Conf =  Indep                     Region = NJ    Private          
   Nickname = J Falcons              Coach  =   Ross Turco            

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   84.3777313    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 331 H Mercersburg Academy    PA    Indep   ( 6-12, 75.3)    12- 3   
 402 H Red Bank Catholic      NJ    Grp-A   (11- 7, 78.8)     8- 5   
 404 H Lawrenceville          NJ    Private (17- 4, 94.3)     1-15   
 407 A Germantown Academy     PA    IAC     (10-10, 90.9)     4-13   
 410 A Montgomery             NJ    Grp-III (16- 7, 89.4)     5-16   
 411 H Blair Academy          NJ    Private ( 6-10, 75.9)    12- 7   
 413 H Rutgers Prep           NJ    Private ( 9- 6, 85.6)     3-10   
 418 A Hill School            PA    Indep   ( 9- 6, 89.5)     3-12   
 419 H Rumson-Fair Haven      NJ    Grp-I   (19- 1, 88.8)     1- 5   
 424 H Shawnee                NJ    Grp-III (15- 6, 86.5)     4-17   
 426 H Hun School             NJ    Private ( 7-11, 79.4)     5- 4   
 428 A Monroe Township        NJ    Grp-III (16- 4, 84.1)     8-14   
 430 A Cherokee               NJ    Grp-IV  (10- 9, 79.8)     5-12   
 502 A St Augustine Prep      NJ    Grp-A   (13- 6, 91.7)     4- 8   
 505 H Hillsborough           NJ    Grp-IV  (10-10, 84.7)     3-11   
 507 H Hun School             NJ    Private ( 7-11, 79.4)     7- 5   
 510 A Eastern Regional       NJ    Grp-IV  (14- 7, 84.2)     8- 7   
 512 N Hill School            PA    Indep   ( 9- 6, 89.5)     2-12   
 514 A Lawrenceville          NJ    Private (17- 4, 94.3)     5-12   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   331 H Mercersburg Academy    12- 3       9     3          n/a  
   402 H Red Bank Catholic       8- 5       3     0    +      3.26
   404 H Lawrenceville           1-15     -14   -15           0.00
   407 A Germantown Academy      4-13      -9   -15          n/a  
   410 A Montgomery              5-16     -11   -14           0.00
   411 H Blair Academy          12- 7       5     2    +      2.35
   413 H Rutgers Prep            3-10      -7    -7           0.07
   418 A Hill School             3-12      -9   -14          n/a  
   419 H Rumson-Fair Haven       1- 5      -4   -10    +++    6.00
   424 H Shawnee                 4-17     -13    -7    -     -2.12
   426 H Hun School              5- 4       1     0           1.79
   428 A Monroe Township         8-14      -6    -8    +      2.73
   430 A Cherokee                5-12      -7    -4    -     -2.52
   502 A St Augustine Prep       4- 8      -4   -16    +++    6.00
   505 H Hillsborough            3-11      -8    -6          -1.86
   507 H Hun School              7- 5       2     0    +      2.79
   510 A Eastern Regional        8- 7       1    -8    +++    9.84
   512 N Hill School             2-12     -10   -12          n/a  
   514 A Lawrenceville           5-12      -7   -18    +      3.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   424 H Shawnee                 4-17     -13    -7    -     -2.12
   430 A Cherokee                5-12      -7    -4    -     -2.52

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   419 H Rumson-Fair Haven       1- 5      -4   -10    +++    6.00
   502 A St Augustine Prep       4- 8      -4   -16    +++    6.00
   510 A Eastern Regional        8- 7       1    -8    +++    9.84
   331 H Mercersburg Academy    12- 3       9     3    ++         
   402 H Red Bank Catholic       8- 5       3     0    +      3.26
   411 H Blair Academy          12- 7       5     2    +      2.35
   428 A Monroe Township         8-14      -6    -8    +      2.73
   507 H Hun School              7- 5       2     0    +      2.79
   514 A Lawrenceville           5-12      -7   -18    +      3.00
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 76.96 Local Power Rank...........    94
 Local SOS Rating......... 67.93 Local SOS Rank.............    22
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.55 Local RPI Rank.............    51
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......   127
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....   101
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    5.3 Ave Defensive Goals ......    9.9
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  6-13 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -4.6
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -10.5
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -8.3
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -8.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -5.3
/