Region = PA    Indep            
   Nickname = A Tigers               Coach  =   Harry Watts           

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   78.2075500    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 324 H Knoch                  PA    Indep   ( 5-12, 71.3)     7-12   
 324 H Fairview               PA    Indep   ( 2-12, 67.4)     5- 6   
 331 H Seton LaSalle          PA    Div2-S1 ( 9- 6, 79.9)     0-12   
 331 H Erie Cathedral Prep    PA    Indep   (10- 8, 78.2)     3-13   
 403 H Norwin                 PA    Div2-S1 ( 1-13, 67.2)     5- 3   
 410 H Trinity                PA    Div1-S1 ( 1-14, 70.6)     7- 6 2o
 414 H Aquinas Academy        PA    Indep   ( 3-10, 70.5)     4- 3   
 417 A Gateway                PA    Indep   ( 0- 5, 65.9)     2- 1   
 421 H Vincentian Academy     PA    Div2-S2 ( 5- 7, 76.7)     7- 9   
 424 A Aquinas Academy        PA    Indep   ( 3-10, 70.5)    10- 1   
 426 A Knoch                  PA    Indep   ( 5-12, 71.3)     4- 3   
 501 A Norwin                 PA    Div2-S1 ( 1-13, 67.2)     5- 2   
 504 A Seton LaSalle          PA    Div2-S1 ( 9- 6, 79.9)     9- 8 2o
 509 H Gateway                PA    Indep   ( 0- 5, 65.9)     5- 1   
 510 H Winchester Thurston    PA    Div2-S1 ( 4- 9, 72.3)     7- 8   
 512 A Erie Cathedral Prep    PA    Indep   (10- 8, 78.2)     7- 9   
 512 A Fairview               PA    Indep   ( 2-12, 67.4)     8- 1   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   324 H Knoch                   7-12      -5     3    ---   -8.78
   324 H Fairview                5- 6      -1     7    ---   -8.68
   331 H Seton LaSalle           0-12     -12    -4    --    -5.22
   331 H Erie Cathedral Prep     3-13     -10    -3    ---   -6.87
   403 H Norwin                  5- 3       2     7    --    -5.93
   410 H Trinity                 7- 6 2o    1     4    -     -3.55
   414 H Aquinas Academy         4- 3       1     4    -     -3.61
   417 A Gateway                 2- 1       1     9    ---   -8.20
   421 H Vincentian Academy      7- 9      -2    -1          -0.36
   424 A Aquinas Academy        10- 1       9     4    ++     4.41
   426 A Knoch                   4- 3       1     3    -     -2.76
   501 A Norwin                  5- 2       3     7    --    -4.91
   504 A Seton LaSalle           9- 8 2o    1    -4    ++     5.80
   509 H Gateway                 5- 1       4     9    --    -5.22
   510 H Winchester Thurston     7- 8      -1     2    -     -3.79
   512 A Erie Cathedral Prep     7- 9      -2    -3           1.15
   512 A Fairview                8- 1       7     7          -0.66

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   324 H Knoch                   7-12      -5     3    ---   -8.78
   324 H Fairview                5- 6      -1     7    ---   -8.68
   331 H Erie Cathedral Prep     3-13     -10    -3    ---   -6.87
   417 A Gateway                 2- 1       1     9    ---   -8.20
   331 H Seton LaSalle           0-12     -12    -4    --    -5.22
   403 H Norwin                  5- 3       2     7    --    -5.93
   501 A Norwin                  5- 2       3     7    --    -4.91
   509 H Gateway                 5- 1       4     9    --    -5.22
   410 H Trinity                 7- 6 2o    1     4    -     -3.55
   414 H Aquinas Academy         4- 3       1     4    -     -3.61
   426 A Knoch                   4- 3       1     3    -     -2.76
   510 H Winchester Thurston     7- 8      -1     2    -     -3.79

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   424 A Aquinas Academy        10- 1       9     4    ++     4.41
   504 A Seton LaSalle           9- 8 2o    1    -4    ++     5.80
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 75.09 Local Power Rank...........    25
 Local SOS Rating......... 44.04 Local SOS Rank.............    36
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.42 Local RPI Rank.............    27
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    29
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    26
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    5.6 Ave Defensive Goals ......    5.8
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 10- 7 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -0.2
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  1- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -5.8
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    1.3
/