Conf =  ECIAC                     Region = CT S                   
   Nickname = T Bears                Coach  =   Paul Deon             

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   84.6279602    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 405 A Woodstock Academy      CT M          ( 2-14, 61.5)    10- 2   
 412 H Ledyard                CT S          (10- 9, 79.4)     3- 2 2o
 417 A Saint Bernard          CT S          ( 6-10, 67.6)    11- 0   
 419 H East Lyme              CT M          (16- 4, 85.9)     2-10   
 421 A Daniel Hand-Madison    CT M          (11-10, 82.6)     1- 3   
 424 A Waterford              CT M          (10- 7, 78.0)     4- 3   
 426 A Bacon Academy          CT S          ( 7-10, 71.0)    15- 3   
 428 H Guilford               CT M          (12- 8, 85.5)     6- 5  o
 502 H Norwich Free Academy   CT L          (14- 5, 81.8)     5- 7   
 503 H Wheeler-No Stonington  CT S          ( 0-14, 55.9)    19- 0   
 505 A Old Lyme               CT S          (14- 4, 81.3)     7- 8   
 508 A Ledyard                CT S          (10- 9, 79.4)     8- 4   
 510 H Saint Bernard          CT S          ( 6-10, 67.6)    16- 2   
 516 H Morgan-Clinton         CT S          ( 6-10, 73.8)    12- 3   
 517 H Waterford              CT M          (10- 7, 78.0)    11- 7   
 519 A Wheeler-No Stonington  CT S          ( 0-14, 55.9)    17- 0   
 523 A Norwich Free Academy   CT L          (14- 5, 81.8)     8- 9   
 530 H East Catholic          CT S          ( 8- 9, 71.3)     8- 1   
 602 A Weston                 CT S          (17- 5, 89.6)     6- 8   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   405 A Woodstock Academy      10- 2       8    19    -     -2.00
   412 H Ledyard                 3- 2 2o    1     3    -     -2.49
   417 A Saint Bernard          11- 0      11    13           0.00
   419 H East Lyme               2-10      -8    -2    --    -5.01
   421 A Daniel Hand-Madison     1- 3      -2    -1          -0.34
   424 A Waterford               4- 3       1     3    -     -2.01
   426 A Bacon Academy          15- 3      12     9           0.05
   428 H Guilford                6- 5  o    1    -2    +      3.60
   502 H Norwich Free Academy    5- 7      -2     1    -     -3.09
   503 H Wheeler-No Stonington  19- 0      19    27           0.00
   505 A Old Lyme                7- 8      -1     0          -0.64
   508 A Ledyard                 8- 4       4     1    +      2.44
   510 H Saint Bernard          16- 2      14    15           0.00
   516 H Morgan-Clinton         12- 3       9     9          -0.12
   517 H Waterford              11- 7       4     4          -0.94
   519 A Wheeler-No Stonington  17- 0      17    25           0.00
   523 A Norwich Free Academy    8- 9      -1     0          -0.16
   530 H East Catholic           8- 1       7    11    -     -3.00
   602 A Weston                  6- 8      -2    -8    +++    6.59

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   419 H East Lyme               2-10      -8    -2    --    -5.01
   405 A Woodstock Academy      10- 2       8    19    -     -2.00
   412 H Ledyard                 3- 2 2o    1     3    -     -2.49
   424 A Waterford               4- 3       1     3    -     -2.01
   502 H Norwich Free Academy    5- 7      -2     1    -     -3.09
   530 H East Catholic           8- 1       7    11    -     -3.00

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   602 A Weston                  6- 8      -2    -8    +++    6.59
   428 H Guilford                6- 5  o    1    -2    +      3.60
   508 A Ledyard                 8- 4       4     1    +      2.44
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 81.94 Local Power Rank...........    23
 Local SOS Rating......... 50.42 Local SOS Rank.............    45
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.55 Local RPI Rank.............    27
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    66
 Local Quality Win Rating.-50.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    27
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    8.9 Ave Defensive Goals ......    4.1
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 13- 6 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    4.8
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -2.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -3.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    1.3
/