Conf =  Shore                     Region = NJ    Grp-A            
   Nickname = J Lancers              Coach  =   Mike Dowd             

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   78.3798294    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 331 A Holmdel                NJ    Grp-II  ( 9- 8, 79.7)     5-13   
 402 H Long Branch            NJ    Grp-II  ( 0-20, 51.9)    15- 0   
 404 H Barnegat Township      NJ    Grp-I   (10- 9, 71.6)     6-10   
 407 H Toms River East        NJ    Grp-III (10- 8, 77.0)     6-13   
 409 A Monsignor Donovan      NJ    Grp-A   ( 4-12, 69.5)     2-10   
 411 H Manasquan              NJ    Grp-II  ( 7-11, 73.6)     1- 9   
 416 A Colts Neck             NJ    Grp-III (11- 6, 81.3)     4-20   
 418 A Rumson-Fair Haven      NJ    Grp-I   (19- 1, 88.8)     5- 8   
 421 A Red Bank Catholic      NJ    Grp-A   (11- 7, 78.8)     4- 9   
 424 A Jackson Liberty        NJ    Grp-III ( 4-16, 67.7)     5- 4 2o
 425 H Red Bank Regional      NJ    Grp-I   (11-10, 76.1)     7- 4   
 427 H St Rose Belmar         NJ    Grp-B   ( 7-12, 67.2)     9- 2   
 428 A Wall Township          NJ    Grp-III ( 7- 9, 73.5)     2- 7   
 503 A Shore Regional         NJ    Grp-I   (10- 7, 74.2)     6- 5   
 504 H Ocean Township         NJ    Grp-II  ( 3-13, 64.4)    10- 4   
 507 A Marlboro               NJ    Grp-IV  ( 4-10, 68.5)     5- 2   
 508 H Toms River South       NJ    Grp-III ( 4-11, 70.5)     9- 8  o
 510 A Toms River North       NJ    Grp-IV  ( 5- 8, 70.7)     8- 4   
 518 A Seton Hall Prep        NJ    Grp-A   (12- 6, 90.1)     3-13   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   331 A Holmdel                 5-13      -8    -9           1.05
   402 H Long Branch            15- 0      15    22           0.00
   404 H Barnegat Township       6-10      -4     2    ---   -6.38
   407 H Toms River East         6-13      -7    -3    -     -3.96
   409 A Monsignor Donovan       2-10      -8     1    ---   -9.23
   411 H Manasquan               1- 9      -8     0    ---   -8.35
   416 A Colts Neck              4-20     -16   -10           0.00
   418 A Rumson-Fair Haven       5- 8      -3   -18    +++    7.00
   421 A Red Bank Catholic       4- 9      -5    -8    +      3.15
   424 A Jackson Liberty         5- 4 2o    1     2          -1.98
   425 H Red Bank Regional       7- 4       3    -2    ++     5.11
   427 H St Rose Belmar          9- 2       7     6           0.28
   428 A Wall Township           2- 7      -5    -2    -     -2.21
   503 A Shore Regional          6- 5       1    -3    ++     4.53
   504 H Ocean Township         10- 4       6     9    -     -3.53
   507 A Marlboro                5- 2       3     2           0.81
   508 H Toms River South        9- 8  o    1     3    -     -2.43
   510 A Toms River North        8- 4       4     0    ++     4.02
   518 A Seton Hall Prep         3-13     -10   -19           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   404 H Barnegat Township       6-10      -4     2    ---   -6.38
   409 A Monsignor Donovan       2-10      -8     1    ---   -9.23
   411 H Manasquan               1- 9      -8     0    ---   -8.35
   407 H Toms River East         6-13      -7    -3    -     -3.96
   428 A Wall Township           2- 7      -5    -2    -     -2.21
   504 H Ocean Township         10- 4       6     9    -     -3.53
   508 H Toms River South        9- 8  o    1     3    -     -2.43

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   418 A Rumson-Fair Haven       5- 8      -3   -18    +++    7.00
   425 H Red Bank Regional       7- 4       3    -2    ++     5.11
   503 A Shore Regional          6- 5       1    -3    ++     4.53
   510 A Toms River North        8- 4       4     0    ++     4.02
   421 A Red Bank Catholic       4- 9      -5    -8    +      3.15
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 72.32 Local Power Rank...........   131
 Local SOS Rating......... 47.33 Local SOS Rank.............   141
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.46 Local RPI Rank.............   126
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......   155
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....   119
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    5.9 Ave Defensive Goals ......    7.6
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  9-10 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -1.7
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -6.5
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -1.7
/