Conf =  Shore                     Region = NJ    Grp-IV           
   Nickname = J Mariners             Coach  =   Brett Smith           

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   77.6678085    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 403 A Jackson Liberty        NJ    Grp-III ( 4-16, 67.7)     9- 5   
 405 H Jackson Memorial       NJ    Grp-IV  (16- 5, 86.7)     0-17   
 410 A Lacey Township         NJ    Grp-III ( 2-14, 63.1)    14- 5   
 412 H Southern Regional      NJ    Grp-IV  (17- 4, 83.5)     3-15   
 416 A Holmdel                NJ    Grp-II  ( 9- 8, 79.7)     7-15   
 419 A Toms River East        NJ    Grp-III (10- 8, 77.0)     4- 8   
 423 H Monsignor Donovan      NJ    Grp-A   ( 4-12, 69.5)    10- 5   
 426 H Toms River South       NJ    Grp-III ( 4-11, 70.5)     8- 5   
 428 A Brick Memorial         NJ    Grp-IV  (12- 5, 77.8)     2-10   
 501 A Brick Township         NJ    Grp-III (11- 6, 77.8)     4-14   
 510 H St John Vianney        NJ    Grp-A   ( 9-10, 72.3)     4- 8   
 516 H Red Bank Regional      NJ    Grp-I   (11-10, 76.1)    10- 4   
 519 A Eastern Regional       NJ    Grp-IV  (14- 7, 84.2)     2-19   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   403 A Jackson Liberty         9- 5       4     1    +      2.62
   405 H Jackson Memorial        0-17     -17   -14           0.00
   410 A Lacey Township         14- 5       9     5    +      3.00
   412 H Southern Regional       3-15     -12   -11           0.00
   416 A Holmdel                 7-15      -8   -10    +      2.00
   419 A Toms River East         4- 8      -4    -7    +      3.90
   423 H Monsignor Donovan      10- 5       5     2    +      2.12
   426 H Toms River South        8- 5       3     1           1.17
   428 A Brick Memorial          2-10      -8    -8           0.67
   501 A Brick Township          4-14     -10    -8          -1.26
   510 H St John Vianney         4- 8      -4     0    --    -4.02
   516 H Red Bank Regional      10- 4       6    -3    +++    9.72
   519 A Eastern Regional        2-19     -17   -15           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   510 H St John Vianney         4- 8      -4     0    --    -4.02

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   516 H Red Bank Regional      10- 4       6    -3    +++    9.72
   403 A Jackson Liberty         9- 5       4     1    +      2.62
   410 A Lacey Township         14- 5       9     5    +      3.00
   416 A Holmdel                 7-15      -8   -10    +      2.00
   419 A Toms River East         4- 8      -4    -7    +      3.90
   423 H Monsignor Donovan      10- 5       5     2    +      2.12
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 70.71 Local Power Rank...........   139
 Local SOS Rating......... 50.80 Local SOS Rank.............   103
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.47 Local RPI Rank.............   114
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......   162
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....   109
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    5.9 Ave Defensive Goals ......   10.0
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  5- 8 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -4.1
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....      
 Wins/Losses(2nd 10)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....      
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -5.0
/