 19 14 24 17 55 0.10 16 Greensboro Page 11 6 36 59 34 24 9 29 62 0.10 17 Mount Tabor 9 5 28 42 27 23 16 24 63 0.10 18 Millbrook 13 4 23 54 21 26 21 19 66 0.10 19 Lake Norman Char 14 6 13 23 18 20 26 21 67 0.10 20 Wilmington Hogga 14 4 15 30 9 15 44 14 73 1.00 21 Panther Creek 8 9 22 10 29 29 10 35 74 0.10 22 Hough 8 10 31 21 35 30 5 40 75 0.10 23 Marvin Ridge 14 4 6 24 10 16 45 16 77 0.10 24 Middle Creek 5 9 34 4 30 32 12 37 81 0.10 25 Durham Jordan 15 2 17 56 12 21 52 10 83 0.10 26 Needham-Broughto 13 2 19 52 11 12 62 11 85 0.10 27 East Chapel Hill 11 7 21 27 31 17 48 26 91 0.10 28 Wakefield 8 9 45 46 50 35 11 47 93 0.10 29 Charlotte Cathol 12 6 18 7 8 18 58 18 94 1.00 30 Carrboro 10 8 35 37 44 28 30 38 96 0.10 31 Wilmington Laney 7 8 40 41 43 36 19 43 98 0.10 32 Ardrey Kell 10 6 11 25 22 27 49 28 104 3.00 33 W.M. Williams 9 7 53 73 47 38 34 41 113 0.10 34 Ragsdale-Jamesto 2 10 60 26 59 48 20 46 114 0.10 35 Cary HS 3 14 51 1 57 47 7 65 119 0.10 36 First Flight 11 4 25 22 20 25 75 20 120 0.10 37 SouthWest Guilfo 10 6 41 70 28 44 59 22 125 0.10 38 Cedar Ridge 8 6 38 63 38 41 53 32 126 0.10 39 Hopewell 7 10 49 32 48 53 23 50 126 0.10 40 Green Hope 3 13 50 9 52 51 14 62 127 0.10 41 East Forsyth 7 9 42 55 58 43 38 48 129 0.10 42 Bishop McGuinnes 8 7 37 45 45 34 60 36 130 0.10 43 Wilmington Ashle 11 6 30 47 32 31 70 31 132 0.10 44 SouthEast Guilfo 7 8 54 72 56 46 37 51 134 0.10 45 Eastern Alamance 6 10 57 69 66 49 25 61 135 0.10 46 South Mecklenbur 10 6 33 53 25 39 68 30 137 0.10 47 West Forsyth 5 9 52 49 60 52 31 54 137 0.10 48 W.G. Enloe 6 9 47 57 62 50 29 59 138 0.10 49 Wilmington New H 11 6 32 48 33 33 71 34 138 0.10 50 Durham Riverside 7 10 44 40 39 37 63 39 139 0.10 51 Butler 3 10 55 18 41 40 61 44 145 0.10 52 Leesville Road 8 8 48 71 54 55 43 49 147 0.10 53 Patton-Morganton 10 3 39 76 24 45 76 27 148 0.10 54 Weddington 5 9 27 12 37 42 55 53 150 0.10 55 Independence 0 9 68 15 51 59 42 57 158 0.10 56 High Point Centr 2 13 67 39 69 66 32 63 161 0.10 57 Watauga 5 6 58 66 42 56 66 42 164 0.10 58 Hillsborough Ora 2 12 69 44 70 63 33 69 165 0.10 59 Mooresville 3 12 62 33 67 60 40 68 168 0.10 60 Southern Alamanc 2 12 70 64 72 62 35 72 169 0.10 61 Cuthbertson 5 8 26 17 40 54 64 55 173 0.10 62 Northwood 3 12 65 51 68 61 47 67 175 0.10 63 Eastern Guilford 0 17 77 60 77 73 28 77 178 0.10 64 New Bern 6 9 46 36 55 57 65 56 178 0.10 65 R.B. Glenn 0 15 71 34 75 70 36 75 181 0.10 66 J.F. Webb 8 9 56 74 53 58 69 58 185 0.10 67 A.L. Brown 0 10 74 16 61 69 57 60 186 0.10 68 Heritage 4 12 61 65 71 65 50 71 186 0.10 69 Hickory 4 6 64 75 46 68 73 45 186 0.10 70 J.H. Rose 6 3 43 62 36 77 77 33 187 0.10 71 Garner 0 12 73 50 73 72 46 73 191 0.10 72 Porter Ridge 0 11 75 3 63 71 54 70 195 0.10 73 Freedom-Morganto 2 7 66 77 49 76 72 52 200 0.10 74 Northside 3 11 63 35 65 67 67 66 200 0.10 75 Northern Durham 0 16 72 58 76 74 51 76 201 0.10 76 Roxboro Communit 5 10 59 67 64 64 74 64 202 0.10 77 Jacksonville 0 13 76 43 74 75 56 74 205 0.10