Conf = Shore Region = NJ Grp-A Nickname = J Lancers Coach = Mike DowdGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 78.3798294 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 331 A Holmdel NJ Grp-II ( 9- 8, 79.7) 5-13 402 H Long Branch NJ Grp-II ( 0-20, 51.9) 15- 0 404 H Barnegat Township NJ Grp-I (10- 9, 71.6) 6-10 407 H Toms River East NJ Grp-III (10- 8, 77.0) 6-13 409 A Monsignor Donovan NJ Grp-A ( 4-12, 69.5) 2-10 411 H Manasquan NJ Grp-II ( 7-11, 73.6) 1- 9 416 A Colts Neck NJ Grp-III (11- 6, 81.3) 4-20 418 A Rumson-Fair Haven NJ Grp-I (19- 1, 88.8) 5- 8 421 A Red Bank Catholic NJ Grp-A (11- 7, 78.8) 4- 9 424 A Jackson Liberty NJ Grp-III ( 4-16, 67.7) 5- 4 2o 425 H Red Bank Regional NJ Grp-I (11-10, 76.1) 7- 4 427 H St Rose Belmar NJ Grp-B ( 7-12, 67.2) 9- 2 428 A Wall Township NJ Grp-III ( 7- 9, 73.5) 2- 7 503 A Shore Regional NJ Grp-I (10- 7, 74.2) 6- 5 504 H Ocean Township NJ Grp-II ( 3-13, 64.4) 10- 4 507 A Marlboro NJ Grp-IV ( 4-10, 68.5) 5- 2 508 H Toms River South NJ Grp-III ( 4-11, 70.5) 9- 8 o 510 A Toms River North NJ Grp-IV ( 5- 8, 70.7) 8- 4 518 A Seton Hall Prep NJ Grp-A (12- 6, 90.1) 3-13PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 331 A Holmdel 5-13 -8 -9 1.05 402 H Long Branch 15- 0 15 22 0.00 404 H Barnegat Township 6-10 -4 2 --- -6.38 407 H Toms River East 6-13 -7 -3 - -3.96 409 A Monsignor Donovan 2-10 -8 1 --- -9.23 411 H Manasquan 1- 9 -8 0 --- -8.35 416 A Colts Neck 4-20 -16 -10 0.00 418 A Rumson-Fair Haven 5- 8 -3 -18 +++ 7.00 421 A Red Bank Catholic 4- 9 -5 -8 + 3.15 424 A Jackson Liberty 5- 4 2o 1 2 -1.98 425 H Red Bank Regional 7- 4 3 -2 ++ 5.11 427 H St Rose Belmar 9- 2 7 6 0.28 428 A Wall Township 2- 7 -5 -2 - -2.21 503 A Shore Regional 6- 5 1 -3 ++ 4.53 504 H Ocean Township 10- 4 6 9 - -3.53 507 A Marlboro 5- 2 3 2 0.81 508 H Toms River South 9- 8 o 1 3 - -2.43 510 A Toms River North 8- 4 4 0 ++ 4.02 518 A Seton Hall Prep 3-13 -10 -19 0.00UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 404 H Barnegat Township 6-10 -4 2 --- -6.38 409 A Monsignor Donovan 2-10 -8 1 --- -9.23 411 H Manasquan 1- 9 -8 0 --- -8.35 407 H Toms River East 6-13 -7 -3 - -3.96 428 A Wall Township 2- 7 -5 -2 - -2.21 504 H Ocean Township 10- 4 6 9 - -3.53 508 H Toms River South 9- 8 o 1 3 - -2.43OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 418 A Rumson-Fair Haven 5- 8 -3 -18 +++ 7.00 425 H Red Bank Regional 7- 4 3 -2 ++ 5.11 503 A Shore Regional 6- 5 1 -3 ++ 4.53 510 A Toms River North 8- 4 4 0 ++ 4.02 421 A Red Bank Catholic 4- 9 -5 -8 + 3.15/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 72.32 Local Power Rank........... 131 Local SOS Rating......... 47.33 Local SOS Rank............. 141 Local RPI Rating......... 0.46 Local RPI Rank............. 126 Championship Probability . 0.1 Championship Rank ....... 155 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank..... 119 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 5.9 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 7.6 Wins/Losses(all )...... 9-10 Ave Goal diff (all )..... -1.7 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... -6.5 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... -1.7