Conf =  Monroe-1                  Region = NY A  Sec 5            
   Nickname = Y Patriots             Coach  =   John Schembri         

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   97.6475449    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 327 H Honeoye Falls-Lima     NY C  Sec 5   ( 8-11, 84.5)    14- 8   
 329 H Webster Thomas         NY A  Sec 5   ( 9- 8, 88.2)    15- 7   
 404 H West Genesee           NY A  Sec 3   (17- 2, 99.9)     9-16   
 410 H Brighton               NY B  Sec 5   ( 3-15, 78.0)    15- 6   
 413 H Lindenhurst            NY A  Sec 11  ( 4-12, 79.5)    12-11   
 417 A Rush-Henrietta         NY A  Sec 5   ( 4-14, 77.9)    16- 0   
 419 H Penn Yan               NY C  Sec 5   (20- 3, 96.1)     8-10   
 424 A Webster Thomas         NY A  Sec 5   ( 9- 8, 88.2)    13- 4   
 426 H Irondequoit            NY B  Sec 5   (19- 3, 97.7)     7- 9   
 428 A West Seneca East       NY B  Sec 6   (11- 8, 82.6)    18- 4   
 501 H Fairport               NY A  Sec 5   (20- 1, 99.9)     6- 9   
 503 A Victor                 NY B  Sec 5   (10- 8, 88.7)    17- 5   
 510 H Canandaigua            NY B  Sec 5   (10- 9, 88.4)    10- 6   
 515 H Webster Schroeder      NY A  Sec 5   ( 2-15, 78.6)    13- 4   
 517 H Orchard Park           NY A  Sec 6   (13- 5, 93.8)    13- 8   
 519 A Pittsford              NY A  Sec 5   (12- 6, 91.2)    16-13   
 523 H Rush-Henrietta         NY A  Sec 5   ( 4-14, 77.9)    18- 8   
 525 N Pittsford              NY A  Sec 5   (12- 6, 91.2)    11- 6   
 529 N Fairport               NY A  Sec 5   (20- 1, 99.9)    10-16   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   327 H Honeoye Falls-Lima     14- 8       6    10    --    -4.00
   329 H Webster Thomas         15- 7       8     7           0.85
   404 H West Genesee            9-16      -7    -4          n/a  
   410 H Brighton               15- 6       9    17          -1.00
   413 H Lindenhurst            12-11       1    15          n/a  
   417 A Rush-Henrietta         16- 0      16    15           0.00
   419 H Penn Yan                8-10      -2     0          -1.22
   424 A Webster Thomas         13- 4       9     4    ++     4.24
   426 H Irondequoit             7- 9      -2    -2           0.39
   428 A West Seneca East       18- 4      14    10          n/a  
   501 H Fairport                6- 9      -3    -4           1.59
   503 A Victor                 17- 5      12     4    ++     5.76
   510 H Canandaigua            10- 6       4     6    -     -2.94
   515 H Webster Schroeder      13- 4       9    16          -1.00
   517 H Orchard Park           13- 8       5     1          n/a  
   519 A Pittsford              16-13       3     1           1.29
   523 H Rush-Henrietta         18- 8      10    17           0.00
   525 N Pittsford              11- 6       5     2    +      2.10
   529 N Fairport               10-16      -6    -5          -0.21

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   413 H Lindenhurst            12-11       1    15    ---        
   327 H Honeoye Falls-Lima     14- 8       6    10    --    -4.00
   404 H West Genesee            9-16      -7    -4    -          
   510 H Canandaigua            10- 6       4     6    -     -2.94

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   424 A Webster Thomas         13- 4       9     4    ++     4.24
   503 A Victor                 17- 5      12     4    ++     5.76
   517 H Orchard Park           13- 8       5     1    +          
   525 N Pittsford              11- 6       5     2    +      2.10
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 94.11 Local Power Rank...........     4
 Local SOS Rating......... 74.79 Local SOS Rank.............     5
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.62 Local RPI Rank.............     5
 Championship Probability .    9.0 Championship Rank .......     4
 Local Quality Win Rating.165.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     4
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   12.7 Ave Defensive Goals ......    7.9
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 14- 5 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    4.8
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  2- 4 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -0.8
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  3- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....    1.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  8- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    3.6
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    3.0
/