Region = AZ 1  Div-1            
   Nickname = Z Patriots             Coach  =   Rich McAbee           

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   80.7095184    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 228 H Notre Dame Prep        AZ 1  Div-1   ( 8- 8, 78.9)     8-10   
 302 H Desert Mountain        AZ 1  Div-1   ( 6- 9, 77.2)     3- 4 2o
 306 A Brophy Prep II         AZ 1  Div-1   (11- 5, 82.3)     8-10   
 309 H Horizon II             AZ 1  Div-1   ( 1-13, 64.2)    10- 6   
 312 H Brophy Prep II         AZ 1  Div-1   (11- 5, 82.3)     2- 6   
 314 A Desert Mountain        AZ 1  Div-1   ( 6- 9, 77.2)     8-11   
 327 H Glendale               AZ 1  Div-1   (11- 7, 79.9)     4-10   
 329 A Boulder Creek          AZ 1  Div-1   ( 9- 7, 76.0)     7- 6   
 331 H Northern Arizona       AZ 1  Div-1   ( 5- 9, 72.1)     7- 4   
 404 H Desert Vista II        AZ 1  Div-1   (13- 2, 82.9)     3- 7   
 409 A Notre Dame Prep        AZ 1  Div-1   ( 8- 8, 78.9)     3-10   
 410 A Glendale               AZ 1  Div-1   (11- 7, 79.9)     8- 5   
 414 A Oro Valley             AZ 1  Div-1   ( 0-14, 61.9)    18- 0   
 419 A Gilbert                AZ 1  Div-1   (10- 5, 86.4)     8-16   
 426 H Mountain Pointe        AZ 1  Div-1   (12- 4, 83.0)     5- 9   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   228 H Notre Dame Prep         8-10      -2    -3           1.62
   302 H Desert Mountain         3- 4 2o   -1    -1           0.91
   306 A Brophy Prep II          8-10      -2    -8    +++    6.16
   309 H Horizon II             10- 6       4    11    ---   -6.00
   312 H Brophy Prep II          2- 6      -4    -7    +      3.05
   314 A Desert Mountain         8-11      -3    -3           0.02
   327 H Glendale                4-10      -6    -4          -1.40
   329 A Boulder Creek           7- 6       1    -1    +      2.87
   331 H Northern Arizona        7- 4       3     3          -0.18
   404 H Desert Vista II         3- 7      -4    -7    +      3.69
   409 A Notre Dame Prep         3-10      -7    -4    -     -2.28
   410 A Glendale                8- 5       3    -5    +++    8.71
   414 A Oro Valley             18- 0      18    12           0.00
   419 A Gilbert                 8-16      -8   -12    +      2.00
   426 H Mountain Pointe         5- 9      -4    -7    +      3.72

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   309 H Horizon II             10- 6       4    11    ---   -6.00
   409 A Notre Dame Prep         3-10      -7    -4    -     -2.28

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   306 A Brophy Prep II          8-10      -2    -8    +++    6.16
   410 A Glendale                8- 5       3    -5    +++    8.71
   312 H Brophy Prep II          2- 6      -4    -7    +      3.05
   329 A Boulder Creek           7- 6       1    -1    +      2.87
   404 H Desert Vista II         3- 7      -4    -7    +      3.69
   419 A Gilbert                 8-16      -8   -12    +      2.00
   426 H Mountain Pointe         5- 9      -4    -7    +      3.72
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 74.70 Local Power Rank...........    20
 Local SOS Rating......... 53.62 Local SOS Rank.............    17
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.44 Local RPI Rank.............    20
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    25
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    21
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    6.8 Ave Defensive Goals ......    7.6
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  5-10 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -0.8
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -8.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -5.3
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  2-10 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -3.1
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    2.0
/