Region = NY C  Sec 6            
   Nickname = Y Mustangs             Coach  =   Travis Phillips       

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   79.2207947    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 319 H Williamsville South    NY B  Sec 6   ( 3-14, 71.8)    16- 8   
 321 H West Seneca West       NY B  Sec 6   ( 4-12, 76.7)     8- 9  o
 326 H Lockport               NY A  Sec 6   ( 3-13, 73.8)     8- 5   
 330 H Batavia                NY C  Sec 5   ( 0-15, 58.4)    13- 4   
 402 H East Aurora            NY C  Sec 6   ( 8- 6, 81.3)     3- 9   
 404 A Wilson Central         NY C  Sec 6   (13- 5, 81.4)     5-12   
 418 A Gowanda Central        NY C  Sec 6   ( 0-13, 59.2)    15- 3   
 420 H St Mary's Lancaster    NY P  Sec 6   ( 2-16, 67.4)     9- 3   
 425 H Salamanca              NY C  Sec 6   ( 7- 9, 75.9)    15-16  o
 501 H Bishop Kearney         NY C  Sec 5   ( 1-15, 64.8)     7- 6   
 505 H Brockport Central      NY B  Sec 5   ( 4-13, 72.3)     7-10   
 507 A Eden                   NY C  Sec 6   ( 5-11, 77.0)     5-12   
 508 H Silver Creek           NY C  Sec 6   (16- 2, 97.9)    10-22   
 509 H Lew-Port               NY C  Sec 6   ( 3-15, 65.1)    15- 3   
 514 A Akron                  NY C  Sec 6   (14- 4, 86.2)     4-18   
 516 H North Tonawanda        NY B  Sec 6   ( 1-16, 66.5)    17- 6   
 522 A Akron                  NY C  Sec 6   (14- 4, 86.2)    11-14   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   319 H Williamsville South    16- 8       8     5    +      2.71
   321 H West Seneca West        8- 9  o   -1     0          -1.41
   326 H Lockport                8- 5       3     3          -0.29
   330 H Batavia                13- 4       9    18          n/a  
   402 H East Aurora             3- 9      -6    -4          -1.80
   404 A Wilson Central          5-12      -7    -6          -0.72
   418 A Gowanda Central        15- 3      12    15           0.00
   420 H St Mary's Lancaster     9- 3       6     9    -     -3.70
   425 H Salamanca              15-16  o   -1     1    -     -2.14
   501 H Bishop Kearney          7- 6       1    12          n/a  
   505 H Brockport Central       7-10      -3     4          n/a  
   507 A Eden                    5-12      -7    -1    --    -5.05
   508 H Silver Creek           10-22     -12   -20           0.00
   509 H Lew-Port               15- 3      12    12           0.00
   514 A Akron                   4-18     -14   -11           0.00
   516 H North Tonawanda        17- 6      11    10           0.00
   522 A Akron                  11-14      -3   -11    +++    7.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   501 H Bishop Kearney          7- 6       1    12    ---        
   505 H Brockport Central       7-10      -3     4    ---        
   507 A Eden                    5-12      -7    -1    --    -5.05
   420 H St Mary's Lancaster     9- 3       6     9    -     -3.70
   425 H Salamanca              15-16  o   -1     1    -     -2.14

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   522 A Akron                  11-14      -3   -11    +++    7.00
   319 H Williamsville South    16- 8       8     5    +      2.71
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 76.09 Local Power Rank...........    24
 Local SOS Rating......... 49.12 Local SOS Rank.............    33
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.41 Local RPI Rank.............    26
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    20
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    22
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    9.9 Ave Defensive Goals ......    9.4
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  8- 9 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    0.5
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -12.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -9.7
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -8.4
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -2.0
/