2012 boys Maryland MPSSAA 4321
CHAMPIONSHIP PROBABILITIES
PR = Power Ratings RPI = Ratings Percentage Index SOS = Strength of Schedule QWF = Quality Wins Factor SOS & QWF SOS & QWFbased on PR based on RPI Probabilities (%) Rnk Team Name Conference W L PR SOS QWF RPI SOS QWF Tot Champ %
1 Winters Mill 16 2 6 7 4 4 2 3 9 3.00 2 South River 20 0 1 4 1 2 10 2 14 15.00 3 Glenelg HS 17 3 4 17 5 12 1 7 20 8.00 4 Dulaney 12 5 16 1 14 6 7 9 22 1.00 5 Hereford 19 1 2 11 2 1 21 1 23 30.00 6 Fallston 16 5 10 34 12 3 22 4 29 1.00 7 Bel Air 11 6 20 3 22 9 8 13 30 2.00 8 Kent Island 16 3 5 5 3 11 3 17 31 6.00 9 Wootton 10 6 18 2 25 7 9 16 32 1.00 10 Churchill 14 3 11 36 11 5 31 6 42 3.00 11 NorthWestern 13 2 72 130 18 15 13 15 43 0.10 12 Patterson Mill 15 4 19 32 15 10 25 10 45 0.10 13 Walter Johnson 11 5 30 41 45 13 12 28 53 0.10 14 Westminster 16 3 3 6 8 8 53 5 66 16.00 15 Stephen Decatur 12 2 7 47 7 21 28 18 67 2.00 16 Linganore 10 3 17 19 21 16 38 22 76 0.10 17 North Harford 12 6 27 38 28 19 33 24 76 0.10 18 Patuxent 13 4 49 85 27 29 15 32 76 0.10 19 Havre De Grace 9 6 56 77 53 32 16 33 81 0.10 20 Whitman 9 7 38 42 69 24 6 51 81 0.10 21 Huntingtown 13 2 24 84 20 26 42 20 88 0.10 22 Broadneck 13 2 8 30 6 22 57 14 93 0.10 23 Howard 13 5 22 61 34 40 23 30 93 1.00 24 Century 10 8 40 15 54 35 5 54 94 0.10 25 CM Wright 11 6 34 45 42 18 49 29 96 0.10 26 South Carroll 10 9 33 8 76 33 4 67 104 0.10 27 Loch Raven 10 6 39 63 57 30 34 44 108 0.10 28 Marriott's Ridge 14 3 9 31 9 17 81 12 110 2.00 29 Quince Orchard 10 6 32 67 58 44 19 50 113 0.10 30 North East Cecil 7 7 86 72 72 45 18 52 115 0.10 31 Chesapeake-AA 11 6 23 25 23 36 35 45 116 1.00 32 Sherwood 13 3 25 66 16 14 97 8 119 0.10 33 Urbana 9 7 29 12 51 27 37 56 120 0.10 34 Perry Hall 7 4 43 43 40 34 59 31 124 0.10 35 Kenwood 12 3 62 120 24 43 66 21 130 0.10 36 Leonardtown 11 4 28 104 43 42 46 43 131 0.10 37 Springbrook 11 4 51 89 36 57 54 23 134 0.10 38 Douglass 10 3 92 141 33 37 76 26 139 0.10 39 North Carroll 9 5 31 59 44 47 55 39 141 1.00 40 Walkersville 9 6 45 54 52 46 39 57 142 0.10 41 Severna Park 12 5 12 29 13 25 99 19 143 2.00 42 Clarksburg 11 4 41 79 39 48 60 36 144 0.10 43 Easton 12 4 15 24 17 39 69 37 145 0.10 44 Bethesda/Chevy C 7 8 54 46 59 51 50 47 148 0.10 45 Arundel 10 8 26 10 32 41 44 64 149 2.00 46 Middletown 10 5 21 27 37 31 84 34 149 0.10 47 Poly-Baltimore 12 3 61 126 31 23 102 25 150 0.10 48 Richard Montgome 8 7 63 70 67 60 30 60 150 0.10 49 Towson 8 9 47 60 90 52 27 77 156 