boys probababilites for 11
2012 boys Connecticut CIAC
CHAMPIONSHIP PROBABILITIES
PR = Power Ratings
RPI = Ratings Percentage Index
SOS = Strength of Schedule
QWF = Quality Wins Factor
SOS & QWF SOS & QWF
based on PR based on RPI Probabilities (%)
Rnk Team Name Conference W L PR SOS QWF RPI SOS QWF Tot Champ %
1 Simsbury CCIAC 18 2 6 25 7 5 6 3 14 2.00
2 East Lyme ECIAC 16 4 14 35 12 10 3 10 23 0.10
3 Fairfield Prep SCIAC 19 4 5 6 2 1 21 1 23 13.00
4 Joel Barlow SWCIAC 18 3 2 12 5 2 18 4 24 11.00
5 Guilford SCIAC 12 8 15 13 18 11 2 14 27 0.10
6 Darien FCIAC 20 2 1 1 1 3 25 2 30 58.00
7 Avon HS NWCIAC 17 3 13 44 10 13 12 9 34 0.10
8 Glastonbury CCIAC 13 5 11 23 11 12 10 12 34 0.10
9 Ridgefield FCIAC 18 5 3 5 4 8 22 5 35 6.00
10 Staples-Westport FCIAC 10 9 16 7 13 19 4 16 39 0.10
11 Daniel Hand-Madi SCIAC 11 10 21 11 29 14 1 27 42 0.10
12 New Canaan FCIAC 19 4 4 3 3 4 33 6 43 5.00
13 Somers NWCIAC 15 5 25 53 19 21 7 15 43 0.10
14 Cheshire HS SCIAC 9 11 18 8 28 16 9 19 44 0.10
15 Weston SWCIAC 17 5 8 10 8 6 30 8 44 0.10
16 Brien McMahon-No FCIAC 11 7 12 15 15 23 5 17 45 0.10
17 Wilton FCIAC 15 6 7 4 6 7 32 7 46 5.00
18 Granby Memorial NWCIAC 14 5 34 46 24 20 11 21 52 0.10
19 Newtown SWCIAC 15 5 9 17 9 9 36 11 56 0.10
20 Conard-West Hart CCIAC 11 7 20 19 17 15 27 18 60 0.10
21 New Fairfield SWCIAC 10 10 19 9 20 17 26 20 63 0.10
22 Xavier SCIAC 11 8 29 27 25 26 13 25 64 0.10
23 Stonington ECIAC 13 6 23 45 27 27 16 23 66 0.10
24 Hall-West Hartfo CCIAC 9 8 36 32 37 24 15 30 69 0.10
25 Norwalk FCIAC 9 9 22 16 22 31 8 31 70 0.10
26 Masuk-Monroe SWCIAC 11 8 26 30 26 28 14 29 71 0.10
27 Norwich Free Aca ECIAC 14 5 24 40 16 18 54 13 85 0.10
28 Greenwich HS FCIAC 9 9 10 2 14 22 44 22 88 0.10
29 Brookfield SWCIAC 8 9 30 33 34 32 20 39 91 0.10
30 St Joseph-Trumbu FCIAC 6 10 31 14 35 37 17 47 101 0.10
31 Old Lyme Shore 14 4 27 51 23 25 55 24 104 0.10
32 Waterford ECIAC 10 7 42 57 42 38 31 35 104 0.10
33 Newington CCIAC 9 9 47 43 48 39 23 45 107 0.10
34 New Milford SWCIAC 7 11 33 22 44 29 40 41 110 0.10
35 Fairfield-Ludlow FCIAC 9 8 17 18 21 30 56 26 112 0.10
36 RHAM CCIAC 11 7 43 60 43 36 42 34 112 0.10
37 Bethel SWCIAC 13 7 32 52 31 34 49 32 115 0.10
38 South Windsor CCIAC 6 10 52 36 56 41 24 51 116 0.10
39 Southington CCIAC 5 11 49 31 59 40 19 58 117 0.10
40 Fairfield-Warde FCIAC 9 9 37 34 32 47 35 40 122 0.10
