Conf =  GMC                       Region = NJ    Grp-A            
   Nickname = J Falcons              Coach  =   Marc Moreau           

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   88.0137711    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 403 H Edison                 NJ    Grp-IV  ( 6-11, 68.1)    17- 2   
 405 H East Brunswick         NJ    Grp-IV  ( 5-13, 71.8)    10- 2   
 407 H Mountain Lakes         NJ    Grp-I   (15- 4, 91.1)     5-17   
 410 A South Brunswick        NJ    Grp-IV  (11- 8, 81.0)     8- 7   
 412 H J.P. Stevens           NJ    Grp-IV  ( 4-11, 59.1)    15- 0   
 414 H Seton Hall Prep        NJ    Grp-A   (12- 6, 90.1)     7-10   
 416 A Central Bucks East     PA    SubCont (19- 3, 95.1)    11-13   
 418 A Rutgers Prep           NJ    Private ( 9- 6, 85.6)     4- 8   
 419 H North Brunswick        NJ    Grp-IV  ( 0-12, 56.1)    19- 1   
 423 H Bergen Catholic        NJ    Grp-A   (10- 7, 85.4)     8- 9   
 424 A Old Bridge             NJ    Grp-IV  ( 8-10, 75.0)    14- 6   
 427 N Bishop Guertin         NH 1          (18- 3, 99.9)     6-14   
 428 N Boston College HS      MA 1          (13- 9, 89.1)     6- 7  o
 501 A Monroe Township        NJ    Grp-III (16- 4, 84.1)     8-10   
 503 A Immaculata             NJ    Grp-B   ( 5-10, 80.9)     7- 9   
 508 H Manasquan              NJ    Grp-II  ( 7-11, 73.6)    12- 2   
 510 A Brick Township         NJ    Grp-III (11- 6, 77.8)    15- 3   
 512 H J.P. Stevens           NJ    Grp-IV  ( 4-11, 59.1)    17- 1   
 516 H South Brunswick        NJ    Grp-IV  (11- 8, 81.0)    11- 4   
 518 N Monroe Township        NJ    Grp-III (16- 4, 84.1)    15- 4   
 521 H Notre Dame-Lawrence    NJ    Grp-A   ( 9- 8, 79.1)    16- 5   
 523 A Don Bosco Prep         NJ    Grp-A   (18- 1, 96.9)     0-15   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   403 H Edison                 17- 2      15    16           0.00
   405 H East Brunswick         10- 2       8    13    -     -2.00
   407 H Mountain Lakes          5-17     -12    -6    -     -3.84
   410 A South Brunswick         8- 7       1     0           0.29
   412 H J.P. Stevens           15- 0      15    25           0.00
   414 H Seton Hall Prep         7-10      -3    -5    +      2.17
   416 A Central Bucks East     11-13      -2   -12          n/a  
   418 A Rutgers Prep            4- 8      -4    -3          -0.02
   419 H North Brunswick        19- 1      18    28           0.00
   423 H Bergen Catholic         8- 9      -1     0          -0.48
   424 A Old Bridge             14- 6       8     6           1.32
   427 N Bishop Guertin          6-14      -8   -16          n/a  
   428 N Boston College HS       6- 7  o   -1    -5          n/a  
   501 A Monroe Township         8-10      -2    -2           0.39
   503 A Immaculata              7- 9      -2     0    -     -2.77
   508 H Manasquan              12- 2      10    11           0.00
   510 A Brick Township         15- 3      12     3    +++    6.16
   512 H J.P. Stevens           17- 1      16    25           0.00
   516 H South Brunswick        11- 4       7     3    +      3.04
   518 N Monroe Township        15- 4      11     0    +++   10.77
   521 H Notre Dame-Lawrence    16- 5      11     5    ++     4.19
   523 A Don Bosco Prep          0-15     -15   -15           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   405 H East Brunswick         10- 2       8    13    -     -2.00
   407 H Mountain Lakes          5-17     -12    -6    -     -3.84
   503 A Immaculata              7- 9      -2     0    -     -2.77

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   416 A Central Bucks East     11-13      -2   -12    +++        
   510 A Brick Township         15- 3      12     3    +++    6.16
   518 N Monroe Township        15- 4      11     0    +++   10.77
   428 N Boston College HS       6- 7  o   -1    -5    ++         
   521 H Notre Dame-Lawrence    16- 5      11     5    ++     4.19
   414 H Seton Hall Prep         7-10      -3    -5    +      2.17
   427 N Bishop Guertin          6-14      -8   -16    +          
   516 H South Brunswick        11- 4       7     3    +      3.04
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 83.29 Local Power Rank...........    46
 Local SOS Rating......... 59.85 Local SOS Rank.............    44
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.55 Local RPI Rank.............    53
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......   156
 Local Quality Win Rating.-75.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    54
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   10.5 Ave Defensive Goals ......    6.8
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 12-10 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    3.7
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -15.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....  -15.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....  -10.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    2.3
/