Region = NY B  Sec 6            
   Nickname = Y Flames               Coach  =   Ed Greenway           

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   85.2092590    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 320 A Nichols                NY P  Sec 6   (11- 8, 86.1)    11-10   
 324 A St Joseph Collegiate   NY P  Sec 6   (12- 6, 88.5)     5-11   
 328 A Grand Island           NY B  Sec 6   ( 3-13, 70.7)    17- 3   
 330 A Lew-Port               NY C  Sec 6   ( 3-15, 65.1)    20- 4   
 403 H Niagara Wheatfield     NY B  Sec 6   (16- 3, 94.6)     5-16   
 417 A West Seneca West       NY B  Sec 6   ( 4-12, 76.7)     9- 1   
 419 H Sweet Home             NY B  Sec 6   ( 4-13, 74.1)    14- 3   
 420 A Amherst Central        NY B  Sec 6   (12- 6, 87.6)     3-11   
 426 A Williamsville South    NY B  Sec 6   ( 3-14, 71.8)    12- 3   
 428 H North Allegheny        PA    Div1-S2 (11- 6, 90.3)     7- 9   
 501 A Lake Shore Central     NY B  Sec 6   (11- 7, 84.0)    11-13   
 503 H West Seneca East       NY B  Sec 6   (11- 8, 82.6)    13-12  o
 507 H Hamburg                NY B  Sec 6   (18- 2, 99.9)     3-19   
 510 A Williamsville North    NY B  Sec 6   ( 9- 9, 83.4)     7-12   
 514 A North Tonawanda        NY B  Sec 6   ( 1-16, 66.5)    19- 3   
 515 A Iroquois Central       NY B  Sec 6   ( 9- 9, 80.8)     8-12   
 518 H Sweet Home             NY B  Sec 6   ( 4-13, 74.1)    12- 8   
 522 A Hamburg                NY B  Sec 6   (18- 2, 99.9)     2-15   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   320 A Nichols                11-10       1    -3    ++     4.61
   324 A St Joseph Collegiate    5-11      -6    -6           0.03
   328 A Grand Island           17- 3      14    11           0.00
   330 A Lew-Port               20- 4      16    17           0.00
   403 H Niagara Wheatfield      5-16     -11   -10           0.00
   417 A West Seneca West        9- 1       8     5    +      2.22
   419 H Sweet Home             14- 3      11    10           0.00
   420 A Amherst Central         3-11      -8    -5    -     -2.87
   426 A Williamsville South    12- 3       9    10          -1.00
   428 H North Allegheny         7- 9      -2    -6          n/a  
   501 A Lake Shore Central     11-13      -2    -1          -0.42
   503 H West Seneca East       13-12  o    1     1          -0.81
   507 H Hamburg                 3-19     -16   -15           0.00
   510 A Williamsville North     7-12      -5     0    --    -4.09
   514 A North Tonawanda        19- 3      16    15           0.00
   515 A Iroquois Central        8-12      -4     1    --    -5.70
   518 H Sweet Home             12- 8       4    10    ---   -6.00
   522 A Hamburg                 2-15     -13   -17           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   518 H Sweet Home             12- 8       4    10    ---   -6.00
   510 A Williamsville North     7-12      -5     0    --    -4.09
   515 A Iroquois Central        8-12      -4     1    --    -5.70
   420 A Amherst Central         3-11      -8    -5    -     -2.87

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   320 A Nichols                11-10       1    -3    ++     4.61
   428 H North Allegheny         7- 9      -2    -6    ++         
   417 A West Seneca West        9- 1       8     5    +      2.22
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 83.45 Local Power Rank...........    14
 Local SOS Rating......... 62.74 Local SOS Rank.............    16
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.51 Local RPI Rank.............    16
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    30
 Local Quality Win Rating.-25.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    17
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    9.9 Ave Defensive Goals ......    9.2
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  9- 9 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    0.7
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -13.3
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....  -10.8
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  2- 7 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -6.6
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -4.3
/