Region = PA    Div2-S1          
   Nickname = A Bears                Coach  =   Chris Ortmann         

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   78.4209442    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 410 A Quaker Valley          PA    Div2-S1 ( 9- 5, 82.0)     8-13   
 412 H Seton LaSalle          PA    Div2-S1 ( 9- 6, 79.9)     2- 6   
 417 A Canon-McMillan         PA    Div2-S1 (13- 5, 81.3)     9-15   
 419 H Knoch                  PA    Indep   ( 5-12, 71.3)     8- 6   
 421 H Baldwin                PA    Div2-S1 ( 6-12, 73.4)     7- 6   
 423 A Taylor Allderdice      PA    Div2-S2 ( 2-10, 68.1)     8-10   
 425 H Latrobe                PA    Div2-S1 ( 6- 8, 75.5)     8- 9  o
 427 H Taylor Allderdice      PA    Div2-S2 ( 2-10, 68.1)     7- 6   
 430 H Erie Cathedral Prep    PA    Indep   (10- 8, 78.2)     6- 7 2o
 502 A Norwin                 PA    Div2-S1 ( 1-13, 67.2)     4- 5   
 503 A Chartiers Valley       PA    Div2-S1 (11- 8, 80.5)     4- 8   
 509 H Greensburg Cath Cent   PA    Div2-S1 (11- 8, 81.7)     4-10   
 510 A Moon Area              PA    Indep   (10- 7, 75.1)     8- 7   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   410 A Quaker Valley           8-13      -5    -9    ++     4.66
   412 H Seton LaSalle           2- 6      -4    -7    +      3.56
   417 A Canon-McMillan          9-15      -6    -9    +      3.04
   419 H Knoch                   8- 6       2     0           1.01
   421 H Baldwin                 7- 6       1    -1    +      2.05
   423 A Taylor Allderdice       8-10      -2     4    ---   -6.22
   425 H Latrobe                 8- 9  o   -1    -3    +      2.14
   427 H Taylor Allderdice       7- 6       1     4    -     -3.24
   430 H Erie Cathedral Prep     6- 7 2o   -1    -5    ++     4.92
   502 A Norwin                  4- 5      -1     5    ---   -6.12
   503 A Chartiers Valley        4- 8      -4    -8    ++     4.17
   509 H Greensburg Cath Cent    4-10      -6    -9    +      3.42
   510 A Moon Area               8- 7       1    -2    +      3.79

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   423 A Taylor Allderdice       8-10      -2     4    ---   -6.22
   502 A Norwin                  4- 5      -1     5    ---   -6.12
   427 H Taylor Allderdice       7- 6       1     4    -     -3.24

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   410 A Quaker Valley           8-13      -5    -9    ++     4.66
   430 H Erie Cathedral Prep     6- 7 2o   -1    -5    ++     4.92
   503 A Chartiers Valley        4- 8      -4    -8    ++     4.17
   412 H Seton LaSalle           2- 6      -4    -7    +      3.56
   417 A Canon-McMillan          9-15      -6    -9    +      3.04
   421 H Baldwin                 7- 6       1    -1    +      2.05
   425 H Latrobe                 8- 9  o   -1    -3    +      2.14
   509 H Greensburg Cath Cent    4-10      -6    -9    +      3.42
   510 A Moon Area               8- 7       1    -2    +      3.79
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 72.31 Local Power Rank...........    28
 Local SOS Rating......... 50.08 Local SOS Rank.............    31
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.42 Local RPI Rank.............    28
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    38
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    32
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    6.4 Ave Defensive Goals ......    8.3
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  4- 9 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -1.9
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 6 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -4.3
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -3.0
/