Conf =  Div I                     Region = NY A  Sec 11           
   Nickname = Y Patriots             Coach  =   Mike Hoppey           

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   99.5738373    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 324 A Garden City            NY B  Sec 8   (22- 0, 99.9)     9-12   
 327 H East Islip             NY A  Sec 11  ( 5-11, 79.7)    15- 3   
 329 H Northport              NY A  Sec 11  (11- 7, 91.9)    10- 6   
 402 H Mercer Island          WA 1  SoWest  (15- 7, 92.1)    18- 0   
 403 A North Babylon          NY A  Sec 11  ( 8- 8, 83.4)    13- 7   
 411 H Smithtown West         NY A  Sec 11  (16- 2, 99.9)     6-12   
 413 H Half Hollow Hills East NY A  Sec 11  (10- 8, 85.2)    15- 5   
 417 A Lindenhurst            NY A  Sec 11  ( 4-12, 79.5)    18- 4   
 419 A Sachem North           NY A  Sec 11  (13- 5, 91.0)    14- 7   
 421 N Connetquot             NY A  Sec 11  ( 3-13, 78.2)    12- 0   
 425 A Middle Country         NY A  Sec 11  ( 6-10, 76.6)    19- 1   
 428 A West Islip             NY A  Sec 11  (21- 1, 99.8)     5- 8   
 502 H West Babylon           NY A  Sec 11  (10- 7, 81.7)    22- 3   
 504 A Smithtown East         NY A  Sec 11  (11- 7, 87.7)    14- 2   
 508 H Sachem East            NY A  Sec 11  ( 9- 8, 85.5)    14- 0   
 510 A Bay Shore              NY A  Sec 11  (12- 6, 91.1)    18- 7   
 522 H Smithtown East         NY A  Sec 11  (11- 7, 87.7)    12- 5   
 525 A Smithtown West         NY A  Sec 11  (16- 2, 99.9)    13- 9   
 530 N West Islip             NY A  Sec 11  (21- 1, 99.8)     6- 9   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   324 A Garden City             9-12      -3    -2          n/a  
   327 H East Islip             15- 3      12    18           0.00
   329 H Northport              10- 6       4     6    -     -2.72
   402 H Mercer Island          18- 0      18     6          n/a  
   403 A North Babylon          13- 7       6    14    --    -4.00
   411 H Smithtown West          6-12      -6    -1    --    -4.71
   413 H Half Hollow Hills East 15- 5      10    13           0.00
   417 A Lindenhurst            18- 4      14    18           0.00
   419 A Sachem North           14- 7       7     6           0.15
   421 N Connetquot             12- 0      12    20           0.00
   425 A Middle Country         19- 1      18    21           0.00
   428 A West Islip              5- 8      -3    -1          -1.02
   502 H West Babylon           22- 3      19    16           0.00
   504 A Smithtown East         14- 2      12    10           0.00
   508 H Sachem East            14- 0      14    13           0.00
   510 A Bay Shore              18- 7      11     6    +      3.27
   522 H Smithtown East         12- 5       7    10    -     -3.00
   525 A Smithtown West         13- 9       4    -2    +++    6.06
   530 N West Islip              6- 9      -3    -1          -1.40

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   403 A North Babylon          13- 7       6    14    --    -4.00
   411 H Smithtown West          6-12      -6    -1    --    -4.71
   329 H Northport              10- 6       4     6    -     -2.72
   522 H Smithtown East         12- 5       7    10    -     -3.00

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   525 A Smithtown West         13- 9       4    -2    +++    6.06
   402 H Mercer Island          18- 0      18     6    +          
   510 A Bay Shore              18- 7      11     6    +      3.27
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 98.23 Local Power Rank...........     3
 Local SOS Rating......... 75.77 Local SOS Rank.............     3
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.67 Local RPI Rank.............     4
 Championship Probability .   29.0 Championship Rank .......     2
 Local Quality Win Rating.135.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     5
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   13.3 Ave Defensive Goals ......    5.3
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 15- 4 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    8.1
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  1- 3 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -2.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  3- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....    1.2
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  8- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    5.2
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    2.7
/