Conf =  WestMass                  Region = MA 2                   
   Nickname = A Falcons              Coach  =   Russ Mooney           

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   98.1292267    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 329 A Agawam                 MA 2          ( 9-10, 83.6)    16- 0   
 402 H Westfield              MA 2          (13- 8, 94.7)    11- 5   
 404 A Conard-West Hartford   CT L          (11- 7, 83.4)    10- 7   
 409 H East Longmeadow        MA 2          (16- 5, 93.9)    18- 9   
 413 A West Springfield       MA 2          ( 7-12, 88.8)    11- 7   
 417 A Amherst-Pelham         MA 2          (13- 7, 96.0)     9- 4   
 419 H Longmeadow             MA 2          (17- 5, 99.9)     6-11   
 421 H Algonquin              MA 2          (22- 2, 99.9)     5-11   
 426 H Cathedral Springfield  MA 2          (11-11, 88.5)    11- 4   
 430 A South Hadley           MA 2          (15- 6, 98.4)     9-12   
 502 A Northampton            MA 2          (10-11, 92.8)     7- 5   
 505 A Westfield              MA 2          (13- 8, 94.7)     8-14   
 508 A St Johns Shrewsbury    MA 2          (16- 5, 96.1)     9-12   
 511 H West Springfield       MA 2          ( 7-12, 88.8)    19- 6   
 514 H Amherst-Pelham         MA 2          (13- 7, 96.0)     9- 8  o
 518 A Longmeadow             MA 2          (17- 5, 99.9)     6-15   
 522 H Northampton            MA 2          (10-11, 92.8)     7- 6   
 525 H South Hadley           MA 2          (15- 6, 98.4)     6-11   
 604 H Westfield              MA 2          (13- 8, 94.7)     7- 4   
 607 N Longmeadow             MA 2          (17- 5, 99.9)     8- 7   
 609 N South Hadley           MA 2          (15- 6, 98.4)     9- 8   
 612 N Algonquin              MA 2          (22- 2, 99.9)     6-11   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   329 A Agawam                 16- 0      16    12           0.00
   402 H Westfield              11- 5       6     2    +      3.56
   404 A Conard-West Hartford   10- 7       3    12          n/a  
   409 H East Longmeadow        18- 9       9     3    ++     5.76
   413 A West Springfield       11- 7       4     6    -     -2.86
   417 A Amherst-Pelham          9- 4       5     0    ++     5.35
   419 H Longmeadow              6-11      -5    -2    -     -2.25
   421 H Algonquin               5-11      -6    -2          n/a  
   426 H Cathedral Springfield  11- 4       7     8          -1.67
   430 A South Hadley            9-12      -3    -2          -0.23
   502 A Northampton             7- 5       2     2          -0.81
   505 A Westfield               8-14      -6     0    ---   -6.95
   508 A St Johns Shrewsbury     9-12      -3     0          n/a  
   511 H West Springfield       19- 6      13     8           1.65
   514 H Amherst-Pelham          9- 8  o    1     1          -0.13
   518 A Longmeadow              6-15      -9    -4    --    -4.76
   522 H Northampton             7- 6       1     4    -     -3.30
   525 H South Hadley            6-11      -5    -1    -     -3.72
   604 H Westfield               7- 4       3     2           0.56
   607 N Longmeadow              8- 7       1    -3    ++     4.50
   609 N South Hadley            9- 8       1    -2    +      3.03
   612 N Algonquin               6-11      -5    -3          n/a  

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   404 A Conard-West Hartford   10- 7       3    12    ---        
   505 A Westfield               8-14      -6     0    ---   -6.95
   518 A Longmeadow              6-15      -9    -4    --    -4.76
   413 A West Springfield       11- 7       4     6    -     -2.86
   419 H Longmeadow              6-11      -5    -2    -     -2.25
   421 H Algonquin               5-11      -6    -2    -          
   508 A St Johns Shrewsbury     9-12      -3     0    -          
   522 H Northampton             7- 6       1     4    -     -3.30
   525 H South Hadley            6-11      -5    -1    -     -3.72

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   409 H East Longmeadow        18- 9       9     3    ++     5.76
   417 A Amherst-Pelham          9- 4       5     0    ++     5.35
   607 N Longmeadow              8- 7       1    -3    ++     4.50
   402 H Westfield              11- 5       6     2    +      3.56
   609 N South Hadley            9- 8       1    -2    +      3.03
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 96.40 Local Power Rank...........     4
 Local SOS Rating......... 87.34 Local SOS Rank.............     1
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.66 Local RPI Rank.............     3
 Championship Probability .   12.0 Championship Rank .......     3
 Local Quality Win Rating.245.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     3
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    9.4 Ave Defensive Goals ......    8.0
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 14- 8 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    1.4
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  4- 4 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -1.8
 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 12- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....    1.5
 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 13- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    2.3
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -1.0
/