Region = NY    Ivy              
   Nickname = Y Falcons              Coach  =   T.J. Barnett          

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   91.8057098    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 404 H Poly Prep              NY    Ivy     (10- 8, 88.4)     4- 3   
 411 H Dalton                 NY    Ivy     ( 8- 9, 85.1)     5- 7   
 413 A Horace Mann            NY    Ivy     ( 2-13, 76.8)    12- 5   
 416 H Collegiate             NY    Ivy     ( 2-13, 75.7)    15- 0   
 418 A Fieldston              NY    Ivy     (15- 5, 91.8)     4-11   
 420 A Portledge              NY    MLA     ( 2-10, 77.0)     8- 7  o
 423 H Hackley                NY    Ivy     (17- 1, 99.9)     4- 9   
 425 A Trinity School         NY    Ivy     ( 6- 9, 83.6)     5- 4   
 428 A Poly Prep              NY    Ivy     (10- 8, 88.4)     6- 5   
 430 A Dalton                 NY    Ivy     ( 8- 9, 85.1)    11-10   
 502 H Horace Mann            NY    Ivy     ( 2-13, 76.8)    14- 5   
 504 H Collegiate             NY    Ivy     ( 2-13, 75.7)    14- 6   
 507 H Archbishop Stepinac    NY NY A       (10-12, 77.6)    13- 7   
 509 H Fieldston              NY    Ivy     (15- 5, 91.8)     6-10   
 512 A Hackley                NY    Ivy     (17- 1, 99.9)     1-12   
 514 H Trinity School         NY    Ivy     ( 6- 9, 83.6)     9- 3   
 520 H Poly Prep              NY    Ivy     (10- 8, 88.4)     4- 5 2o

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   404 H Poly Prep               4- 3       1     0           0.08
   411 H Dalton                  5- 7      -2     4    ---   -6.25
   413 A Horace Mann            12- 5       7    11    -     -3.00
   416 H Collegiate             15- 0      15    13           0.00
   418 A Fieldston               4-11      -7    -3    -     -3.24
   420 A Portledge               8- 7  o    1    11    ---   -9.00
   423 H Hackley                 4- 9      -5   -10    ++     5.00
   425 A Trinity School          5- 4       1     4    -     -3.44
   428 A Poly Prep               6- 5       1     0           1.43
   430 A Dalton                 11-10       1     2          -1.91
   502 H Horace Mann            14- 5       9    12          -1.00
   504 H Collegiate             14- 6       8    13    -     -2.00
   507 H Archbishop Stepinac    13- 7       6    11          n/a  
   509 H Fieldston               6-10      -4    -2          -1.59
   512 A Hackley                 1-12     -11   -11           0.00
   514 H Trinity School          9- 3       6     5           0.21
   520 H Poly Prep               4- 5 2o   -1     0          -1.92

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   411 H Dalton                  5- 7      -2     4    ---   -6.25
   420 A Portledge               8- 7  o    1    11    ---   -9.00
   507 H Archbishop Stepinac    13- 7       6    11    --         
   413 A Horace Mann            12- 5       7    11    -     -3.00
   418 A Fieldston               4-11      -7    -3    -     -3.24
   425 A Trinity School          5- 4       1     4    -     -3.44
   504 H Collegiate             14- 6       8    13    -     -2.00

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   423 H Hackley                 4- 9      -5   -10    ++     5.00
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 88.68 Local Power Rank...........     5
 Local SOS Rating......... 67.71 Local SOS Rank.............     8
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.53 Local RPI Rank.............     8
 Championship Probability .    1.0 Championship Rank .......     8
 Local Quality Win Rating.120.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     5
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    7.9 Ave Defensive Goals ......    6.4
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 11- 6 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    1.5
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 4 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -6.8
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  3- 6 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -3.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 10- 6 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    1.2
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -2.0
/