Conf =  Dist-III                  Region = PA    Lan-Leb          
   Nickname = A Warriors             Coach  =   Chris Schmehl         

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   94.5576477    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 324 H Trinity HS             PA    Mid 1   (11- 8, 91.0)     6- 4   
 327 A Penn Manor             PA    Lan-Leb (13- 6, 92.1)     4- 5   
 329 A Wilson West Lawn       PA    Berks   (19- 3, 97.9)     6- 4   
 331 H Hershey                PA    Mid 1   (19- 2, 99.4)     4-10   
 402 H Elizabethtown          PA    Lan-Leb (12- 7, 89.6)     8- 4   
 404 H Ephrata                PA    Lan-Leb (22- 3, 99.9)     4-10   
 409 H Lampeter-Strasburg     PA    Lan-Leb ( 4-11, 80.7)    11- 3   
 411 H Conestoga Valley       PA    Lan-Leb ( 7-10, 82.9)    11- 3   
 412 A Lancaster Mennonite    PA    Lan-Leb ( 0-15, 67.7)    14- 1   
 414 A Easton                 PA    LehighV ( 8-11, 81.3)     4- 7   
 417 A Manheim Township       PA    Lan-Leb (19- 7, 95.8)     3-12   
 419 A Cocalico               PA    Lan-Leb ( 6-11, 83.5)     9- 4   
 423 A Hempfield              PA    Lan-Leb (16- 8, 93.9)     5- 6   
 427 H Garden Spot            PA    Lan-Leb ( 1-17, 71.6)    14- 2   
 428 H West Chester Henderson PA    ChesMon (17- 3, 96.0)     5-11   
 501 A Cedar Crest            PA    Lan-Leb ( 4-14, 79.3)    14- 1   
 502 H Lancaster Cou Day      PA    Lan-Leb ( 8-10, 84.7)     7- 0   
 515 A Hershey                PA    Mid 1   (19- 2, 99.4)     7-10   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   324 H Trinity HS              6- 4       2     0           1.68
   327 A Penn Manor              4- 5      -1    -2           1.32
   329 A Wilson West Lawn        6- 4       2    -8    +++   10.10
   331 H Hershey                 4-10      -6    -8    +      2.02
   402 H Elizabethtown           8- 4       4     1    +      2.21
   404 H Ephrata                 4-10      -6    -8    +      2.54
   409 H Lampeter-Strasburg     11- 3       8    10    -     -2.00
   411 H Conestoga Valley       11- 3       8     8          -0.46
   412 A Lancaster Mennonite    14- 1      13    22           0.00
   414 A Easton                  4- 7      -3     8          n/a  
   417 A Manheim Township        3-12      -9    -6    -     -2.97
   419 A Cocalico                9- 4       5     6          -1.27
   423 A Hempfield               5- 6      -1    -4    +      3.18
   427 H Garden Spot            14- 2      12    19           0.00
   428 H West Chester Henderson  5-11      -6    -4          n/a  
   501 A Cedar Crest            14- 1      13    10           0.00
   502 H Lancaster Cou Day       7- 0       7     6           0.38
   515 A Hershey                 7-10      -3    -9    +++    6.62

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   414 A Easton                  4- 7      -3     8    ---        
   409 H Lampeter-Strasburg     11- 3       8    10    -     -2.00
   417 A Manheim Township        3-12      -9    -6    -     -2.97

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   329 A Wilson West Lawn        6- 4       2    -8    +++   10.10
   515 A Hershey                 7-10      -3    -9    +++    6.62
   331 H Hershey                 4-10      -6    -8    +      2.02
   402 H Elizabethtown           8- 4       4     1    +      2.21
   404 H Ephrata                 4-10      -6    -8    +      2.54
   423 A Hempfield               5- 6      -1    -4    +      3.18
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 90.56 Local Power Rank...........    12
 Local SOS Rating......... 74.51 Local SOS Rank.............     7
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.57 Local RPI Rank.............    11
 Championship Probability .    1.0 Championship Rank .......    11
 Local Quality Win Rating. 45.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    10
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    7.6 Ave Defensive Goals ......    5.4
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 10- 8 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    2.2
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  1- 4 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -4.4
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  1- 6 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -3.4
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  3- 6 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -2.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    5.7
/