0.10 50 Northern/Calv Ct 13 2 14 90 10 20 126 11 157 2.00 51 Queen Annes Coun 11 5 13 20 19 28 91 40 159 1.00 52 Atholton 10 6 36 55 46 58 43 62 163 0.10 53 Franklin 5 10 64 14 107 56 17 92 165 0.10 54 Mount Hebron 8 8 48 23 50 49 67 58 174 0.10 55 Southern AA 6 10 55 22 89 70 11 93 174 0.10 56 Chopticon 10 6 59 96 64 62 45 68 175 0.10 57 Randallstown 10 3 91 142 35 54 89 35 178 0.10 58 River Hill 6 10 57 48 96 71 14 99 184 0.10 59 Catonsville 10 7 37 53 47 38 100 48 186 0.10 60 New Town 9 3 99 146 38 55 95 38 188 0.10 61 Reservoir 6 10 68 26 92 73 20 98 191 0.10 62 Centennial 7 6 46 57 60 63 58 72 193 0.10 63 Owings Mills 11 3 77 116 29 59 107 27 193 0.10 64 Harford Tech 8 6 74 92 66 68 71 55 194 0.10 65 City-Baltimore 9 4 89 128 48 61 98 46 205 0.10 66 Calvert 8 7 84 106 82 76 47 85 208 0.10 67 Edmondson 8 4 115 144 49 65 104 42 211 0.10 68 Annapolis 8 8 44 13 26 50 109 53 212 0.10 69 Damascus 8 5 50 83 55 69 94 49 212 0.10 70 Liberty 5 11 82 49 118 84 24 107 215 0.10 71 Tuscarora 6 9 67 44 103 72 51 94 217 0.10 72 La Plata 8 6 70 112 71 74 70 74 218 0.10 73 Oakdale 5 12 79 9 121 66 29 127 222 0.10 74 Paint Branch 8 7 73 87 81 82 65 75 222 0.10 75 Parkside 10 7 35 37 30 53 112 59 224 0.10 76 NorthWest 9 6 69 88 73 77 82 70 229 0.10 77 Natl Academy Fou 7 7 122 134 65 67 101 63 231 0.10 78 Eastern Tech 6 10 85 71 99 75 68 91 234 0.10 79 NorthEast AA 6 10 53 52 95 93 32 109 234 0.10 80 JM Bennett 4 9 80 18 88 92 41 105 238 0.10 81 Blair 7 7 81 82 87 83 75 82 240 0.10 82 Cambridge SD 6 7 58 40 56 80 77 86 243 0.10 83 Great Mills 3 11 118 78 130 90 26 130 246 0.10 84 Watkins Mill 6 7 75 81 85 88 90 81 259 0.10 85 Kent County 4 10 78 28 94 103 40 117 260 0.10 86 Brunswick 12 4 42 107 41 78 143 41 262 0.10 87 North Point 5 9 120 93 101 98 56 108 262 0.10 88 Chesapeake-BC 8 6 119 138 61 64 135 65 264 0.10 89 Thomas Stone 7 9 111 113 104 101 62 102 265 0.10 90 Manchester Valle 6 8 76 68 84 95 85 87 267 0.10 91 Forest Park 4 6 131 133 83 81 105 83 269 0.10 92 Overlea 8 5 93 127 62 86 123 66 275 0.10 93 Francis Scott Ke 0 13 121 21 136 106 36 134 276 0.10 94 Gaithersburg 3 10 105 73 120 97 63 116 276 0.10 95 Rockville 8 5 52 105 63 87 128 61 276 0.10 96 Pikesville 2 11 103 58 127 100 61 120 281 0.10 97 Gov. Thomas John 9 7 66 74 75 79 125 78 282 0.10 98 Dunbar 5 6 125 140 80 89 111 84 284 0.10 99 Wilde Lake 7 8 65 76 86 102 92 90 284 0.10 100 Elkton 7 6 97 118 70 96 122 69 287 0.10 101 Patapsco 6 6 96 119 79 91 117 79 287 0.10 102 