Conf =  CentMass                  Region = MA 2                   
   Nickname = A Rams                 Coach  =   Steve Falconer        

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   86.1585999    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 403 H Tantasqua Regional     MA 2          (10- 9, 85.6)     6-13   
 405 H Shepherd Hill          MA 2          (12- 6, 86.8)     5- 9   
 410 A Grafton                MA 2          (21- 3, 99.1)     2-17   
 412 A Worcester Combined     MA 2          ( 2-14, 75.3)    10- 9   
 414 H St Bernard-Fitchburg   MA 2          ( 7-11, 79.8)    10- 5   
 417 H Leominster             MA 2          ( 7-13, 79.7)     4- 5  o
 424 A Shepherd Hill          MA 2          (12- 6, 86.8)     5- 9   
 426 H Grafton                MA 2          (21- 3, 99.1)     3-17   
 428 H Bellingham             MA 3          ( 0-19, 62.3)    18- 2   
 503 H Nipmuc Regional        MA 2          (12- 9, 84.5)     5- 7   
 505 A Leominster             MA 2          ( 7-13, 79.7)     4- 6   
 508 H Worcester Combined     MA 2          ( 2-14, 75.3)     5- 6   
 510 H St Peter Marian        MA 2          ( 5-13, 77.7)     5- 4   
 512 H St Peter Marian        MA 2          ( 5-13, 77.7)    14- 4   
 515 A Tantasqua Regional     MA 2          (10- 9, 85.6)    10-12   
 517 A Nipmuc Regional        MA 2          (12- 9, 84.5)     6- 7   
 519 H Blackstone Valley V-T  MA 2          (13- 6, 76.2)     4- 3   
 522 A St Bernard-Fitchburg   MA 2          ( 7-11, 79.8)    13- 8   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   403 H Tantasqua Regional      6-13      -7    -3    -     -3.24
   405 H Shepherd Hill           5- 9      -4    -4           0.98
   410 A Grafton                 2-17     -15   -19           0.00
   412 A Worcester Combined     10- 9       1     4    -     -3.03
   414 H St Bernard-Fitchburg   10- 5       5     1    +      3.03
   417 H Leominster              4- 5  o   -1     2    -     -3.12
   424 A Shepherd Hill           5- 9      -4    -7    +      3.43
   426 H Grafton                 3-17     -14   -17           0.00
   428 H Bellingham             18- 2      16    19          n/a  
   503 H Nipmuc Regional         5- 7      -2    -2           0.72
   505 A Leominster              4- 6      -2     0          -1.66
   508 H Worcester Combined      5- 6      -1     6    ---   -7.49
   510 H St Peter Marian         5- 4       1     4    -     -3.10
   512 H St Peter Marian        14- 4      10     4    ++     5.90
   515 A Tantasqua Regional     10-12      -2    -6    ++     4.21
   517 A Nipmuc Regional         6- 7      -1    -5    ++     4.17
   519 H Blackstone Valley V-T   4- 3       1     5          n/a  
   522 A St Bernard-Fitchburg   13- 8       5     0    ++     5.48

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   508 H Worcester Combined      5- 6      -1     6    ---   -7.49
   519 H Blackstone Valley V-T   4- 3       1     5    --         
   403 H Tantasqua Regional      6-13      -7    -3    -     -3.24
   412 A Worcester Combined     10- 9       1     4    -     -3.03
   417 H Leominster              4- 5  o   -1     2    -     -3.12
   510 H St Peter Marian         5- 4       1     4    -     -3.10

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   512 H St Peter Marian        14- 4      10     4    ++     5.90
   515 A Tantasqua Regional     10-12      -2    -6    ++     4.21
   517 A Nipmuc Regional         6- 7      -1    -5    ++     4.17
   522 A St Bernard-Fitchburg   13- 8       5     0    ++     5.48
   414 H St Bernard-Fitchburg   10- 5       5     1    +      3.03
   424 A Shepherd Hill           5- 9      -4    -7    +      3.43
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 80.57 Local Power Rank...........    17
 Local SOS Rating......... 62.00 Local SOS Rank.............    22
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.40 Local RPI Rank.............    20
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    19
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    18
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    7.2 Ave Defensive Goals ......    7.9
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  7-11 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -0.8
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -14.5
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....  -14.5
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  4-10 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -2.2
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    1.7
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