Conf =  Div I                     Region = NY A  Sec 11           
   Nickname = Y Braves               Coach  =   Rob Murphy            

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   89.7384338    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 320 H Bayport-Blue Point     NY C  Sec 11  (12- 6, 91.1)     7-14   
 323 A Eastport/South Manor   NY B  Sec 11  (12- 6, 89.9)     5- 9   
 327 A Smithtown East         NY A  Sec 11  (11- 7, 87.7)    11- 7   
 329 A Half Hollow Hills West NY A  Sec 11  ( 9- 8, 82.8)    12- 7   
 403 H Smithtown West         NY A  Sec 11  (16- 2, 99.9)     2-13   
 411 H Walt Whitman           NY A  Sec 11  (10- 7, 86.6)    13- 8   
 414 A Sachem North           NY A  Sec 11  (13- 5, 91.0)     9-17   
 417 H West Islip             NY A  Sec 11  (21- 1, 99.8)     5-10   
 419 A East Islip             NY A  Sec 11  ( 5-11, 79.7)    13- 5   
 423 H Copiague               NY A  Sec 11  ( 2-14, 69.0)    16- 4   
 425 A Northport              NY A  Sec 11  (11- 7, 91.9)    10-14   
 428 H Half Hollow Hills East NY A  Sec 11  (10- 8, 85.2)    11- 7   
 502 H Connetquot             NY A  Sec 11  ( 3-13, 78.2)    12- 8   
 504 H Patchogue-Medford      NY A  Sec 11  ( 4-11, 75.9)     9- 7   
 508 A Ward Melville          NY A  Sec 11  (15- 4, 98.2)     0-14   
 510 A William Floyd          NY A  Sec 11  ( 6-10, 75.8)    15- 6   
 517 H Half Hollow Hills East NY A  Sec 11  (10- 8, 85.2)     6-13   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   320 H Bayport-Blue Point      7-14      -7    -5          -1.77
   323 A Eastport/South Manor    5- 9      -4    -4           0.78
   327 A Smithtown East         11- 7       4    -2    +++    6.50
   329 A Half Hollow Hills West 12- 7       5     2    +      2.64
   403 H Smithtown West          2-13     -11   -13           0.00
   411 H Walt Whitman           13- 8       5     0    ++     5.69
   414 A Sachem North            9-17      -8    -5    -     -2.16
   417 H West Islip              5-10      -5   -13    ++     5.00
   419 A East Islip             13- 5       8     5    +      2.58
   423 H Copiague               16- 4      12    16           0.00
   425 A Northport              10-14      -4    -6    +      2.73
   428 H Half Hollow Hills East 11- 7       4     0    +      3.24
   502 H Connetquot             12- 8       4     7    -     -3.71
   504 H Patchogue-Medford       9- 7       2    10    ---   -8.00
   508 A Ward Melville           0-14     -14   -13           0.00
   510 A William Floyd          15- 6       9     9          -0.31
   517 H Half Hollow Hills East  6-13      -7     0    ---   -7.76

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   504 H Patchogue-Medford       9- 7       2    10    ---   -8.00
   517 H Half Hollow Hills East  6-13      -7     0    ---   -7.76
   414 A Sachem North            9-17      -8    -5    -     -2.16
   502 H Connetquot             12- 8       4     7    -     -3.71

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   327 A Smithtown East         11- 7       4    -2    +++    6.50
   411 H Walt Whitman           13- 8       5     0    ++     5.69
   417 H West Islip              5-10      -5   -13    ++     5.00
   329 A Half Hollow Hills West 12- 7       5     2    +      2.64
   419 A East Islip             13- 5       8     5    +      2.58
   425 A Northport              10-14      -4    -6    +      2.73
   428 H Half Hollow Hills East 11- 7       4     0    +      3.24
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 85.54 Local Power Rank...........    18
 Local SOS Rating......... 70.57 Local SOS Rank.............    14
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.54 Local RPI Rank.............    16
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    39
 Local Quality Win Rating.-25.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    19
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    9.2 Ave Defensive Goals ......    9.6
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  9- 8 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -0.4
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -10.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -8.2
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  3- 8 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -4.3
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -4.0
/