Conf = Merrimack Region = MA 2 Nickname = A Redmen Coach = Joe GinsburgGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 83.2607498 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 329 H Bedford MA 3 ( 7-13, 76.5) 9- 5 403 A Haverhill MA 1 (13- 6, 81.8) 2- 8 405 A Dracut MA 2 ( 5-15, 73.1) 8- 6 407 H Groton-Dunstable MA 2 ( 8-10, 87.9) 4- 5 410 A Chelmsford MA 1 (13-10, 85.2) 3-11 412 A Central Catholic MA 1 ( 3-17, 70.6) 7- 6 416 A Wilmington MA 2 ( 2-14, 71.8) 9- 5 419 A Pentucket MA 2 ( 0-14, 64.3) 16- 2 421 A Triton Regional MA 2 (10- 9, 79.9) 9-10 425 H Melrose MA 2 (13- 8, 82.2) 8- 6 427 A Billerica MA 1 (16- 6, 90.1) 6- 8 501 A Lowell MA 1 ( 6-13, 74.3) 8- 9 502 A Andover HS MA 1 (11- 7, 89.1) 4-11 504 H Methuen MA 1 ( 5-15, 66.6) 12- 5 508 H Lowell MA 1 ( 6-13, 74.3) 10- 6 515 A Methuen MA 1 ( 5-15, 66.6) 10- 6 517 H Haverhill MA 1 (13- 6, 81.8) 7-12 520 H Central Catholic MA 1 ( 3-17, 70.6) 10- 6 521 H Dracut MA 2 ( 5-15, 73.1) 8- 7 524 H Triton Regional MA 2 (10- 9, 79.9) 2-10 530 A Wellesley MA 2 (20- 4, 95.2) 3-16PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 329 H Bedford 9- 5 4 3 0.45 403 A Haverhill 2- 8 -6 -3 - -2.09 405 A Dracut 8- 6 2 4 - -2.74 407 H Groton-Dunstable 4- 5 -1 -7 n/a 410 A Chelmsford 3-11 -8 -7 -0.61 412 A Central Catholic 7- 6 1 7 --- -6.29 416 A Wilmington 9- 5 4 6 - -2.08 419 A Pentucket 16- 2 14 13 0.00 421 A Triton Regional 9-10 -1 -2 1.07 425 H Melrose 8- 6 2 -2 ++ 4.18 427 A Billerica 6- 8 -2 -12 +++ 8.00 501 A Lowell 8- 9 -1 3 -- -4.52 502 A Andover HS 4-11 -7 -11 + 3.00 504 H Methuen 12- 5 7 13 - -3.00 508 H Lowell 10- 6 4 5 -1.66 515 A Methuen 10- 6 4 11 --- -6.00 517 H Haverhill 7-12 -5 -1 - -3.23 520 H Central Catholic 10- 6 4 9 -- -5.43 521 H Dracut 8- 7 1 6 -- -5.88 524 H Triton Regional 2-10 -8 0 --- -8.07 530 A Wellesley 3-16 -13 -17 0.00UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 412 A Central Catholic 7- 6 1 7 --- -6.29 515 A Methuen 10- 6 4 11 --- -6.00 524 H Triton Regional 2-10 -8 0 --- -8.07 501 A Lowell 8- 9 -1 3 -- -4.52 520 H Central Catholic 10- 6 4 9 -- -5.43 521 H Dracut 8- 7 1 6 -- -5.88 403 A Haverhill 2- 8 -6 -3 - -2.09 405 A Dracut 8- 6 2 4 - -2.74 416 A Wilmington 9- 5 4 6 - -2.08 504 H Methuen 12- 5 7 13 - -3.00 517 H Haverhill 7-12 -5 -1 - -3.23OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 407 H Groton-Dunstable 4- 5 -1 -7 +++ 427 A Billerica 6- 8 -2 -12 +++ 8.00 425 H Melrose 8- 6 2 -2 ++ 4.18 502 A Andover HS 4-11 -7 -11 + 3.00/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 78.93 Local Power Rank........... 73 Local SOS Rating......... 54.62 Local SOS Rank............. 89 Local RPI Rating......... 0.46 Local RPI Rank............. 93 Championship Probability . 0.1 Championship Rank ....... 133 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank..... 67 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 7.4 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 7.6 Wins/Losses(all )...... 11-10 Ave Goal diff (all )..... -0.2 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... -13.0 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... -13.0 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... -7.3 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... -6.7