Conf =  Monroe-3                  Region = NY B  Sec 5            
   Nickname = Y Blue Devils          Coach  =   Mike Gottko           

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   93.3853455    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 327 H Williamsville South    NY B  Sec 6   ( 3-14, 71.8)    18- 0   
 331 H Lancaster              NY A  Sec 6   ( 8- 9, 83.4)    20- 9   
 405 A Fairport               NY A  Sec 5   (20- 1, 99.9)     4-10   
 412 H Spencerport            NY B  Sec 5   (13- 4, 89.4)    14- 8   
 419 H Webster Thomas         NY A  Sec 5   ( 9- 8, 88.2)     7-13   
 421 H Clarence               NY A  Sec 6   (13- 5, 91.5)     9-11   
 424 H Canandaigua            NY B  Sec 5   (10- 9, 88.4)    11-12  o
 426 A Webster Schroeder      NY A  Sec 5   ( 2-15, 78.6)    16- 8   
 428 A Penn Yan               NY C  Sec 5   (20- 3, 96.1)     6-10   
 501 A Irondequoit            NY B  Sec 5   (19- 3, 97.7)     6-12   
 503 H Penfield               NY A  Sec 5   (14- 5, 94.1)     5-17   
 505 H Brighton               NY B  Sec 5   ( 3-15, 78.0)    12- 4   
 508 A Honeoye Falls-Lima     NY C  Sec 5   ( 8-11, 84.5)    15-10   
 510 A Rush-Henrietta         NY A  Sec 5   ( 4-14, 77.9)    14- 7   
 514 H Gates-Chili            NY A  Sec 5   ( 9- 8, 79.0)    13- 3   
 517 H Pittsford              NY A  Sec 5   (12- 6, 91.2)    13-12   
 523 A McQuaid Jesuit         NY B  Sec 5   ( 9- 8, 85.4)    21- 9   
 525 N Irondequoit            NY B  Sec 5   (19- 3, 97.7)    11-20   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   327 H Williamsville South    18- 0      18    17          n/a  
   331 H Lancaster              20- 9      11     6          n/a  
   405 A Fairport                4-10      -6   -12    ++     4.00
   412 H Spencerport            14- 8       6     0    ++     5.54
   419 H Webster Thomas          7-13      -6     1    ---   -7.71
   421 H Clarence                9-11      -2    -1          n/a  
   424 H Canandaigua            11-12  o   -1     1    -     -2.50
   426 A Webster Schroeder      16- 8       8     8          -0.92
   428 A Penn Yan                6-10      -4    -8    ++     4.62
   501 A Irondequoit             6-12      -6   -10    ++     4.00
   503 H Penfield                5-17     -12    -4    --    -5.76
   505 H Brighton               12- 4       8    11    -     -2.00
   508 A Honeoye Falls-Lima     15-10       5     2    +      2.03
   510 A Rush-Henrietta         14- 7       7     9    -     -2.58
   514 H Gates-Chili            13- 3      10    10           0.00
   517 H Pittsford              13-12       1    -1    +      2.34
   523 A McQuaid Jesuit         21- 9      12     2    +++    7.96
   525 N Irondequoit            11-20      -9    -9           0.03

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   419 H Webster Thomas          7-13      -6     1    ---   -7.71
   503 H Penfield                5-17     -12    -4    --    -5.76
   424 H Canandaigua            11-12  o   -1     1    -     -2.50
   505 H Brighton               12- 4       8    11    -     -2.00
   510 A Rush-Henrietta         14- 7       7     9    -     -2.58

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   523 A McQuaid Jesuit         21- 9      12     2    +++    7.96
   405 A Fairport                4-10      -6   -12    ++     4.00
   412 H Spencerport            14- 8       6     0    ++     5.54
   428 A Penn Yan                6-10      -4    -8    ++     4.62
   501 A Irondequoit             6-12      -6   -10    ++     4.00
   331 H Lancaster              20- 9      11     6    +          
   508 A Honeoye Falls-Lima     15-10       5     2    +      2.03
   517 H Pittsford              13-12       1    -1    +      2.34
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 88.67 Local Power Rank...........    10
 Local SOS Rating......... 72.46 Local SOS Rank.............     8
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.57 Local RPI Rank.............     9
 Championship Probability .    2.0 Championship Rank .......     6
 Local Quality Win Rating. 60.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    11
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   11.9 Ave Defensive Goals ......    9.7
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 10- 8 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    2.2
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  1- 5 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -6.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  2- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -4.3
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  6- 7 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -0.2
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    1.3
/