Conf =  Div I                     Region = NY A  Sec 11           
   Nickname = Y Flaming Arrows       Coach  =   Jay Mauro             

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   92.7504883    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 316 A Archbishop Spalding    MD A  MIAA    ( 6-10, 85.9)     9- 7   
 327 H Commack                NY A  Sec 11  ( 4-12, 75.0)    14- 2   
 329 H Connetquot             NY A  Sec 11  ( 3-13, 78.2)    16- 4   
 331 H Mercer Island          WA 1  SoWest  (15- 7, 92.1)    13- 8   
 404 A Lindenhurst            NY A  Sec 11  ( 4-12, 79.5)    13- 9   
 411 A West Islip             NY A  Sec 11  (21- 1, 99.8)     3-14   
 414 H Sachem East            NY A  Sec 11  ( 9- 8, 85.5)    17- 9   
 417 A North Babylon          NY A  Sec 11  ( 8- 8, 83.4)    13-11   
 419 H Ward Melville          NY A  Sec 11  (15- 4, 98.2)     7-14   
 423 H Northport              NY A  Sec 11  (11- 7, 91.9)    10- 8   
 425 A West Babylon           NY A  Sec 11  (10- 7, 81.7)    18-10   
 428 A Smithtown West         NY A  Sec 11  (16- 2, 99.9)     5-18   
 502 H Middle Country         NY A  Sec 11  ( 6-10, 76.6)    13- 3   
 504 A Bay Shore              NY A  Sec 11  (12- 6, 91.1)    13-12   
 507 H Half Hollow Hills East NY A  Sec 11  (10- 8, 85.2)     7- 6   
 510 A Smithtown East         NY A  Sec 11  (11- 7, 87.7)     9-10   
 522 H Bay Shore              NY A  Sec 11  (12- 6, 91.1)    11-10   
 525 A West Islip             NY A  Sec 11  (21- 1, 99.8)     5-10   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   316 A Archbishop Spalding     9- 7       2     4          n/a  
   327 H Commack                14- 2      12    16           0.00
   329 H Connetquot             16- 4      12    13           0.00
   331 H Mercer Island          13- 8       5     0          n/a  
   404 A Lindenhurst            13- 9       4    11    ---   -6.00
   411 A West Islip              3-14     -11    -9          -0.79
   414 H Sachem East            17- 9       8     5    +      2.16
   417 A North Babylon          13-11       2     7    --    -5.24
   419 H Ward Melville           7-14      -7    -6          -0.15
   423 H Northport              10- 8       2     0    +      2.51
   425 A West Babylon           18-10       8     8          -0.94
   428 A Smithtown West          5-18     -13    -9          -0.71
   502 H Middle Country         13- 3      10    14           0.00
   504 A Bay Shore              13-12       1     0           1.50
   507 H Half Hollow Hills East  7- 6       1     6    --    -5.22
   510 A Smithtown East          9-10      -1     2    -     -3.95
   522 H Bay Shore              11-10       1     0           0.74
   525 A West Islip              5-10      -5    -9    ++     4.21

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   404 A Lindenhurst            13- 9       4    11    ---   -6.00
   417 A North Babylon          13-11       2     7    --    -5.24
   507 H Half Hollow Hills East  7- 6       1     6    --    -5.22
   316 A Archbishop Spalding     9- 7       2     4    -          
   510 A Smithtown East          9-10      -1     2    -     -3.95

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   331 H Mercer Island          13- 8       5     0    ++         
   525 A West Islip              5-10      -5    -9    ++     4.21
   414 H Sachem East            17- 9       8     5    +      2.16
   423 H Northport              10- 8       2     0    +      2.51
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 90.99 Local Power Rank...........    11
 Local SOS Rating......... 73.58 Local SOS Rank.............     7
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.62 Local RPI Rank.............     7
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    40
 Local Quality Win Rating. 70.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     7
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   10.9 Ave Defensive Goals ......    9.2
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 13- 5 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    1.7
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 4 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -9.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  3- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -4.6
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  5- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -2.4
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -1.7
/