Conf =  D1                        Region = CA    WCAL             
   Nickname = A Lancers              Coach  =   Gregory Derus         

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   83.5124054    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 224 H Jesuit-Sacramento      CA    SanJoq  (13- 5, 86.5)     4- 7   
 227 H Los Altos              CA    SCVAL-E (16- 3, 79.6)     7- 2   
 229 H Leland                 CA    SCVAL-E ( 0-14, 58.5)    13- 1   
 303 H Sacred Heart Prep      CA    SCVAL-D (13- 5, 88.5)     6-13   
 305 A Burlingame             CA    SCVAL-D ( 5-12, 75.9)     6- 8   
 307 A Bellarmine Prep        CA    WCAL    (14- 8, 88.8)     3- 8   
 309 A Archbishop Mitty       CA    WCAL    ( 6-11, 76.5)     4- 9   
 310 A Granada                CA    EastBay ( 5-16, 78.8)     5- 4   
 314 H Serra-San Mateo        CA    WCAL    ( 9-12, 79.0)     6-10   
 317 N Alhambra               CA    DFAL    ( 0-19, 67.7)    11- 4   
 317 A Saint Mary's-Stockton  CA    SanJoq  ( 6-14, 75.0)     9-10  o
 319 A Saint Ignatius Prep    CA    WCAL    (21- 1, 99.9)     2-13   
 321 H Sacred Heart Cathedral CA    WCAL    ( 5-14, 70.7)     5- 6   
 327 H Archbishop Mitty       CA    WCAL    ( 6-11, 76.5)     7- 5   
 330 H Saint Ignatius Prep    CA    WCAL    (21- 1, 99.9)     3-18   
 403 H Bellarmine Prep        CA    WCAL    (14- 8, 88.8)     6-11   
 406 H Scotts Valley          CA    SCCAL   (16- 2, 85.0)    11-13   
 418 A Sacred Heart Cathedral CA    WCAL    ( 5-14, 70.7)    11-10  o
 420 A Serra-San Mateo        CA    WCAL    ( 9-12, 79.0)     5-11   
 426 H Burlingame             CA    SCVAL-D ( 5-12, 75.9)     7- 6  o
 430 A Archbishop Mitty       CA    WCAL    ( 6-11, 76.5)     5-10   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   224 H Jesuit-Sacramento       4- 7      -3   -10          n/a  
   227 H Los Altos               7- 2       5    -3    +++    8.27
   229 H Leland                 13- 1      12    17           0.00
   303 H Sacred Heart Prep       6-13      -7   -12    +      3.00
   305 A Burlingame              6- 8      -2    -1          -0.90
   307 A Bellarmine Prep         3- 8      -5   -13    ++     5.00
   309 A Archbishop Mitty        4- 9      -5    -1    -     -3.35
   310 A Granada                 5- 4       1    -3          n/a  
   314 H Serra-San Mateo         6-10      -4    -2          -1.36
   317 N Alhambra               11- 4       7     7          n/a  
   317 A Saint Mary's-Stockton   9-10  o   -1     0          n/a  
   319 A Saint Ignatius Prep     2-13     -11   -25           0.00
   321 H Sacred Heart Cathedral  5- 6      -1     5    ---   -6.65
   327 H Archbishop Mitty        7- 5       2     0    +      2.15
   330 H Saint Ignatius Prep     3-18     -15   -23           0.00
   403 H Bellarmine Prep         6-11      -5   -12    ++     5.00
   406 H Scotts Valley          11-13      -2    -8    +++    6.70
   418 A Sacred Heart Cathedral 11-10  o    1     4    -     -3.15
   420 A Serra-San Mateo         5-11      -6    -4          -1.86
   426 H Burlingame              7- 6  o    1     0           0.60
   430 A Archbishop Mitty        5-10      -5    -1    -     -3.35

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   321 H Sacred Heart Cathedral  5- 6      -1     5    ---   -6.65
   309 A Archbishop Mitty        4- 9      -5    -1    -     -3.35
   418 A Sacred Heart Cathedral 11-10  o    1     4    -     -3.15
   430 A Archbishop Mitty        5-10      -5    -1    -     -3.35

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   224 H Jesuit-Sacramento       4- 7      -3   -10    +++        
   227 H Los Altos               7- 2       5    -3    +++    8.27
   406 H Scotts Valley          11-13      -2    -8    +++    6.70
   307 A Bellarmine Prep         3- 8      -5   -13    ++     5.00
   310 A Granada                 5- 4       1    -3    ++         
   403 H Bellarmine Prep         6-11      -5   -12    ++     5.00
   303 H Sacred Heart Prep       6-13      -7   -12    +      3.00
   327 H Archbishop Mitty        7- 5       2     0    +      2.15
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 75.56 Local Power Rank...........    18
 Local SOS Rating......... 58.59 Local SOS Rank.............    11
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.45 Local RPI Rank.............    23
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    22
 Local Quality Win Rating.-65.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    20
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    6.5 Ave Defensive Goals ......    8.5
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  7-14 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -2.0
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 6 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -7.5
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  1- 6 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -5.7
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  3-11 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -4.2
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -3.3
/