41 Amity Regional SCIAC 6 11 40 21 36 35 51 38 124 0.10
42 Branford SCIAC 8 9 45 37 45 43 37 46 126 0.10
43 Notre Dame-West SCIAC 9 8 41 38 40 42 45 43 130 0.10
44 North Haven SCIAC 11 8 38 42 39 44 50 37 131 0.10
45 Suffield HS NWCIAC 8 9 51 54 52 49 34 50 133 0.10
46 Tolland CCIAC 7 10 57 55 57 50 29 54 133 0.10
47 Northwest Cathol CCIAC 9 8 44 47 46 45 47 42 134 0.10
48 Ledyard ECIAC 10 9 35 39 38 33 74 33 140 0.10
49 Shelton SCIAC 11 7 28 50 41 48 58 44 150 0.10
50 Farmington CCIAC 12 5 50 80 30 51 72 28 151 0.10
51 Ellington NWCIAC 6 10 61 67 60 56 39 57 152 0.10
52 Bacon Academy ECIAC 7 10 58 69 58 57 46 53 156 0.10
53 Pomperaug SWCIAC 10 10 46 41 51 46 63 49 158 0.10
54 Fitch-Groton ECIAC 5 11 62 59 70 59 41 61 161 0.10
55 Trinity Catholic FCIAC 1 14 71 20 71 64 28 70 162 0.10
56 Notre Dame-Fairf SWCIAC 8 10 59 56 54 55 52 56 163 0.10
57 Bunnell-Stratfor SWCIAC 8 9 55 63 50 58 60 48 166 0.10
58 Morgan-Clinton Shore 6 10 53 58 64 52 57 66 175 0.10
59 Stamford FCIAC 5 11 48 24 47 53 73 52 178 0.10
60 Westhill FCIAC 6 10 39 29 49 54 65 60 179 0.10
61 Woodstock Academ ECIAC 2 14 73 49 78 68 38 76 182 0.10
62 Trumbull FCIAC 3 13 60 28 69 61 53 72 186 0.10
63 Saint Bernard ECIAC 6 10 67 73 66 67 59 62 188 0.10
64 East Catholic CCIAC 8 9 56 79 53 63 71 55 189 0.10
65 Hamden SCIAC 6 10 54 62 61 65 61 63 189 0.10
66 Old Saybrook Shore 6 10 64 70 65 60 66 67 193 0.10
67 Windsor CCIAC 1 15 76 48 80 71 43 79 193 0.10
68 Danbury FCIAC 3 13 63 26 68 62 62 71 195 0.10
69 Immaculate Danbu SWCIAC 5 11 68 64 62 69 64 64 197 0.10
70 Stratford SWCIAC 6 10 66 74 55 72 68 59 199 0.10
71 Amistad Academy Indep 0 4 82 82 33 82 82 36 200 0.10
72 Canton NWCIAC 1 15 80 66 81 74 48 81 203 0.10
73 Valley Regional Shore 6 10 65 75 67 66 70 68 204 0.10
74 Berlin CCIAC 4 12 69 72 73 70 67 73 210 0.10
75 Rockville CCIAC 2 13 75 71 77 73 69 78 220 0.10
76 Lewis Mills-Burl Indep 6 10 70 81 63 77 81 65 223 0.10
77 Watertown NWCIAC 3 11 74 76 72 78 80 69 227 0.10
78 West Haven SCIAC 3 13 72 65 76 75 75 77 227 0.10
79 Wheeler-No Stoni ECIAC 0 14 81 68 75 76 77 75 228 0.10
80 Rocky Hill CCIAC 2 12 78 77 74 79 78 74 231 0.10
81 Housatonic Valle Indep 2 14 79 78 79 80 79 80 239 0.10
82 Wilbur Cross SCIAC 0 16 77 61 82 81 76 82 239 0.10
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