Merganthaler-Mer 5 6 126 132 78 94 118 76 288 0.10 103 Frederick 6 10 71 62 113 85 110 111 306 0.10 104 Rising Sun 7 6 95 122 77 99 127 80 306 0.10 105 Oakland Mills 2 13 102 64 143 118 48 144 310 0.10 106 Einstein 8 6 83 114 74 105 133 73 311 0.10 107 Carver VoTech 2 9 142 136 117 112 96 104 312 0.10 108 Joppatowne 3 10 124 97 119 117 93 106 316 0.10 109 North County 3 12 88 33 109 104 87 126 317 0.10 110 Poolesville 5 11 90 80 132 108 80 129 317 0.10 111 Hammond 2 10 100 50 116 114 88 118 320 0.10 112 Blake 1 12 106 75 141 115 74 132 321 0.10 113 Glen Burnie 2 13 108 56 133 127 52 142 321 0.10 114 Magruder 1 12 133 69 145 119 64 140 323 0.10 115 Smithsburg 8 5 60 108 68 109 148 71 328 0.10 116 Patterson 4 9 135 135 115 116 103 110 329 0.10 117 Western STES 2 11 148 131 137 122 72 135 329 0.10 118 BDJ/Civitas 4 7 137 147 93 110 134 88 332 0.10 119 Dundalk 5 7 113 123 91 111 141 89 341 0.10 120 Milford Mill 4 8 139 148 100 121 124 97 342 0.10 121 MJ McDonough 2 12 132 95 142 124 78 141 343 0.10 122 Digital Harbor 4 8 134 145 98 123 131 96 350 0.10 123 Sparrows Point 4 9 109 99 102 107 142 101 350 0.10 124 Wicomico 0 13 117 16 135 133 73 146 352 0.10 125 Woodlawn 3 10 129 121 125 120 108 124 352 0.10 126 Long Reach 2 12 110 65 134 132 86 137 355 0.10 127 Aberdeen 5 9 107 117 108 126 130 103 359 0.10 128 North Caroline 3 10 94 51 105 125 119 119 363 0.10 129 Lackey 0 13 141 91 148 138 79 147 364 0.10 130 Old Mill 2 13 87 35 122 113 115 136 364 0.10 131 Westlake 1 13 143 98 147 137 83 145 365 0.10 132 Lansdowne 1 11 136 111 131 129 106 131 366 0.10 133 Seneca Valley 4 10 116 100 123 131 114 121 366 0.10 134 Bohemia Manor 4 8 114 124 97 128 144 95 367 0.10 135 Northwood 3 10 112 101 124 135 113 122 370 0.10 136 Parkville 4 9 123 129 114 130 132 115 377 0.10 137 Southside Academ 1 10 147 143 129 136 121 123 380 0.10 138 North Hagerstown 4 9 98 86 110 134 137 114 385 0.10 139 Catoctin 4 9 101 94 112 139 138 113 390 0.10 140 SouthWestern 2 8 146 149 106 143 147 100 390 0.10 141 Boonesboro 4 10 104 102 111 141 146 112 399 0.10 142 Carver A&T 0 12 149 139 146 146 116 143 405 0.10 143 Lake Clifton 1 10 145 137 128 142 139 125 406 0.10 144 Meade 0 15 127 39 140 140 120 149 409 0.10 145 Edgewood 1 11 140 115 138 144 136 133 413 0.10 146 Kennedy 1 12 130 109 144 147 129 139 415 0.10 147 Perryville 3 10 128 125 126 145 145 128 418 0.10 148 South Hagerstown 0 12 138 103 139 149 149 138 436 0.10 149 Wheaton 0 13 144 110 149 148 140 148 436 0.10