Conf =  Waterman                  Region = NJ    Grp-B            
   Nickname = J Cougars              Coach  =   Paul Edwards          

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   90.8443146    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 403 H Columbia               NJ    Grp-IV  ( 8- 9, 82.7)    13-11   
 405 A Randolph               NJ    Grp-IV  ( 6-13, 76.3)     9- 3   
 410 H Millburn               NJ    Grp-III (12- 8, 85.0)     8- 9  o
 412 H Morristown Beard       NJ    Grp-B   ( 7-13, 77.8)     7- 2   
 413 H Cranford               NJ    Grp-II  ( 4-13, 75.7)    16- 2   
 415 A Trinity-Pawling        NE 1  West-FL (11- 7, 93.2)     3-16   
 417 H Morristown             NJ    Grp-III (13- 9, 86.2)    12- 9   
 419 H Clifton                NJ    Grp-IV  ( 1-14, 69.7)    12- 2   
 421 H A.L.Johnson-Clark      NJ    Grp-I   ( 8-12, 81.2)    11- 5   
 423 A Pingry                 NJ    Grp-B   (11- 8, 85.6)     5-11   
 426 A Caldwell               NJ    Grp-I   (15- 6, 85.6)    12- 3   
 428 H Blair Academy          NJ    Private ( 6-10, 75.9)    16- 3   
 502 A St Peter's Prep        NJ    Grp-A   (13- 6, 87.6)    11- 4   
 505 H East Side-Newark       NJ    Grp-II  ( 0-15, 53.9)    16- 1   
 507 H Princeton Day          NJ    Private (10- 7, 81.2)     8- 5   
 508 H Livingston             NJ    Grp-IV  (13- 5, 83.1)    11-10   
 510 A Glen Ridge             NJ    Grp-I   (16- 6, 91.7)     9-14   
 515 H Rutgers Prep           NJ    Private ( 9- 6, 85.6)     9- 8   
 524 H DePaul Catholic        NJ    Grp-B   ( 9-11, 76.8)    14- 1   
 526 H Morristown Beard       NJ    Grp-B   ( 7-13, 77.8)    12- 5   
 530 N Pingry                 NJ    Grp-B   (11- 8, 85.6)     9- 7   
 602 N Delbarton              NJ    Grp-A   (16- 7, 94.2)     2- 9   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   403 H Columbia               13-11       2     7    --    -5.15
   405 A Randolph                9- 3       6    10    --    -4.00
   410 H Millburn                8- 9  o   -1     4    --    -5.87
   412 H Morristown Beard        7- 2       5    12    --    -5.00
   413 H Cranford               16- 2      14    14           0.00
   415 A Trinity-Pawling         3-16     -13    -6          n/a  
   417 H Morristown             12- 9       3     3          -0.63
   419 H Clifton                12- 2      10    20           0.00
   421 H A.L.Johnson-Clark      11- 5       6     8    -     -2.67
   423 A Pingry                  5-11      -6     1    ---   -7.03
   426 A Caldwell               12- 3       9     0    +++    8.06
   428 H Blair Academy          16- 3      13    13           0.00
   502 A St Peter's Prep        11- 4       7    -1    +++    8.01
   505 H East Side-Newark       16- 1      15    35           0.00
   507 H Princeton Day           8- 5       3     8    --    -5.62
   508 H Livingston             11-10       1     6    --    -5.71
   510 A Glen Ridge              9-14      -5    -5           0.16
   515 H Rutgers Prep            9- 8       1     4    -     -3.18
   524 H DePaul Catholic        14- 1      13    13           0.00
   526 H Morristown Beard       12- 5       7    12    -     -3.00
   530 N Pingry                  9- 7       2     2          -0.66
   602 N Delbarton               2- 9      -7    -6          -0.98

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   423 A Pingry                  5-11      -6     1    ---   -7.03
   403 H Columbia               13-11       2     7    --    -5.15
   405 A Randolph                9- 3       6    10    --    -4.00
   410 H Millburn                8- 9  o   -1     4    --    -5.87
   412 H Morristown Beard        7- 2       5    12    --    -5.00
   507 H Princeton Day           8- 5       3     8    --    -5.62
   508 H Livingston             11-10       1     6    --    -5.71
   415 A Trinity-Pawling         3-16     -13    -6    -          
   421 H A.L.Johnson-Clark      11- 5       6     8    -     -2.67
   515 H Rutgers Prep            9- 8       1     4    -     -3.18
   526 H Morristown Beard       12- 5       7    12    -     -3.00

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   426 A Caldwell               12- 3       9     0    +++    8.06
   502 A St Peter's Prep        11- 4       7    -1    +++    8.01
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 88.21 Local Power Rank...........    19
 Local SOS Rating......... 61.10 Local SOS Rank.............    39
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.59 Local RPI Rank.............    31
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    90
 Local Quality Win Rating. 25.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    19
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   10.2 Ave Defensive Goals ......    6.4
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 17- 5 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    3.9
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -7.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -6.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -6.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    0.7
/