Conf =  Div I                     Region = NY A  Sec 11           
   Nickname = Y Colonials            Coach  =   Desmond Megna         

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   81.0980911    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 323 A East Hampton           NY B  Sec 11  ( 4-12, 73.1)     5- 4   
 324 H Brentwood              NY A  Sec 11  ( 3-13, 67.5)     9- 1   
 327 A Connetquot             NY A  Sec 11  ( 3-13, 78.2)     5-15   
 329 A Middle Country         NY A  Sec 11  ( 6-10, 76.6)     4- 6   
 403 H Walt Whitman           NY A  Sec 11  (10- 7, 86.6)     1-14   
 413 A West Babylon           NY A  Sec 11  (10- 7, 81.7)     7-14   
 414 H New Milford            CT L          ( 7-11, 80.1)    10- 6   
 417 H Patchogue-Medford      NY A  Sec 11  ( 4-11, 75.9)     7- 6   
 419 A Copiague               NY A  Sec 11  ( 2-14, 69.0)    11- 3   
 423 A Half Hollow Hills East NY A  Sec 11  (10- 8, 85.2)     9-16   
 425 H Half Hollow Hills West NY A  Sec 11  ( 9- 8, 82.8)     2- 6   
 428 H Riverhead              NY A  Sec 11  (10- 6, 80.3)    13-14   
 502 A Longwood               NY A  Sec 11  ( 3-13, 73.0)     6- 9   
 504 H East Islip             NY A  Sec 11  ( 5-11, 79.7)     6-11   
 508 A Commack                NY A  Sec 11  ( 4-12, 75.0)     8- 7  o
 510 H Sachem East            NY A  Sec 11  ( 9- 8, 85.5)     6-15   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   323 A East Hampton            5- 4       1     2          -1.32
   324 H Brentwood               9- 1       8     8          -0.72
   327 A Connetquot              5-15     -10    -2    ---   -7.25
   329 A Middle Country          4- 6      -2    -1          -0.87
   403 H Walt Whitman            1-14     -13   -10           0.00
   413 A West Babylon            7-14      -7    -6          -0.79
   414 H New Milford            10- 6       4    -3          n/a  
   417 H Patchogue-Medford       7- 6       1     0           0.68
   419 A Copiague               11- 3       8     6           1.58
   423 A Half Hollow Hills East  9-16      -7    -9    +      2.70
   425 H Half Hollow Hills West  2- 6      -4    -6    +      2.56
   428 H Riverhead              13-14      -1    -4    +      3.07
   502 A Longwood                6- 9      -3     2    --    -5.43
   504 H East Islip              6-11      -5    -3          -1.50
   508 A Commack                 8- 7  o    1     0           0.52
   510 H Sachem East             6-15      -9    -9           0.31

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   327 A Connetquot              5-15     -10    -2    ---   -7.25
   502 A Longwood                6- 9      -3     2    --    -5.43

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   414 H New Milford            10- 6       4    -3    +++        
   423 A Half Hollow Hills East  9-16      -7    -9    +      2.70
   425 H Half Hollow Hills West  2- 6      -4    -6    +      2.56
   428 H Riverhead              13-14      -1    -4    +      3.07
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 75.84 Local Power Rank...........    37
 Local SOS Rating......... 54.48 Local SOS Rank.............    44
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.37 Local RPI Rank.............    39
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    46
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    38
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    6.8 Ave Defensive Goals ......    9.2
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  6-10 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -2.4
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -9.7
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -4.3
/