Conf =  FCIAC                     Region = CT L                   
   Nickname = T Bears                Coach  =   Chris McGee           

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   86.6669464    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 404 H St Joseph-Trumbull     CT S          ( 6-10, 80.9)     7- 6 2o
 407 H Newtown                CT L          (15- 5, 88.7)     5-17   
 409 H New Canaan             CT M          (19- 4, 94.7)     7-16   
 412 A Brien McMahon-Norwalk  CT L          (11- 7, 86.1)     9-10  o
 414 A Fairfield-Warde        CT M          ( 9- 9, 79.1)     8- 3   
 417 A Westhill               CT L          ( 6-10, 78.6)    17-11   
 421 H Fairfield-Ludlowe      CT M          ( 9- 8, 85.1)     6- 7  o
 424 H Trumbull               CT L          ( 3-13, 70.8)    16- 8   
 426 A South Windsor          CT L          ( 6-10, 75.0)    14- 5   
 428 A Greenwich HS           CT L          ( 9- 9, 86.9)     6-19   
 501 H Darien                 CT M          (20- 2, 99.9)     4-17   
 503 H Old Saybrook           CT S          ( 6-10, 69.4)    18-10   
 505 A New Fairfield          CT M          (10-10, 83.8)    12-11   
 510 H Danbury                CT L          ( 3-13, 70.2)    12- 1   
 512 A Wilton                 CT M          (15- 6, 92.0)     6- 7   
 516 H Trinity Catholic       CT S          ( 1-14, 64.0)    17- 5   
 519 A Darien                 CT M          (20- 2, 99.9)     3-18   
 530 A Newtown                CT L          (15- 5, 88.7)     8-13   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   404 H St Joseph-Trumbull      7- 6 2o    1     2          -1.08
   407 H Newtown                 5-17     -12    -5    --    -4.28
   409 H New Canaan              7-16      -9   -11           1.00
   412 A Brien McMahon-Norwalk   9-10  o   -1    -4    +      4.00
   414 A Fairfield-Warde         8- 3       5     1    +      3.04
   417 A Westhill               17-11       6     2    +      3.55
   421 H Fairfield-Ludlowe       6- 7  o   -1    -2           1.08
   424 H Trumbull               16- 8       8    12    -     -2.00
   426 A South Windsor          14- 5       9     6    +      2.89
   428 A Greenwich HS            6-19     -13    -5    --    -4.17
   501 H Darien                  4-17     -13   -16           0.00
   503 H Old Saybrook           18-10       8    13    -     -2.00
   505 A New Fairfield          12-11       1    -2    +      3.69
   510 H Danbury                12- 1      11    12           0.00
   512 A Wilton                  6- 7      -1   -10    +++    9.00
   516 H Trinity Catholic       17- 5      12    19           0.00
   519 A Darien                  3-18     -15   -18           0.00
   530 A Newtown                 8-13      -5    -7    +      2.65

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   407 H Newtown                 5-17     -12    -5    --    -4.28
   428 A Greenwich HS            6-19     -13    -5    --    -4.17
   424 H Trumbull               16- 8       8    12    -     -2.00
   503 H Old Saybrook           18-10       8    13    -     -2.00

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   512 A Wilton                  6- 7      -1   -10    +++    9.00
   412 A Brien McMahon-Norwalk   9-10  o   -1    -4    +      4.00
   414 A Fairfield-Warde         8- 3       5     1    +      3.04
   417 A Westhill               17-11       6     2    +      3.55
   426 A South Windsor          14- 5       9     6    +      2.89
   505 A New Fairfield          12-11       1    -2    +      3.69
   530 A Newtown                 8-13      -5    -7    +      2.65
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 82.05 Local Power Rank...........    22
 Local SOS Rating......... 64.48 Local SOS Rank.............    16
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.53 Local RPI Rank.............    31
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    48
 Local Quality Win Rating.-35.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    22
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    9.7 Ave Defensive Goals ......   10.2
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  9- 9 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -0.5
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -12.3
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 7 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -9.7
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  1- 9 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -6.9
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -2.7
/