Conf =  Fitch                     Region = NJ    Grp-A            
   Nickname = J Pirates              Coach  =   Dave Giarusso         

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   94.1619415    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 331 A Cherokee               NJ    Grp-IV  (10- 9, 79.8)    18- 4   
 403 H Madison                NJ    Grp-I   ( 7-11, 81.3)    17- 2   
 405 H Westfield              NJ    Grp-IV  (12- 8, 86.9)     8- 9   
 410 A Summit                 NJ    Grp-I   (20- 2, 96.5)     4-11   
 412 H Glen Ridge             NJ    Grp-I   (16- 6, 91.7)     8- 3   
 414 A St Joseph Metuchen     NJ    Grp-A   (12-10, 83.3)    10- 7   
 417 H Mendham                NJ    Grp-II  ( 7-11, 81.3)     6- 2   
 419 A Lawrenceville          NJ    Private (17- 4, 94.3)     8-14   
 421 H Chatham                NJ    Grp-II  (16- 8, 90.7)    12- 3   
 425 A Delbarton              NJ    Grp-A   (16- 7, 94.2)    10-14   
 428 H West Morris Central    NJ    Grp-III (11- 9, 84.7)    11-10  o
 501 H West Essex Regional    NJ    Grp-I   ( 4-14, 77.9)    12- 6   
 508 H West Essex Regional    NJ    Grp-I   ( 4-14, 77.9)    20-12   
 510 N Montclair              NJ    Grp-IV  (11- 9, 86.2)    12- 7   
 512 N Glen Ridge             NJ    Grp-I   (16- 6, 91.7)    10-16   
 518 H St John Vianney        NJ    Grp-A   ( 9-10, 72.3)    13- 3   
 524 H St Peter's Prep        NJ    Grp-A   (13- 6, 87.6)    13- 5   
 526 A Don Bosco Prep         NJ    Grp-A   (18- 1, 96.9)    12-14   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   331 A Cherokee               18- 4      14     8           1.35
   403 H Madison                17- 2      15    10           0.00
   405 H Westfield               8- 9      -1     4    --    -5.83
   410 A Summit                  4-11      -7    -8           1.07
   412 H Glen Ridge              8- 3       5     0    ++     5.03
   414 A St Joseph Metuchen     10- 7       3     5    -     -2.17
   417 H Mendham                 6- 2       4    10    ---   -6.00
   419 A Lawrenceville           8-14      -6    -5          -0.20
   421 H Chatham                12- 3       9     1    +++    7.94
   425 A Delbarton              10-14      -4    -5           1.77
   428 H West Morris Central    11-10  o    1     6    --    -5.97
   501 H West Essex Regional    12- 6       6    13    --    -4.00
   508 H West Essex Regional    20-12       8    13    -     -2.00
   510 N Montclair              12- 7       5     3           1.08
   512 N Glen Ridge             10-16      -6    -1    --    -4.34
   518 H St John Vianney        13- 3      10    19           0.00
   524 H St Peter's Prep        13- 5       8     4    +      3.88
   526 A Don Bosco Prep         12-14      -2    -8    +++    6.48

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   417 H Mendham                 6- 2       4    10    ---   -6.00
   405 H Westfield               8- 9      -1     4    --    -5.83
   428 H West Morris Central    11-10  o    1     6    --    -5.97
   501 H West Essex Regional    12- 6       6    13    --    -4.00
   512 N Glen Ridge             10-16      -6    -1    --    -4.34
   414 A St Joseph Metuchen     10- 7       3     5    -     -2.17
   508 H West Essex Regional    20-12       8    13    -     -2.00

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   421 H Chatham                12- 3       9     1    +++    7.94
   526 A Don Bosco Prep         12-14      -2    -8    +++    6.48
   412 H Glen Ridge              8- 3       5     0    ++     5.03
   524 H St Peter's Prep        13- 5       8     4    +      3.88
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 90.09 Local Power Rank...........    14
 Local SOS Rating......... 70.23 Local SOS Rank.............    13
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.63 Local RPI Rank.............    15
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......   148
 Local Quality Win Rating. 45.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    15
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   11.3 Ave Defensive Goals ......    7.9
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 12- 6 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    3.4
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 4 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -4.8
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  1- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -3.3
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  2- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -1.6
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    5.3
/