Region = NY P  Sec 6            
   Nickname = Y Red Raiders          Coach  =   Greg Van Remmen       

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   87.1201172    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 324 A Aquinas Institute      NY C  Sec 5   (14- 5, 89.9)     8-14   
 327 H West Seneca West       NY B  Sec 6   ( 4-12, 76.7)    11- 5   
 329 A Eden                   NY C  Sec 6   ( 5-11, 77.0)     8- 4   
 403 H St Mary's Lancaster    NY P  Sec 6   ( 2-16, 67.4)    20- 0   
 417 H St Joseph Collegiate   NY P  Sec 6   (12- 6, 88.5)    10-11   
 420 A Erie Cathedral Prep    PA    Indep   (10- 8, 78.2)    18- 3   
 421 A Erie-McDowell          PA    Div2-S2 ( 7-12, 76.0)    17- 4   
 426 A Lockport               NY A  Sec 6   ( 3-13, 73.8)    14- 4   
 430 A Timon St Jude          NY P  Sec 6   (17- 4, 98.9)     5-17   
 501 A Nichols                NY P  Sec 6   (11- 8, 86.1)     7-15   
 503 A St Mary's Lancaster    NY P  Sec 6   ( 2-16, 67.4)    16- 2   
 508 H Timon St Jude          NY P  Sec 6   (17- 4, 98.9)     5-19   
 510 H Canisius               NY P  Sec 6   ( 5-12, 81.9)     9- 7   
 512 H Lake Shore Central     NY B  Sec 6   (11- 7, 84.0)    11- 9   
 515 H Nichols                NY P  Sec 6   (11- 8, 86.1)    17- 8   
 517 A St Joseph Collegiate   NY P  Sec 6   (12- 6, 88.5)     5-13   
 519 A Bishop Kearney         NY C  Sec 5   ( 1-15, 64.8)    21- 5   
 521 A Canisius               NY P  Sec 6   ( 5-12, 81.9)    12-11   
 526 N Timon St Jude          NY P  Sec 6   (17- 4, 98.9)     6-20   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   324 A Aquinas Institute       8-14      -6    -3          n/a  
   327 H West Seneca West       11- 5       6    11    --    -4.00
   329 A Eden                    8- 4       4     9    --    -5.22
   403 H St Mary's Lancaster    20- 0      20    20           0.00
   417 H St Joseph Collegiate   10-11      -1     0          -0.76
   420 A Erie Cathedral Prep    18- 3      15     8          n/a  
   421 A Erie-McDowell          17- 4      13    10          n/a  
   426 A Lockport               14- 4      10    12           0.00
   430 A Timon St Jude           5-17     -12   -12           0.00
   501 A Nichols                 7-15      -8     0    ---   -8.20
   503 A St Mary's Lancaster    16- 2      14    18           0.00
   508 H Timon St Jude           5-19     -14   -10           0.00
   510 H Canisius                9- 7       2     6    --    -4.30
   512 H Lake Shore Central     11- 9       2     4    -     -2.22
   515 H Nichols                17- 8       9     2    +++    6.82
   517 A St Joseph Collegiate    5-13      -8    -2    --    -5.78
   519 A Bishop Kearney         21- 5      16    21          n/a  
   521 A Canisius               12-11       1     4    -     -3.32
   526 N Timon St Jude           6-20     -14   -11           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   501 A Nichols                 7-15      -8     0    ---   -8.20
   327 H West Seneca West       11- 5       6    11    --    -4.00
   329 A Eden                    8- 4       4     9    --    -5.22
   510 H Canisius                9- 7       2     6    --    -4.30
   517 A St Joseph Collegiate    5-13      -8    -2    --    -5.78
   324 A Aquinas Institute       8-14      -6    -3    -          
   512 H Lake Shore Central     11- 9       2     4    -     -2.22
   521 A Canisius               12-11       1     4    -     -3.32

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   515 H Nichols                17- 8       9     2    +++    6.82
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 87.25 Local Power Rank...........     9
 Local SOS Rating......... 63.32 Local SOS Rank.............    14
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.54 Local RPI Rank.............    11
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    24
 Local Quality Win Rating. 40.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    11
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   11.6 Ave Defensive Goals ......    9.0
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 12- 7 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    2.6
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -13.3
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -9.8
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  4- 6 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -4.3
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    1.0
/