Region = KY    Div-2W           
   Nickname = Y Mustangs             Coach  =   Ryan Smith            

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   83.2828827    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 303 H Evansville Memorial    IN    South   (13- 8, 64.9)     7- 3   
 307 A Louisville Ballard     KY    Div-1   (11- 7, 88.1)     2-18   
 310 A Lexington Henry Clay   KY    Div-2E  ( 8- 6, 78.6)    13-12  o
 314 H DuPont Manual          KY    Div-2W  (10- 9, 84.4)    10- 9 2o
 317 H Lafayette              KY    Div-2E  ( 4- 9, 70.7)    12- 8   
 321 H Louisville Male        KY    Div-2W  ( 5- 8, 76.9)    10- 4   
 324 H Lexington Tates Creek  KY    Div-2E  (19- 2, 94.0)     2-15   
 330 A Greenwood              KY    Div-2W  ( 2- 7, 74.6)    14- 2   
 417 A Scott County           KY    Div-2E  ( 3- 9, 65.3)    15- 5   
 420 H Oldham County          KY    Div-2W  ( 2- 7, 70.2)    13- 1   
 422 A Glasgow                KY    Div-2W  ( 0- 7, 61.3)    14- 8   
 425 H South Oldham           KY    Div-2W  ( 9- 6, 79.8)    13- 9   
 427 H Lexington Sayre        KY    Div-2E  ( 8- 7, 79.7)    10- 8   
 502 A Louisville Eastern     KY    Div-2W  ( 8-10, 73.9)    15-12   
 512 H Louisville Eastern     KY    Div-2W  ( 8-10, 73.9)    12- 8   
 515 H DuPont Manual          KY    Div-2W  (10- 9, 84.4)     8- 7  o
 519 N Lexington Tates Creek  KY    Div-2E  (19- 2, 94.0)     7-10   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   303 H Evansville Memorial     7- 3       4    18          n/a  
   307 A Louisville Ballard      2-18     -16    -5    --    -4.91
   310 A Lexington Henry Clay   13-12  o    1     4    -     -3.41
   314 H DuPont Manual          10- 9 2o    1     0           1.51
   317 H Lafayette              12- 8       4    13    ---   -6.00
   321 H Louisville Male        10- 4       6     6          -0.94
   324 H Lexington Tates Creek   2-15     -13   -10           0.00
   330 A Greenwood              14- 2      12     8           1.65
   417 A Scott County           15- 5      10    17           0.00
   420 H Oldham County          13- 1      12    13           0.00
   422 A Glasgow                14- 8       6    21    --    -4.00
   425 H South Oldham           13- 9       4     4          -0.07
   427 H Lexington Sayre        10- 8       2     4    -     -2.13
   502 A Louisville Eastern     15-12       3     9    ---   -6.06
   512 H Louisville Eastern     12- 8       4     9    --    -5.91
   515 H DuPont Manual           8- 7  o    1     0           1.51
   519 N Lexington Tates Creek   7-10      -3   -10    +++    7.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   303 H Evansville Memorial     7- 3       4    18    ---        
   317 H Lafayette              12- 8       4    13    ---   -6.00
   502 A Louisville Eastern     15-12       3     9    ---   -6.06
   307 A Louisville Ballard      2-18     -16    -5    --    -4.91
   422 A Glasgow                14- 8       6    21    --    -4.00
   512 H Louisville Eastern     12- 8       4     9    --    -5.91
   310 A Lexington Henry Clay   13-12  o    1     4    -     -3.41
   427 H Lexington Sayre        10- 8       2     4    -     -2.13

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   519 N Lexington Tates Creek   7-10      -3   -10    +++    7.00
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 83.43 Local Power Rank...........     7
 Local SOS Rating......... 54.04 Local SOS Rank.............    14
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.58 Local RPI Rank.............     6
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    23
 Local Quality Win Rating.160.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     4
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   10.4 Ave Defensive Goals ......    8.2
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 14- 3 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    2.2
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  2- 3 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -6.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  2- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -6.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 10- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    0.5
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    0.7
/