Region = AZ 1  Div-1            
   Nickname = Z Heat                 Coach  =   Geoff Larsen          

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   89.3311005    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 302 A Salpointe Catholic     AZ 1  Div-1   (13- 3, 91.8)     3-13   
 307 H Corona del Sol         AZ 1  Div-1   ( 5-11, 82.2)     8- 5   
 309 H Saguaro                AZ 1  Div-1   ( 4-10, 77.0)     8- 4   
 314 H Chandler               AZ 1  Div-1   ( 8- 9, 86.1)     7- 5   
 321 A Desert Vista           AZ 1  Div-1   (13- 6, 93.4)     3-10   
 323 A Chandler               AZ 1  Div-1   ( 8- 9, 86.1)     3- 5   
 329 N Boulder                CO    North   ( 5-10, 77.4)    11- 9   
 330 H Desert Vista           AZ 1  Div-1   (13- 6, 93.4)     5-14   
 406 H Hamilton               AZ 1  Div-1   ( 8-10, 77.5)    11- 5   
 412 A Gilbert                AZ 1  Div-1   (10- 5, 86.4)    12- 7   
 413 H Horizon                AZ 1  Div-1   ( 7- 9, 83.5)     8- 9   
 416 A Brophy Prep            AZ 1  Div-1   (22- 2, 99.9)     5-12   
 418 A Corona del Sol         AZ 1  Div-1   ( 5-11, 82.2)    10- 5   
 420 H Chaparral              AZ 1  Div-1   (14- 7, 91.3)     3- 7   
 421 H Gilbert                AZ 1  Div-1   (10- 5, 86.4)     8-11   
 423 H Desert Vista II        AZ 1  Div-1   (13- 2, 82.9)     6- 2   
 425 A Chaparral              AZ 1  Div-1   (14- 7, 91.3)     5- 6   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   302 A Salpointe Catholic      3-13     -10    -7    -     -2.25
   307 H Corona del Sol          8- 5       3     3          -0.01
   309 H Saguaro                 8- 4       4     8    --    -4.20
   314 H Chandler                7- 5       2     0    +      2.91
   321 A Desert Vista            3-10      -7    -9    +      2.30
   323 A Chandler                3- 5      -2    -2           0.02
   329 N Boulder                11- 9       2     7          n/a  
   330 H Desert Vista            5-14      -9    -8          -0.80
   406 H Hamilton               11- 5       6     7          -1.72
   412 A Gilbert                12- 7       5    -2    +++    7.31
   413 H Horizon                 8- 9      -1     1    -     -2.67
   416 A Brophy Prep             5-12      -7   -15    +      3.00
   418 A Corona del Sol         10- 5       5     1    +      3.10
   420 H Chaparral               3- 7      -4    -6    +      2.06
   421 H Gilbert                 8-11      -3    -1          -1.80
   423 H Desert Vista II         6- 2       4     2           1.75
   425 A Chaparral               5- 6      -1    -7    +++    6.17

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   309 H Saguaro                 8- 4       4     8    --    -4.20
   329 N Boulder                11- 9       2     7    --         
   302 A Salpointe Catholic      3-13     -10    -7    -     -2.25
   413 H Horizon                 8- 9      -1     1    -     -2.67

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   412 A Gilbert                12- 7       5    -2    +++    7.31
   425 A Chaparral               5- 6      -1    -7    +++    6.17
   314 H Chandler                7- 5       2     0    +      2.91
   321 A Desert Vista            3-10      -7    -9    +      2.30
   416 A Brophy Prep             5-12      -7   -15    +      3.00
   418 A Corona del Sol         10- 5       5     1    +      3.10
   420 H Chaparral               3- 7      -4    -6    +      2.06
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 84.63 Local Power Rank...........     7
 Local SOS Rating......... 70.05 Local SOS Rank.............     6
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.56 Local RPI Rank.............     7
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    19
 Local Quality Win Rating. 70.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     8
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    6.8 Ave Defensive Goals ......    7.6
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  8- 9 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -0.8
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  1- 7 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -4.5
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  3- 9 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -2.8
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  7- 9 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -0.9
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    0.0
/