Conf =  SCIAC                     Region = CT L                   
   Nickname = T Falcons              Coach  =   Scott Basile          

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   84.7856979    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 404 A Southington            CT L          ( 5-11, 76.2)     9- 4   
 412 H North Haven            CT M          (11- 8, 78.7)     7- 3   
 417 A Branford               CT M          ( 8- 9, 77.4)    10- 6   
 419 A Amity Regional         CT L          ( 6-11, 78.3)     9- 7   
 423 A Daniel Hand-Madison    CT M          (11-10, 82.6)     5-13   
 425 H Fairfield Prep         CT L          (19- 4, 94.6)     4-14   
 427 A Wilbur Cross           CT M          ( 0-16, 58.5)    13- 1   
 430 H Shelton                CT L          (11- 7, 81.1)     7- 5   
 501 A Hamden                 CT L          ( 6-10, 73.4)     4- 2   
 505 H Joel Barlow            CT S          (18- 3, 96.0)     4-17   
 507 H Notre Dame-West Haven  CT M          ( 9- 8, 78.1)     6- 3   
 509 A Conard-West Hartford   CT L          (11- 7, 83.4)     1-10   
 511 A Guilford               CT M          (12- 8, 85.5)     4- 9   
 517 A Weston                 CT S          (17- 5, 89.6)     0-11   
 518 H Cheshire HS            CT L          ( 9-11, 84.5)     7- 4   
 519 A West Haven             CT L          ( 3-13, 61.9)    16- 1   
 521 H Cheshire HS            CT L          ( 9-11, 84.5)    10-12   
 530 A Shelton                CT L          (11- 7, 81.1)     8- 6   
 602 A Simsbury               CT L          (18- 2, 92.3)     3-11   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   404 A Southington             9- 4       5     3           1.11
   412 H North Haven             7- 3       4     3           0.68
   417 A Branford               10- 6       4     2           1.28
   419 A Amity Regional          9- 7       2     1           0.17
   423 A Daniel Hand-Madison     5-13      -8    -2    --    -5.46
   425 H Fairfield Prep          4-14     -10   -12           0.00
   427 A Wilbur Cross           13- 1      12    21           0.00
   430 H Shelton                 7- 5       2     0           1.04
   501 A Hamden                  4- 2       2     6    --    -4.67
   505 H Joel Barlow             4-17     -13   -13           0.00
   507 H Notre Dame-West Haven   6- 3       3     3          -0.90
   509 A Conard-West Hartford    1-10      -9    -3    --    -5.74
   511 A Guilford                4- 9      -5    -5           0.41
   517 A Weston                  0-11     -11    -9          -0.53
   518 H Cheshire HS             7- 4       3    -2    ++     5.52
   519 A West Haven             16- 1      15    18           0.00
   521 H Cheshire HS            10-12      -2    -2           0.52
   530 A Shelton                 8- 6       2     0    +      2.97
   602 A Simsbury                3-11      -8   -12    +      2.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   423 A Daniel Hand-Madison     5-13      -8    -2    --    -5.46
   501 A Hamden                  4- 2       2     6    --    -4.67
   509 A Conard-West Hartford    1-10      -9    -3    --    -5.74

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   518 H Cheshire HS             7- 4       3    -2    ++     5.52
   530 A Shelton                 8- 6       2     0    +      2.97
   602 A Simsbury                3-11      -8   -12    +      2.00
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 81.06 Local Power Rank...........    29
 Local SOS Rating......... 60.35 Local SOS Rank.............    27
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.56 Local RPI Rank.............    26
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    82
 Local Quality Win Rating.-40.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    25
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    6.7 Ave Defensive Goals ......    7.3
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 11- 8 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -0.6
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -11.5
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....  -10.5
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  1- 7 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -6.9
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -2.7
/