Region = NY A  Sec 9            
   Nickname = Y Middie Bears         Coach  =   Scott Cantara         

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   88.0451508    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 405 A Millbrook HS           NY C  Sec 9   ( 5-10, 83.8)     8- 6   
 409 H Wallkill               NY B  Sec 9   (10- 6, 88.3)     7- 3   
 411 A Clarkstown North       NY A  Sec 1   ( 5-12, 74.7)    12- 8   
 413 H J.S. Burke Catholic    NY C  Sec 9   ( 5- 9, 83.3)    10- 9   
 417 A Kingston               NY A  Sec 9   (12- 5, 94.9)     1-15   
 419 H Monroe-Woodbury        NY A  Sec 9   ( 4-11, 86.8)     6-15   
 421 H Valley Central         NY A  Sec 9   (14- 5, 97.7)     4-12   
 424 H Pine Bush              NY A  Sec 9   ( 8- 9, 90.2)     4-12   
 428 A Washingtonville        NY A  Sec 9   ( 1-15, 75.2)    15- 2   
 501 H Delaware Valley        NY I  Sec 9   (13- 6, 93.7)     3-12   
 508 H Minisink Valley        NY A  Sec 9   (18- 2, 99.9)     2-17   
 510 A Roosevelt Hyde Park    NY A  Sec 9   ( 9- 8, 89.9)     3- 8   
 512 A Newburgh Free Academy  NY A  Sec 9   ( 2-12, 82.0)     6- 5   
 514 A Warwick Valley         NY A  Sec 9   (15- 3, 98.8)     2-18   
 516 A New Paltz              NY C  Sec 9   ( 2- 9, 75.2)    13- 1   
 517 H Rondout Valley         NY C  Sec 9   (12- 4, 90.9)     7- 5   
 519 A Minisink Valley        NY A  Sec 9   (18- 2, 99.9)     1-13   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   405 A Millbrook HS            8- 6       2     0           1.32
   409 H Wallkill                7- 3       4     0    ++     4.95
   411 A Clarkstown North       12- 8       4     9          n/a  
   413 H J.S. Burke Catholic    10- 9       1     4    -     -3.07
   417 A Kingston                1-15     -14   -10           0.00
   419 H Monroe-Woodbury         6-15      -9     0    ---   -9.48
   421 H Valley Central          4-12      -8   -10    +      2.00
   424 H Pine Bush               4-12      -8    -2    --    -5.11
   428 A Washingtonville        15- 2      13     9           0.79
   501 H Delaware Valley         3-12      -9    -6    -     -2.58
   508 H Minisink Valley         2-17     -15   -12           0.00
   510 A Roosevelt Hyde Park     3- 8      -5    -5           0.46
   512 A Newburgh Free Academy   6- 5       1     2          -1.43
   514 A Warwick Valley          2-18     -16   -14           0.00
   516 A New Paltz              13- 1      12     9           0.77
   517 H Rondout Valley          7- 5       2    -3    ++     5.58
   519 A Minisink Valley         1-13     -12   -15           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   419 H Monroe-Woodbury         6-15      -9     0    ---   -9.48
   411 A Clarkstown North       12- 8       4     9    --         
   424 H Pine Bush               4-12      -8    -2    --    -5.11
   413 H J.S. Burke Catholic    10- 9       1     4    -     -3.07
   501 H Delaware Valley         3-12      -9    -6    -     -2.58

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   409 H Wallkill                7- 3       4     0    ++     4.95
   517 H Rondout Valley          7- 5       2    -3    ++     5.58
   421 H Valley Central          4-12      -8   -10    +      2.00
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 85.88 Local Power Rank...........    12
 Local SOS Rating......... 74.99 Local SOS Rank.............     5
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.51 Local RPI Rank.............     9
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    11
 Local Quality Win Rating. 35.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    11
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    6.1 Ave Defensive Goals ......    9.5
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  8- 9 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -3.4
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 5 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -13.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  2- 8 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -8.1
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  7- 9 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -3.8
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    0.7
/