Region = NY P  Sec 6            
   Nickname = Y Lancers              Coach  =   Brian Hinton          

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   72.6173630    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 320 A Lew-Port               NY C  Sec 6   ( 3-15, 65.1)     8- 6   
 323 A Akron                  NY C  Sec 6   (14- 4, 86.2)     7-21   
 327 A St Joseph Collegiate   NY P  Sec 6   (12- 6, 88.5)     0-15   
 329 A Wilson Central         NY C  Sec 6   (13- 5, 81.4)     6-11   
 331 H Grand Island           NY B  Sec 6   ( 3-13, 70.7)     5-14   
 403 A St Francis             NY P  Sec 6   (12- 7, 87.3)     0-20   
 417 H Nichols                NY P  Sec 6   (11- 8, 86.1)     3-22   
 419 H St Joseph Collegiate   NY P  Sec 6   (12- 6, 88.5)     2-15   
 420 A Medina                 NY C  Sec 6   ( 8- 9, 76.1)     3- 9   
 424 A Canisius               NY P  Sec 6   ( 5-12, 81.9)     1-15   
 426 H East Aurora            NY C  Sec 6   ( 8- 6, 81.3)     3-15   
 501 H Timon St Jude          NY P  Sec 6   (17- 4, 98.9)     2-19   
 503 H St Francis             NY P  Sec 6   (12- 7, 87.3)     2-16   
 504 A Erie-McDowell          PA    Div2-S2 ( 7-12, 76.0)     8- 7  o
 505 A Erie Cathedral Prep    PA    Indep   (10- 8, 78.2)     7-14   
 512 A Timon St Jude          NY P  Sec 6   (17- 4, 98.9)     1-26   
 517 A Nichols                NY P  Sec 6   (11- 8, 86.1)     0-18   
 522 H Canisius               NY P  Sec 6   ( 5-12, 81.9)     1-16   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   320 A Lew-Port                8- 6       2     1           0.67
   323 A Akron                   7-21     -14   -19           0.00
   327 A St Joseph Collegiate    0-15     -15   -22           0.00
   329 A Wilson Central          6-11      -5   -14    ++     5.00
   331 H Grand Island            5-14      -9    -2    ---   -6.64
   403 A St Francis              0-20     -20   -20           0.00
   417 H Nichols                 3-22     -19   -17           0.00
   419 H St Joseph Collegiate    2-15     -13   -20           0.00
   420 A Medina                  3- 9      -6    -9    +      3.70
   424 A Canisius                1-15     -14   -15           0.00
   426 H East Aurora             3-15     -12   -12           0.00
   501 H Timon St Jude           2-19     -17   -30           0.00
   503 H St Francis              2-16     -14   -18           0.00
   504 A Erie-McDowell           8- 7  o    1    -9          n/a  
   505 A Erie Cathedral Prep     7-14      -7   -11          n/a  
   512 A Timon St Jude           1-26     -25   -32           0.00
   517 A Nichols                 0-18     -18   -19           0.00
   522 H Canisius                1-16     -15   -13           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   331 H Grand Island            5-14      -9    -2    ---   -6.64

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   504 A Erie-McDowell           8- 7  o    1    -9    +++        
   329 A Wilson Central          6-11      -5   -14    ++     5.00
   420 A Medina                  3- 9      -6    -9    +      3.70
   505 A Erie Cathedral Prep     7-14      -7   -11    +          
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 67.38 Local Power Rank...........    30
 Local SOS Rating......... 64.60 Local SOS Rank.............    11
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.41 Local RPI Rank.............    27
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    26
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    28
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    3.3 Ave Defensive Goals ......   15.5
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  2-16 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....  -12.2
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -21.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 7 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....  -16.9
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0-13 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....  -15.5
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....  -19.3
/