Region = VA    Nationl          
   Nickname = A Patriots             Coach  =   Greg Beer             

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   88.2638092    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 314 A Centreville            VA    Concord (10- 5, 94.6)     8-18   
 316 A Mount Vernon           VA    Nationl ( 8-10, 82.8)     3- 6   
 320 H South Lakes            VA    Liberty ( 7- 6, 89.1)     7-11   
 322 H McLean                 VA    Liberty ( 5-10, 83.6)     7- 9   
 326 H Chantilly              VA    Concord (18- 4, 97.7)     4-10   
 328 A Herndon                VA    Concord ( 7- 7, 88.1)     4-12   
 330 H Westfield              VA    Concord (12- 6, 94.6)     5- 6   
 410 A Falls Church           VA    Nationl ( 4- 8, 78.4)    13- 8   
 411 A Oakton                 VA    Concord (13- 7, 93.7)     5-10   
 413 H Hayfield               VA    Nationl ( 4- 8, 79.4)     8- 3   
 417 H J.E.B. Stuart          VA    Nationl ( 2-10, 74.1)    12- 4   
 419 A Washington-Lee         VA    Nationl ( 7- 9, 81.0)     8- 4   
 427 A Wakefield HS           VA    Nationl ( 1-12, 66.1)    11- 1   
 430 H Edison                 VA    Nationl (13- 6, 90.7)     5- 9   
 504 H Hayfield               VA    Nationl ( 4- 8, 79.4)     8- 3   
 508 A Mount Vernon           VA    Nationl ( 8-10, 82.8)     8-10   
 515 H South County           VA    Patriot (13- 3, 95.6)     5-17   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   314 A Centreville             8-18     -10   -12           0.00
   316 A Mount Vernon            3- 6      -3     0    -     -2.41
   320 H South Lakes             7-11      -4    -5           1.81
   322 H McLean                  7- 9      -2     0          -1.60
   326 H Chantilly               4-10      -6   -14    ++     4.00
   328 A Herndon                 4-12      -8    -5    -     -2.16
   330 H Westfield               5- 6      -1   -11    +++    9.00
   410 A Falls Church           13- 8       5     3           1.16
   411 A Oakton                  5-10      -5   -11    ++     5.00
   413 H Hayfield                8- 3       5     3           1.10
   417 H J.E.B. Stuart          12- 4       8     9          -1.18
   419 A Washington-Lee          8- 4       4     1    +      2.81
   427 A Wakefield HS           11- 1      10    16           0.00
   430 H Edison                  5- 9      -4    -7    +      3.47
   504 H Hayfield                8- 3       5     3           1.10
   508 A Mount Vernon            8-10      -2     0          -1.41
   515 H South County            5-17     -12   -12           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   316 A Mount Vernon            3- 6      -3     0    -     -2.41
   328 A Herndon                 4-12      -8    -5    -     -2.16

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   330 H Westfield               5- 6      -1   -11    +++    9.00
   326 H Chantilly               4-10      -6   -14    ++     4.00
   411 A Oakton                  5-10      -5   -11    ++     5.00
   419 A Washington-Lee          8- 4       4     1    +      2.81
   430 H Edison                  5- 9      -4    -7    +      3.47
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 82.73 Local Power Rank...........    21
 Local SOS Rating......... 68.59 Local SOS Rank.............    20
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.44 Local RPI Rank.............    19
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    30
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    25
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    7.1 Ave Defensive Goals ......    8.3
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  6-11 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -1.2
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -9.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -6.8
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0-11 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -5.2
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -3.0
/