Region = VT 1  NVAC             
   Nickname = T Tigers               Coach  =   Patrick Ivory         

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   93.7778015    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 404 A Mt Mansfield Union     VT 1  NVAC    ( 9- 9, 89.1)     6- 5   
 407 H Bellows Free Academy   VT 1  NVAC    ( 5-10, 84.2)     7- 0   
 410 A Champlain Valley       VT 1  NVAC    (13- 6, 92.5)     6- 8   
 412 H South Burlington       VT 1  NVAC    (16- 2, 99.9)     3- 9   
 418 A Spaulding              VT 1  NVAC    ( 3-13, 81.5)     7- 4   
 421 A Essex Junction         VT 1  NVAC    (16- 3, 95.7)     5- 6   
 502 H Burlington             VT 1  NVAC    ( 1-15, 78.7)    13- 2   
 504 H Mt Mansfield Union     VT 1  NVAC    ( 9- 9, 89.1)     5- 6   
 509 A Bellows Free Academy   VT 1  NVAC    ( 5-10, 84.2)    16- 8   
 511 H Champlain Valley       VT 1  NVAC    (13- 6, 92.5)     6-13   
 514 A Woodstock Union        VT 1  MVLI    (11- 5, 90.3)     9-10 2o
 516 A South Burlington       VT 1  NVAC    (16- 2, 99.9)     2-11   
 519 H Spaulding              VT 1  NVAC    ( 3-13, 81.5)     5- 3   
 522 H Essex Junction         VT 1  NVAC    (16- 3, 95.7)     2- 4   
 524 H Woodstock Union        VT 1  MVLI    (11- 5, 90.3)     6- 7   
 526 A Burlington             VT 1  NVAC    ( 1-15, 78.7)     7- 5   
 530 H Bellows Free Academy   VT 1  NVAC    ( 5-10, 84.2)     6- 3   
 601 A Essex Junction         VT 1  NVAC    (16- 3, 95.7)     4- 5 2o

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   404 A Mt Mansfield Union      6- 5       1    -2    +      3.05
   407 H Bellows Free Academy    7- 0       7     5           1.83
   410 A Champlain Valley        6- 8      -2    -5    +      3.46
   412 H South Burlington        3- 9      -6   -10    ++     4.00
   418 A Spaulding               7- 4       3     5    -     -2.57
   421 A Essex Junction          5- 6      -1    -8    +++    7.65
   502 H Burlington             13- 2      11    10           0.00
   504 H Mt Mansfield Union      5- 6      -1     0          -1.22
   509 A Bellows Free Academy   16- 8       8     2    ++     5.09
   511 H Champlain Valley        6-13      -7    -3    -     -3.80
   514 A Woodstock Union         9-10 2o   -1    -3    +      2.24
   516 A South Burlington        2-11      -9   -12           1.00
   519 H Spaulding               5- 3       2     7    --    -5.83
   522 H Essex Junction          2- 4      -2    -6    ++     4.38
   524 H Woodstock Union         6- 7      -1     0          -0.02
   526 A Burlington              7- 5       2     8    ---   -6.35
   530 H Bellows Free Academy    6- 3       3     5    -     -2.17
   601 A Essex Junction          4- 5 2o   -1    -8    +++    7.65

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   526 A Burlington              7- 5       2     8    ---   -6.35
   519 H Spaulding               5- 3       2     7    --    -5.83
   418 A Spaulding               7- 4       3     5    -     -2.57
   511 H Champlain Valley        6-13      -7    -3    -     -3.80
   530 H Bellows Free Academy    6- 3       3     5    -     -2.17

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   421 A Essex Junction          5- 6      -1    -8    +++    7.65
   601 A Essex Junction          4- 5 2o   -1    -8    +++    7.65
   412 H South Burlington        3- 9      -6   -10    ++     4.00
   509 A Bellows Free Academy   16- 8       8     2    ++     5.09
   522 H Essex Junction          2- 4      -2    -6    ++     4.38
   404 A Mt Mansfield Union      6- 5       1    -2    +      3.05
   410 A Champlain Valley        6- 8      -2    -5    +      3.46
   514 A Woodstock Union         9-10 2o   -1    -3    +      2.24
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 88.21 Local Power Rank...........     7
 Local SOS Rating......... 75.73 Local SOS Rank.............     5
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.50 Local RPI Rank.............     7
 Championship Probability .    5.0 Championship Rank .......     5
 Local Quality Win Rating. 95.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     5
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    6.4 Ave Defensive Goals ......    6.1
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  8-10 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    0.3
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 9 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -3.3
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  6-10 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -0.4
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  8-10 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    0.3
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    1.3
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