Conf =  Monroe-1                  Region = NY A  Sec 5            
   Nickname = Y Warriors             Coach  =   John McGurk           

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   87.6392212    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 324 H Irondequoit            NY B  Sec 5   (19- 3, 97.7)     2-15   
 327 H Webster Thomas         NY A  Sec 5   ( 9- 8, 88.2)    10-14   
 331 A Fairport               NY A  Sec 5   (20- 1, 99.9)     0-16   
 411 A Spencerport            NY B  Sec 5   (13- 4, 89.4)     6-18   
 417 A Pittsford              NY A  Sec 5   (12- 6, 91.2)     3- 6   
 419 A Irondequoit            NY B  Sec 5   (19- 3, 97.7)     1-14   
 424 H Fairport               NY A  Sec 5   (20- 1, 99.9)     3-11   
 426 H Victor                 NY B  Sec 5   (10- 8, 88.7)     8-16   
 501 H Rush-Henrietta         NY A  Sec 5   ( 4-14, 77.9)     8- 4   
 503 A Canandaigua            NY B  Sec 5   (10- 9, 88.4)     6-14   
 505 H Clarence               NY A  Sec 6   (13- 5, 91.5)     8-10   
 508 H Penn Yan               NY C  Sec 5   (20- 3, 96.1)     5- 9   
 510 H Honeoye Falls-Lima     NY C  Sec 5   ( 8-11, 84.5)     8- 9   
 512 A Webster Thomas         NY A  Sec 5   ( 9- 8, 88.2)     7-13   
 515 A Penfield               NY A  Sec 5   (14- 5, 94.1)     4-13   
 517 A Brighton               NY B  Sec 5   ( 3-15, 78.0)    15- 8   
 521 A Greece Arcadia/Olympia NY A  Sec 5   ( 6-12, 77.0)     7-10   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   324 H Irondequoit             2-15     -13   -17           0.00
   327 H Webster Thomas         10-14      -4    -8    ++     4.40
   331 A Fairport                0-16     -16   -22           0.00
   411 A Spencerport             6-18     -12   -12           0.00
   417 A Pittsford               3- 6      -3   -13    +++    7.00
   419 A Irondequoit             1-14     -13   -20           0.00
   424 H Fairport                3-11      -8   -20    +      2.00
   426 H Victor                  8-16      -8    -8           0.92
   501 H Rush-Henrietta          8- 4       4     1    +      2.14
   503 A Canandaigua             6-14      -8   -11    +      2.00
   505 H Clarence                8-10      -2   -11          n/a  
   508 H Penn Yan                5- 9      -4   -16    +++    6.00
   510 H Honeoye Falls-Lima      8- 9      -1    -4    +      3.75
   512 A Webster Thomas          7-13      -6   -10    ++     4.00
   515 A Penfield                4-13      -9   -16           1.00
   517 A Brighton               15- 8       7     0    +++    7.60
   521 A Greece Arcadia/Olympia  7-10      -3     0    -     -3.31

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   521 A Greece Arcadia/Olympia  7-10      -3     0    -     -3.31

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   417 A Pittsford               3- 6      -3   -13    +++    7.00
   505 H Clarence                8-10      -2   -11    +++        
   508 H Penn Yan                5- 9      -4   -16    +++    6.00
   517 A Brighton               15- 8       7     0    +++    7.60
   327 H Webster Thomas         10-14      -4    -8    ++     4.40
   512 A Webster Thomas          7-13      -6   -10    ++     4.00
   424 H Fairport                3-11      -8   -20    +      2.00
   501 H Rush-Henrietta          8- 4       4     1    +      2.14
   503 A Canandaigua             6-14      -8   -11    +      2.00
   510 H Honeoye Falls-Lima      8- 9      -1    -4    +      3.75
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 78.56 Local Power Rank...........    19
 Local SOS Rating......... 77.54 Local SOS Rank.............     1
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.48 Local RPI Rank.............    22
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    36
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    25
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    5.9 Ave Defensive Goals ......   11.8
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  2-15 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -5.8
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 7 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -9.4
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 9 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -9.6
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0-13 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -8.1
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -1.7
/