Conf =  CentMass                  Region = MA 2                   
   Nickname = A Colonials            Coach  =   Nate Skermont         

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   95.5380249    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 403 H Nashoba Regional       MA 2          (10- 9, 89.6)     7- 8   
 405 A Westborough            MA 2          (11- 9, 91.5)     4- 7   
 407 A Tantasqua Regional     MA 2          (10- 9, 85.6)     6- 8   
 410 H Wachusett              MA 2          ( 5-13, 83.0)     6- 3   
 412 A Groton-Dunstable       MA 2          ( 8-10, 87.9)     9- 7   
 414 H St Johns Shrewsbury    MA 2          (16- 5, 96.1)     3- 6   
 419 H Grafton                MA 2          (21- 3, 99.1)     4- 6   
 421 H Nipmuc Regional        MA 2          (12- 9, 84.5)    12- 2   
 424 A Algonquin              MA 2          (22- 2, 99.9)     6- 8   
 502 H North Middlesex        MA 2          ( 0-18, 76.2)     9- 2   
 503 A Nashoba Regional       MA 2          (10- 9, 89.6)    12- 5   
 508 H Westborough            MA 2          (11- 9, 91.5)     9- 6   
 510 A Wachusett              MA 2          ( 5-13, 83.0)     7- 6  o
 512 A Framingham             MA 1          (12- 6, 89.0)     5- 7   
 515 H Groton-Dunstable       MA 2          ( 8-10, 87.9)    16- 8   
 517 H Algonquin              MA 2          (22- 2, 99.9)     2- 5   
 518 A St Peter Marian        MA 2          ( 5-13, 77.7)    14- 2   
 523 A North Middlesex        MA 2          ( 0-18, 76.2)    12- 5   
 530 H Tantasqua Regional     MA 2          (10- 9, 85.6)    19- 5   
 603 A Grafton                MA 2          (21- 3, 99.1)     4- 9   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   403 H Nashoba Regional        7- 8      -1     3    --    -4.55
   405 A Westborough             4- 7      -3     0    -     -2.14
   407 A Tantasqua Regional      6- 8      -2     5    ---   -7.11
   410 H Wachusett               6- 3       3    10    ---   -7.00
   412 A Groton-Dunstable        9- 7       2     2          -0.76
   414 H St Johns Shrewsbury     3- 6      -3    -3           0.03
   419 H Grafton                 4- 6      -2    -5    +      3.98
   421 H Nipmuc Regional        12- 2      10     8           1.40
   424 A Algonquin               6- 8      -2    -9    +++    7.23
   502 H North Middlesex         9- 2       7    16    -     -3.00
   503 A Nashoba Regional       12- 5       7     1    ++     5.90
   508 H Westborough             9- 6       3     1           1.41
   510 A Wachusett               7- 6  o    1     7    ---   -6.70
   512 A Framingham              5- 7      -2     1          n/a  
   515 H Groton-Dunstable       16- 8       8     5    +      2.78
   517 H Algonquin               2- 5      -3    -6    +      3.78
   518 A St Peter Marian        14- 2      12    12           0.00
   523 A North Middlesex        12- 5       7    14    -     -3.00
   530 H Tantasqua Regional     19- 5      14     7    +      2.44
   603 A Grafton                 4- 9      -5    -8    +      3.43

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   407 A Tantasqua Regional      6- 8      -2     5    ---   -7.11
   410 H Wachusett               6- 3       3    10    ---   -7.00
   510 A Wachusett               7- 6  o    1     7    ---   -6.70
   403 H Nashoba Regional        7- 8      -1     3    --    -4.55
   405 A Westborough             4- 7      -3     0    -     -2.14
   502 H North Middlesex         9- 2       7    16    -     -3.00
   512 A Framingham              5- 7      -2     1    -          
   523 A North Middlesex        12- 5       7    14    -     -3.00

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   424 A Algonquin               6- 8      -2    -9    +++    7.23
   503 A Nashoba Regional       12- 5       7     1    ++     5.90
   419 H Grafton                 4- 6      -2    -5    +      3.98
   515 H Groton-Dunstable       16- 8       8     5    +      2.78
   517 H Algonquin               2- 5      -3    -6    +      3.78
   530 H Tantasqua Regional     19- 5      14     7    +      2.44
   603 A Grafton                 4- 9      -5    -8    +      3.43
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 91.89 Local Power Rank...........     6
 Local SOS Rating......... 74.93 Local SOS Rank.............     6
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.56 Local RPI Rank.............     7
 Championship Probability .    1.0 Championship Rank .......     9
 Local Quality Win Rating.115.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     5
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    8.3 Ave Defensive Goals ......    5.8
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 11- 9 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    2.5
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 5 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -3.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  4- 7 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....    0.1
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  9- 8 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    2.3
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    5.3
/