Conf =  Indep                     Region = NY C  Sec 5            
   Nickname = Y Mustangs             Coach  =   Brian Hobart          

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   97.1849670    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 331 A Honeoye Falls-Lima     NY C  Sec 5   ( 8-11, 84.5)    16- 4   
 403 H Bishop Kearney         NY C  Sec 5   ( 1-15, 64.8)    19- 1   
 405 A Brighton               NY B  Sec 5   ( 3-15, 78.0)    12- 2   
 407 A Geneva                 NY C  Sec 5   (13- 5, 85.8)    12- 4   
 410 A Lakeland/Panas         NY A  Sec 1   (11- 7, 94.5)     5- 2   
 413 H Canandaigua            NY B  Sec 5   (10- 9, 88.4)     7- 3   
 417 H McQuaid Jesuit         NY B  Sec 5   ( 9- 8, 85.4)    11- 4   
 419 A Penfield               NY A  Sec 5   (14- 5, 94.1)    10- 8   
 421 N Carthage               NY B  Sec 3   (14- 5, 91.2)    10- 1   
 428 H Victor                 NY B  Sec 5   (10- 8, 88.7)    10- 6   
 501 H Bath-Haverling         NY C  Sec 5   ( 8-10, 76.0)    16- 2   
 505 A Baldwinsville          NY A  Sec 3   (11- 7, 91.7)     8- 9   
 508 A Webster Schroeder      NY A  Sec 5   ( 2-15, 78.6)     9- 5   
 510 A Fairport               NY A  Sec 5   (20- 1, 99.9)     2- 5   
 515 H Livonia                NY C  Sec 5   (16- 4, 89.0)    13- 7   
 518 H Webster Thomas         NY A  Sec 5   ( 9- 8, 88.2)    12- 4   
 521 H Bishop Kearney         NY C  Sec 5   ( 1-15, 64.8)    20- 0   
 523 H Marcus Whitman         NY C  Sec 5   (10- 8, 77.9)    20- 0   
 525 N Honeoye Falls-Lima     NY C  Sec 5   ( 8-11, 84.5)    15- 5   
 529 N Livonia                NY C  Sec 5   (16- 4, 89.0)    14- 6   
 602 N Silver Creek           NY C  Sec 6   (16- 2, 97.9)    14-13   
 606 N Homer                  NY C  Sec 3   (18- 4, 97.0)    10- 8   
 609 N Shoreham-Wading River  NY C  Sec 11  (18- 3, 96.1)     6-10   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   331 A Honeoye Falls-Lima     16- 4      12    10           0.00
   403 H Bishop Kearney         19- 1      18    32           0.00
   405 A Brighton               12- 2      10    16           0.00
   407 A Geneva                 12- 4       8     9          -1.12
   410 A Lakeland/Panas          5- 2       3     0          n/a  
   413 H Canandaigua             7- 3       4     8    --    -4.92
   417 H McQuaid Jesuit         11- 4       7    11    -     -3.00
   419 A Penfield               10- 8       2     0           1.22
   421 N Carthage               10- 1       9     4          n/a  
   428 H Victor                 10- 6       4     8    --    -4.62
   501 H Bath-Haverling         16- 2      14    21           0.00
   505 A Baldwinsville           8- 9      -1     3          n/a  
   508 A Webster Schroeder       9- 5       4    16    ---   -6.00
   510 A Fairport                2- 5      -3    -5    +      2.00
   515 H Livonia                13- 7       6     8    -     -2.25
   518 H Webster Thomas         12- 4       8     9          -1.14
   521 H Bishop Kearney         20- 0      20    32           0.00
   523 H Marcus Whitman         20- 0      20    19           0.00
   525 N Honeoye Falls-Lima     15- 5      10    11           0.00
   529 N Livonia                14- 6       8     7           0.94
   602 N Silver Creek           14-13       1    -1          n/a  
   606 N Homer                  10- 8       2     0          n/a  
   609 N Shoreham-Wading River   6-10      -4     0          n/a  

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   508 A Webster Schroeder       9- 5       4    16    ---   -6.00
   413 H Canandaigua             7- 3       4     8    --    -4.92
   428 H Victor                 10- 6       4     8    --    -4.62
   505 A Baldwinsville           8- 9      -1     3    --         
   417 H McQuaid Jesuit         11- 4       7    11    -     -3.00
   515 H Livonia                13- 7       6     8    -     -2.25
   609 N Shoreham-Wading River   6-10      -4     0    -          

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   421 N Carthage               10- 1       9     4    ++         
   410 A Lakeland/Panas          5- 2       3     0    +          
   510 A Fairport                2- 5      -3    -5    +      2.00
   602 N Silver Creek           14-13       1    -1    +          
   606 N Homer                  10- 8       2     0    +          
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 96.10 Local Power Rank...........     3
 Local SOS Rating......... 70.76 Local SOS Rank.............    12
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.63 Local RPI Rank.............     2
 Championship Probability .   15.0 Championship Rank .......     3
 Local Quality Win Rating.205.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     3
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   11.8 Ave Defensive Goals ......    4.7
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 20- 3 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    7.0
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  1- 1 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -0.5
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  4- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....    3.4
 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 11- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    5.8
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -0.3
/