Region = MI 4  NMLC             
   Nickname = I Thunder              Coach  =   Liberty Provost       

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   97.5410156    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 412 H Traverse City West     MI 4  NMLC    ( 3-13, 82.6)    16- 5   
 414 A Grand Rapids Christian MI 2          (13- 7, 75.5)     4- 7   
 414 N Spring Lake            MI 2          ( 9-10, 75.7)     7- 8  o
 417 A Cadillac               MI 4  NMLC    ( 5- 9, 86.8)    15- 1   
 419 H Traverse City          MI 4  NMLC    ( 9- 4, 98.8)     7- 8   
 421 H Sault Area             MI 4  NMLC    ( 8- 8, 90.1)    14- 2   
 421 N Heritage-Saginaw       MI 1          ( 7- 8, 70.6)    12- 5   
 424 H Petoskey               MI 4  NMLC    (12- 4, 99.9)    11- 9   
 426 H Cadillac               MI 4  NMLC    ( 5- 9, 86.8)    11- 6   
 428 N Walled Lake Central    MI 1          (12- 8, 77.1)     7- 8   
 508 A Traverse City          MI 4  NMLC    ( 9- 4, 98.8)     7- 2   
 515 A Petoskey               MI 4  NMLC    (12- 4, 99.9)    13-15   
 517 A Traverse City West     MI 4  NMLC    ( 3-13, 82.6)    13- 1   
 519 A Sault Area             MI 4  NMLC    ( 8- 8, 90.1)    10- 2   
 531 N Traverse City          MI 4  NMLC    ( 9- 4, 98.8)     6- 5  o
 602 N Petoskey               MI 4  NMLC    (12- 4, 99.9)    11-12   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   412 H Traverse City West     16- 5      11    13           0.00
   414 A Grand Rapids Christian  4- 7      -3    19          n/a  
   414 N Spring Lake             7- 8  o   -1    20          n/a  
   417 A Cadillac               15- 1      14     8           1.76
   419 H Traverse City           7- 8      -1    -2           1.36
   421 H Sault Area             14- 2      12     6    +      3.60
   421 N Heritage-Saginaw       12- 5       7    25          n/a  
   424 H Petoskey               11- 9       2    -3    ++     5.41
   426 H Cadillac               11- 6       5     9    --    -4.68
   428 N Walled Lake Central     7- 8      -1    18          n/a  
   508 A Traverse City           7- 2       5    -3    +++    8.80
   515 A Petoskey               13-15      -2    -4    +      2.85
   517 A Traverse City West     13- 1      12    12           0.00
   519 A Sault Area             10- 2       8     4    +      3.04
   531 N Traverse City           6- 5  o    1    -3    ++     4.08
   602 N Petoskey               11-12      -1    -4    +      3.13

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   414 A Grand Rapids Christian  4- 7      -3    19    ---        
   414 N Spring Lake             7- 8  o   -1    20    ---        
   428 N Walled Lake Central     7- 8      -1    18    ---        
   426 H Cadillac               11- 6       5     9    --    -4.68
   421 N Heritage-Saginaw       12- 5       7    25    -          

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   508 A Traverse City           7- 2       5    -3    +++    8.80
   424 H Petoskey               11- 9       2    -3    ++     5.41
   531 N Traverse City           6- 5  o    1    -3    ++     4.08
   421 H Sault Area             14- 2      12     6    +      3.60
   515 A Petoskey               13-15      -2    -4    +      2.85
   519 A Sault Area             10- 2       8     4    +      3.04
   602 N Petoskey               11-12      -1    -4    +      3.13
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 95.77 Local Power Rank...........     3
 Local SOS Rating......... 75.16 Local SOS Rank.............     4
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.65 Local RPI Rank.............     2
 Championship Probability .   27.0 Championship Rank .......     2
 Local Quality Win Rating.180.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     2
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   10.2 Ave Defensive Goals ......    6.0
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 10- 6 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    4.2
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  7- 3 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....    4.3
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  9- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....    5.5
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  9- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    5.5
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    2.7
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