Conf =  SWCIAC                    Region = CT M                   
   Nickname = T Rebels               Coach  =   Marty Morgan          

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   88.5687714    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 405 H Joel Barlow            CT S          (18- 3, 96.0)     3-12   
 407 H Simsbury               CT L          (18- 2, 92.3)     7-10   
 409 A Newtown                CT L          (15- 5, 88.7)    10-11   
 414 N Riverhead              NY A  Sec 11  (10- 6, 80.3)    15- 9   
 417 H Danbury                CT L          ( 3-13, 70.2)     8- 0   
 419 A Weston                 CT S          (17- 5, 89.6)     4- 5   
 421 H Bronxville             NY C  Sec 1   (20- 2, 99.1)     8-17   
 426 H Masuk-Monroe           CT M          (11- 8, 81.5)     8- 5   
 501 A Brookfield             CT M          ( 8- 9, 81.0)     8- 6   
 503 A Arlington              NY A  Sec 1   (11- 7, 91.9)     5- 9   
 505 H Norwalk                CT L          ( 9- 9, 82.0)    11-12   
 508 H Pomperaug              CT M          (10-10, 76.8)    14- 2   
 510 A Bethel                 CT S          (13- 7, 80.5)    15-10   
 511 H New Milford            CT L          ( 7-11, 80.1)     9- 4   
 515 H Notre Dame-Fairfield   CT S          ( 8-10, 71.0)    14- 3   
 517 A Ramapo                 NJ    Grp-II  ( 7-10, 80.7)     8- 9  o
 521 H New Milford            CT L          ( 7-11, 80.1)    10- 6   
 523 H Joel Barlow            CT S          (18- 3, 96.0)    12-14   
 526 H Brookfield             CT M          ( 8- 9, 81.0)     6- 5   
 530 A Darien                 CT M          (20- 2, 99.9)     6-19   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   405 H Joel Barlow             3-12      -9   -11           1.00
   407 H Simsbury                7-10      -3    -7    ++     4.54
   409 A Newtown                10-11      -1    -5    ++     4.93
   414 N Riverhead              15- 9       6     3          n/a  
   417 H Danbury                 8- 0       8    14    -     -2.00
   419 A Weston                  4- 5      -1    -6    ++     5.76
   421 H Bronxville              8-17      -9   -14          n/a  
   426 H Masuk-Monroe            8- 5       3     3          -0.28
   501 A Brookfield              8- 6       2     1           0.21
   503 A Arlington               5- 9      -4    -9          n/a  
   505 H Norwalk                11-12      -1     2    -     -3.69
   508 H Pomperaug              14- 2      12     7    +      2.07
   510 A Bethel                 15-10       5     2    +      2.67
   511 H New Milford             9- 4       5     4           0.38
   515 H Notre Dame-Fairfield   14- 3      11    13           0.00
   517 A Ramapo                  8- 9  o   -1     1          n/a  
   521 H New Milford            10- 6       4     4          -0.62
   523 H Joel Barlow            12-14      -2   -11    +++    8.00
   526 H Brookfield              6- 5       1     3    -     -2.72
   530 A Darien                  6-19     -13   -17           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   417 H Danbury                 8- 0       8    14    -     -2.00
   505 H Norwalk                11-12      -1     2    -     -3.69
   517 A Ramapo                  8- 9  o   -1     1    -          
   526 H Brookfield              6- 5       1     3    -     -2.72

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   523 H Joel Barlow            12-14      -2   -11    +++    8.00
   407 H Simsbury                7-10      -3    -7    ++     4.54
   409 A Newtown                10-11      -1    -5    ++     4.93
   419 A Weston                  4- 5      -1    -6    ++     5.76
   503 A Arlington               5- 9      -4    -9    ++         
   414 N Riverhead              15- 9       6     3    +          
   508 H Pomperaug              14- 2      12     7    +      2.07
   510 A Bethel                 15-10       5     2    +      2.67
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 83.77 Local Power Rank...........    19
 Local SOS Rating......... 67.72 Local SOS Rank.............     9
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.59 Local RPI Rank.............    17
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    42
 Local Quality Win Rating.-25.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    20
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    9.1 Ave Defensive Goals ......    8.4
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 10-10 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    0.6
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -8.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 6 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -4.8
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 6 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -4.8
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -4.7
/