Region = NC    Conf-01          
   Nickname = C Bears                Coach  =   Mike Miller           

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   78.2882767    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 306 A Wilmington Ashley      NC    Conf-01 (11- 6, 81.7)     4-19   
 309 H Wilmington Laney       NC    Conf-01 ( 7- 8, 78.4)     9-15   
 313 A Wilmington Hoggard     NC    Conf-01 (14- 4, 88.5)     2-14   
 315 H Parrott Academy        NC    NCISAA  ( 0-12, 64.8)    17- 4   
 316 H Northside              NC    Conf-01 ( 3-11, 67.9)    13-10   
 317 H Jacksonville           NC    Conf-01 ( 0-13, 59.8)    15- 3   
 323 H Wilmington New Hanover NC    Conf-01 (11- 6, 81.6)    15-16   
 327 H Havelock               NC    ECLL    (10- 4, 98.0)     6- 7   
 330 H Wilmington Ashley      NC    Conf-01 (11- 6, 81.7)     9-16   
 410 A Wilmington Laney       NC    Conf-01 ( 7- 8, 78.4)     7-13   
 413 H Wilmington Hoggard     NC    Conf-01 (14- 4, 88.5)     8-23   
 418 A Northside              NC    Conf-01 ( 3-11, 67.9)    14- 4   
 420 A Jacksonville           NC    Conf-01 ( 0-13, 59.8)    13- 6   
 424 A Wilmington New Hanover NC    Conf-01 (11- 6, 81.6)     4-17   
 427 H Havelock               NC    ECLL    (10- 4, 98.0)    18- 7   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   306 A Wilmington Ashley       4-19     -15    -6    -     -3.06
   309 H Wilmington Laney        9-15      -6    -2    -     -3.11
   313 A Wilmington Hoggard      2-14     -12   -13           0.00
   315 H Parrott Academy        17- 4      13    11          n/a  
   316 H Northside              13-10       3     7    --    -4.60
   317 H Jacksonville           15- 3      12    15           0.00
   323 H Wilmington New Hanover 15-16      -1    -6    ++     5.07
   327 H Havelock                6- 7      -1   -22          n/a  
   330 H Wilmington Ashley       9-16      -7    -6          -0.80
   410 A Wilmington Laney        7-13      -6    -3    -     -2.37
   413 H Wilmington Hoggard      8-23     -15   -13           0.00
   418 A Northside              14- 4      10     6    +      3.14
   420 A Jacksonville           13- 6       7    14    -     -3.00
   424 A Wilmington New Hanover  4-17     -13    -6    -     -3.19
   427 H Havelock               18- 7      11   -22          n/a  

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   316 H Northside              13-10       3     7    --    -4.60
   306 A Wilmington Ashley       4-19     -15    -6    -     -3.06
   309 H Wilmington Laney        9-15      -6    -2    -     -3.11
   410 A Wilmington Laney        7-13      -6    -3    -     -2.37
   420 A Jacksonville           13- 6       7    14    -     -3.00
   424 A Wilmington New Hanover  4-17     -13    -6    -     -3.19

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   327 H Havelock                6- 7      -1   -22    +++        
   427 H Havelock               18- 7      11   -22    +++        
   323 H Wilmington New Hanover 15-16      -1    -6    ++     5.07
   418 A Northside              14- 4      10     6    +      3.14
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 75.12 Local Power Rank...........    46
 Local SOS Rating......... 56.83 Local SOS Rank.............    36
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.42 Local RPI Rank.............    57
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    51
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    55
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   10.3 Ave Defensive Goals ......   11.6
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  6- 9 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -1.3
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....  -13.5
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    1.7
/