Region = MD 21 West             
   Nickname = D Bears                Coach  =   Michael Skena         

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   84.8615036    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 322 A Gov. Thomas Johnson    MD 43 North   ( 9- 7, 80.8)     4- 8   
 326 H Urbana                 MD 43 North   ( 9- 7, 89.5)     4-13   
 329 A Catoctin               MD 21 West    ( 4- 9, 73.4)     7- 5   
 331 A Tuscarora              MD 43 North   ( 6- 9, 80.8)    10-13   
 407 A Broadneck              MD 43 East    (13- 2, 94.6)     2-17   
 407 N Glenelg HS             MD 32 South   (17- 3, 96.6)     4-16   
 410 H Linganore              MD 43 North   (10- 3, 92.0)     3-10   
 412 A Walkersville           MD 32 West    ( 9- 6, 86.2)     6-13   
 417 H Century                MD 32 West    (10- 8, 87.3)     6-12   
 419 A Brunswick              MD 21 West    (12- 4, 86.7)     6-13   
 421 A Smithsburg             MD 21 West    ( 8- 5, 81.9)     8- 4   
 424 H Frederick              MD 32 West    ( 6-10, 79.9)     8- 5   
 427 A Middletown             MD 32 West    (10- 5, 91.2)     4-11   
 501 H Winters Mill           MD 32 West    (16- 2, 95.8)     2-15   
 511 A Smithsburg             MD 21 West    ( 8- 5, 81.9)     8- 5   
 514 A Brunswick              MD 21 West    (12- 4, 86.7)    10- 9   
 516 A South Carroll          MD 21 West    (10- 9, 88.1)     4-11   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   322 A Gov. Thomas Johnson     4- 8      -4    -2          -1.04
   326 H Urbana                  4-13      -9   -10           1.00
   329 A Catoctin                7- 5       2     4    -     -2.47
   331 A Tuscarora              10-13      -3    -2          -0.04
   407 A Broadneck               2-17     -15   -16           0.00
   407 N Glenelg HS              4-16     -12   -18           0.00
   410 H Linganore               3-10      -7   -13    +      3.00
   412 A Walkersville            6-13      -7    -8           1.36
   417 H Century                 6-12      -6    -8    +      2.53
   419 A Brunswick               6-13      -7    -8           1.81
   421 A Smithsburg              8- 4       4    -4    +++    8.05
   424 H Frederick               8- 5       3    -1    ++     4.09
   427 A Middletown              4-11      -7   -13    +      3.00
   501 H Winters Mill            2-15     -13   -16           0.00
   511 A Smithsburg              8- 5       3    -4    +++    7.05
   514 A Brunswick              10- 9       1    -8    +++    9.81
   516 A South Carroll           4-11      -7   -10    +      3.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   329 A Catoctin                7- 5       2     4    -     -2.47

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   421 A Smithsburg              8- 4       4    -4    +++    8.05
   511 A Smithsburg              8- 5       3    -4    +++    7.05
   514 A Brunswick              10- 9       1    -8    +++    9.81
   424 H Frederick               8- 5       3    -1    ++     4.09
   410 H Linganore               3-10      -7   -13    +      3.00
   417 H Century                 6-12      -6    -8    +      2.53
   427 A Middletown              4-11      -7   -13    +      3.00
   516 A South Carroll           4-11      -7   -10    +      3.00
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 78.34 Local Power Rank...........    79
 Local SOS Rating......... 70.60 Local SOS Rank.............     9
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.51 Local RPI Rank.............    66
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......   102
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....   121
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    5.6 Ave Defensive Goals ......   10.6
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  5-12 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -4.9
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -12.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....  -13.3
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....  -11.8
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -1.0
/