Conf =  Dist-III                  Region = PA    Mid 1            
   Nickname = A Polar Bears          Coach  =   Jeff Miller           

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   90.1973038    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 326 A Carlisle               PA    Mid 1   (16- 6, 97.0)     4-13   
 328 H Bishop McDevitt        PA    Mid 1   ( 1-14, 74.9)    14- 5   
 331 H Spring Grove           PA    York 1  ( 2-16, 73.0)    12- 1   
 402 A Palmyra                PA    Mid 1   ( 7-11, 82.7)    14-11   
 404 H Mechanicsburg          PA    Mid 1   ( 6-11, 81.4)     9- 4   
 409 A York Suburban          PA    York 2  ( 8-10, 81.1)    10- 9  o
 411 H Lower Dauphin          PA    Mid 1   ( 6-10, 84.2)     5- 6 2o
 414 A Dallastown             PA    York 1  (20- 2, 95.4)     4-11   
 416 H Trinity HS             PA    Mid 1   (11- 8, 91.0)    10- 9  o
 418 A Cumberland Valley      PA    Mid 1   (15- 4, 95.5)     7- 8   
 420 H Hershey                PA    Mid 1   (19- 2, 99.4)     2-20   
 421 H Susquehannock          PA    York 2  (11- 8, 85.5)     8- 7  o
 423 A Chambersburg           PA    Mid 1   ( 7-11, 81.8)    13-12   
 425 A Central Dauphin East   PA    Mid 1   ( 4-10, 81.1)    10- 8   
 428 H South-Western          PA    York 1  ( 8-10, 82.9)    11- 6   
 430 H Central Dauphin        PA    Mid 1   ( 9- 7, 89.3)    10- 8   
 515 A Cumberland Valley      PA    Mid 1   (15- 4, 95.5)     4- 6   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   326 A Carlisle                4-13      -9    -9           0.63
   328 H Bishop McDevitt        14- 5       9    14          -1.00
   331 H Spring Grove           12- 1      11    15           0.00
   402 A Palmyra                14-11       3     4          -1.68
   404 H Mechanicsburg           9- 4       5     7    -     -2.61
   409 A York Suburban          10- 9  o    1     6    --    -5.27
   411 H Lower Dauphin           5- 6 2o   -1     4    --    -5.75
   414 A Dallastown              4-11      -7    -8           1.02
   416 H Trinity HS             10- 9  o    1    -2    +      3.07
   418 A Cumberland Valley       7- 8      -1    -8    +++    7.07
   420 H Hershey                 2-20     -18   -10           0.00
   421 H Susquehannock           8- 7  o    1     3    -     -2.49
   423 A Chambersburg           13-12       1     5    --    -4.62
   425 A Central Dauphin East   10- 8       2     6    --    -4.26
   428 H South-Western          11- 6       5     6          -1.11
   430 H Central Dauphin        10- 8       2     0    +      2.28
   515 A Cumberland Valley       4- 6      -2    -8    +++    6.07

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   409 A York Suburban          10- 9  o    1     6    --    -5.27
   411 H Lower Dauphin           5- 6 2o   -1     4    --    -5.75
   423 A Chambersburg           13-12       1     5    --    -4.62
   425 A Central Dauphin East   10- 8       2     6    --    -4.26
   404 H Mechanicsburg           9- 4       5     7    -     -2.61
   421 H Susquehannock           8- 7  o    1     3    -     -2.49

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   418 A Cumberland Valley       7- 8      -1    -8    +++    7.07
   515 A Cumberland Valley       4- 6      -2    -8    +++    6.07
   416 H Trinity HS             10- 9  o    1    -2    +      3.07
   430 H Central Dauphin        10- 8       2     0    +      2.28
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 88.17 Local Power Rank...........    19
 Local SOS Rating......... 70.74 Local SOS Rank.............    15
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.55 Local RPI Rank.............    15
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    42
 Local Quality Win Rating. 10.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    13
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    8.6 Ave Defensive Goals ......    8.5
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 11- 6 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    0.2
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -13.5
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -7.4
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  2- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -4.9
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    1.7
/