Conf =  D2                        Region = CA    NCLA-W           
   Nickname = A Steelheads           Coach  =   Jamie Poore           

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   95.0143890    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 225 A Napa                   CA    NCLA-W  ( 0-11, 76.0)    15- 5   
 308 A Casa Grande            CA    NCLA-W  (13- 4, 94.1)     4-12   
 311 H Pleasant Grove         CA    NCLA-E  (16- 1, 97.6)     7-15   
 313 H Petaluma               CA    NCLA-W  (14- 7, 92.7)     6- 7   
 317 A Glencoe                OR    Pacific (14- 5, 93.2)     6-11   
 318 A Clackamas              OR    Rivers  ( 8-10, 86.4)     5-16   
 401 H South Valley           CA    NCLA-S  (19- 0, 99.9)    11-12   
 407 A Rancho Cotati          CA    NCLA-W  (11- 5, 92.3)     5- 7   
 412 H Skyline                WA 1  NoEast  (12- 8, 87.6)     5-17   
 415 A Petaluma               CA    NCLA-W  (14- 7, 92.7)    10- 9   
 419 H Casa Grande            CA    NCLA-W  (13- 4, 94.1)     5- 6 2o
 422 H Napa                   CA    NCLA-W  ( 0-11, 76.0)    11- 2   
 425 H Rancho Cotati          CA    NCLA-W  (11- 5, 92.3)     9- 6   
 429 A San Jose               CA    NCLA-S  ( 6- 8, 81.0)     8- 7   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   225 A Napa                   15- 5      10     7    +      2.54
   308 A Casa Grande             4-12      -8   -10    +      2.00
   311 H Pleasant Grove          7-15      -8   -11    +      2.00
   313 H Petaluma                6- 7      -1    -6    ++     5.58
   317 A Glencoe                 6-11      -5    -9          n/a  
   318 A Clackamas               5-16     -11    -2          n/a  
   401 H South Valley           11-12      -1   -13    +++    9.00
   407 A Rancho Cotati           5- 7      -2    -8    +++    6.84
   412 H Skyline                 5-17     -12    -1          n/a  
   415 A Petaluma               10- 9       1    -9    +++   10.23
   419 H Casa Grande             5- 6 2o   -1    -7    +++    6.92
   422 H Napa                   11- 2       9    10          -1.00
   425 H Rancho Cotati           9- 6       3    -6    +++    9.19
   429 A San Jose                8- 7       1     2          -1.48

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   318 A Clackamas               5-16     -11    -2    ---        
   412 H Skyline                 5-17     -12    -1    ---        

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   401 H South Valley           11-12      -1   -13    +++    9.00
   407 A Rancho Cotati           5- 7      -2    -8    +++    6.84
   415 A Petaluma               10- 9       1    -9    +++   10.23
   419 H Casa Grande             5- 6 2o   -1    -7    +++    6.92
   425 H Rancho Cotati           9- 6       3    -6    +++    9.19
   313 H Petaluma                6- 7      -1    -6    ++     5.58
   317 A Glencoe                 6-11      -5    -9    ++         
   225 A Napa                   15- 5      10     7    +      2.54
   308 A Casa Grande             4-12      -8   -10    +      2.00
   311 H Pleasant Grove          7-15      -8   -11    +      2.00
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 84.81 Local Power Rank...........    15
 Local SOS Rating......... 77.13 Local SOS Rank.............     2
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.56 Local RPI Rank.............    12
 Championship Probability .    3.0 Championship Rank .......     7
 Local Quality Win Rating. 50.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    10
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    7.6 Ave Defensive Goals ......    9.4
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  5- 9 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -1.8
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  1- 5 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -3.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  2- 6 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -2.1
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  3- 6 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -1.8
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  3- 0 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    4.3
/