Region = CO    DougCo           
   Nickname = O Jaguars              Coach  =   Louis Goldin          

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   93.9668274    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 310 A Monarch                CO    North   (13- 4, 91.3)    14-13  o
 313 H Steamboat Springs      CO    Mountn  (15- 2, 88.9)    10- 9  o
 315 H Cherry Creek           CO    Centenn (15- 4, 94.9)     4- 7   
 321 H Columbine              CO    Foothil (14- 4, 93.8)     9-10   
 323 H Douglas County         CO    DougCo  ( 4-11, 75.9)    13- 2   
 326 H Smoky Hill             CO    Centenn ( 7- 9, 83.0)    14- 9   
 327 A Legend                 CO    DougCo  ( 6- 9, 75.2)    12- 3   
 330 H Ponderosa              CO    DougCo  ( 6- 7, 79.8)    16- 9   
 405 A Castle View            CO    DougCo  (13- 4, 90.7)    15-14   
 410 H Highlands Ranch        CO    DougCo  ( 7- 9, 80.4)    14- 7   
 413 A Denver East            CO    FRange  ( 9- 7, 83.4)     9- 5   
 417 H Chaparral              CO    DougCo  ( 3-11, 76.7)    15- 4   
 420 A Mountain Vista         CO    DougCo  (10- 7, 88.3)    10-14   
 424 A ThunderRidge           CO    DougCo  (10- 6, 85.1)    11- 7   
 428 H Colorado Academy       CO    FRange  ( 8- 8, 85.3)    14-12   
 509 H Fort Collins Unified   CO    North   (11- 6, 90.9)    10- 9   
 512 N Cherry Creek           CO    Centenn (15- 4, 94.9)     3- 9   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   310 A Monarch                14-13  o    1     0           1.93
   313 H Steamboat Springs      10- 9  o    1     2          -1.09
   315 H Cherry Creek            4- 7      -3    -3           0.84
   321 H Columbine               9-10      -1    -2           1.75
   323 H Douglas County         13- 2      11    15           0.00
   326 H Smoky Hill             14- 9       5     8    -     -3.07
   327 A Legend                 12- 3       9    15          -1.00
   330 H Ponderosa              16- 9       7    11    -     -3.00
   405 A Castle View            15-14       1     0           1.33
   410 H Highlands Ranch        14- 7       7    10    -     -3.00
   413 A Denver East             9- 5       4     6    -     -2.97
   417 H Chaparral              15- 4      11    14           0.00
   420 A Mountain Vista         10-14      -4     2    ---   -6.04
   424 A ThunderRidge           11- 7       4     5          -1.26
   428 H Colorado Academy       14-12       2     5    -     -3.76
   509 H Fort Collins Unified   10- 9       1     0           0.82
   512 N Cherry Creek            3- 9      -6    -4          -1.83

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   420 A Mountain Vista         10-14      -4     2    ---   -6.04
   326 H Smoky Hill             14- 9       5     8    -     -3.07
   330 H Ponderosa              16- 9       7    11    -     -3.00
   410 H Highlands Ranch        14- 7       7    10    -     -3.00
   413 A Denver East             9- 5       4     6    -     -2.97
   428 H Colorado Academy       14-12       2     5    -     -3.76

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 90.70 Local Power Rank...........    10
 Local SOS Rating......... 68.87 Local SOS Rank.............     9
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.64 Local RPI Rank.............     6
 Championship Probability .    1.0 Championship Rank .......    10
 Local Quality Win Rating.105.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     5
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   11.4 Ave Defensive Goals ......    8.4
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 13- 4 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    2.9
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -3.3
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  3- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -1.2
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  6- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -0.4
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -1.0
/