Conf =  Div I                     Region = NY A  Sec 11           
   Nickname = Y Tigers               Coach  =   George Searing        

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   95.0971069    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 327 H Lindenhurst            NY A  Sec 11  ( 4-12, 79.5)    17- 5   
 329 A Ward Melville          NY A  Sec 11  (15- 4, 98.2)     6-10   
 403 A Patchogue-Medford      NY A  Sec 11  ( 4-11, 75.9)    16- 2   
 411 H Bay Shore              NY A  Sec 11  (12- 6, 91.1)    12-13   
 413 H Half Hollow Hills West NY A  Sec 11  ( 9- 8, 82.8)    16- 4   
 417 A East Islip             NY A  Sec 11  ( 5-11, 79.7)    16- 3   
 419 A Connetquot             NY A  Sec 11  ( 3-13, 78.2)    17- 7   
 421 H Corning                NY A  Sec 4   (13- 4, 94.2)    12-10   
 423 A Sachem North           NY A  Sec 11  (13- 5, 91.0)     8-10   
 425 H Sachem East            NY A  Sec 11  ( 9- 8, 85.5)    14-10   
 428 H Smithtown East         NY A  Sec 11  (11- 7, 87.7)     8- 9   
 502 A Half Hollow Hills East NY A  Sec 11  (10- 8, 85.2)    14- 6   
 504 H West Islip             NY A  Sec 11  (21- 1, 99.8)     6- 8   
 508 A Walt Whitman           NY A  Sec 11  (10- 7, 86.6)    15- 6   
 510 H Smithtown West         NY A  Sec 11  (16- 2, 99.9)     5-18   
 512 H Mahopac                NY A  Sec 1   (11- 8, 94.1)    10- 7   
 517 H West Babylon           NY A  Sec 11  (10- 7, 81.7)    17- 6   
 522 A West Islip             NY A  Sec 11  (21- 1, 99.8)     3- 9   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   327 H Lindenhurst            17- 5      12    12           0.00
   329 A Ward Melville           6-10      -4    -6    +      2.72
   403 A Patchogue-Medford      16- 2      14    15           0.00
   411 H Bay Shore              12-13      -1     1    -     -2.16
   413 H Half Hollow Hills West 16- 4      12     9           0.52
   417 A East Islip             16- 3      13    11           0.00
   419 A Connetquot             17- 7      10    13           0.00
   421 H Corning                12-10       2    -1          n/a  
   423 A Sachem North            8-10      -2     0    -     -2.51
   425 H Sachem East            14-10       4     6    -     -2.73
   428 H Smithtown East          8- 9      -1     4    --    -5.61
   502 A Half Hollow Hills East 14- 6       8     6           1.66
   504 H West Islip              6- 8      -2    -7    ++     5.56
   508 A Walt Whitman           15- 6       9     4    ++     4.11
   510 H Smithtown West          5-18     -13    -7    -     -2.37
   512 H Mahopac                10- 7       3    -1          n/a  
   517 H West Babylon           17- 6      11    10           0.00
   522 A West Islip              3- 9      -6    -8    +      2.32

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   428 H Smithtown East          8- 9      -1     4    --    -5.61
   411 H Bay Shore              12-13      -1     1    -     -2.16
   423 A Sachem North            8-10      -2     0    -     -2.51
   425 H Sachem East            14-10       4     6    -     -2.73
   510 H Smithtown West          5-18     -13    -7    -     -2.37

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   504 H West Islip              6- 8      -2    -7    ++     5.56
   508 A Walt Whitman           15- 6       9     4    ++     4.11
   512 H Mahopac                10- 7       3    -1    ++         
   329 A Ward Melville           6-10      -4    -6    +      2.72
   421 H Corning                12-10       2    -1    +          
   522 A West Islip              3- 9      -6    -8    +      2.32
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 91.89 Local Power Rank...........     7
 Local SOS Rating......... 74.50 Local SOS Rank.............     4
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.58 Local RPI Rank.............    11
 Championship Probability .    2.0 Championship Rank .......     7
 Local Quality Win Rating. -5.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    17
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   11.8 Ave Defensive Goals ......    7.9
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 11- 7 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    3.8
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 4 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -6.2
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -5.2
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  3- 7 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -0.8
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    2.7
/